SC-Gravis Marketing: Trump Leads, Cruz in Second/Clinton Solidly Ahead
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 10:16:32 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  SC-Gravis Marketing: Trump Leads, Cruz in Second/Clinton Solidly Ahead
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: SC-Gravis Marketing: Trump Leads, Cruz in Second/Clinton Solidly Ahead  (Read 2650 times)
mds32
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,090
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 15, 2016, 04:42:23 PM »
« edited: February 16, 2016, 01:49:44 AM by Tender Branson »

SC GOP Primary
Trump 37%
Cruz 23%
Rubio 19%
Bush 9%
Kasich 6%
Carson 6%

Democratic Primary
Clinton 59%
Sanders 41%

http://www.oann.com/pollsc/
Logged
Bigby
Mod_Libertarian_GOPer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,164
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: 3.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 15, 2016, 04:45:07 PM »

Not really a fan of Gravis, but it doesn't seem too radical.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 15, 2016, 04:45:27 PM »

It's a pre-debate poll, for what it's worth.
Logged
Mike Thick
tedbessell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,085


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -8.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 15, 2016, 04:46:37 PM »

Rubio looks a little high, but otherwise this doesn't seem horribly inaccurate.
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 15, 2016, 04:53:54 PM »

Gravis, Yougov and ARG. The trinity of sh**tty pollsters is complete.
Logged
Mike Thick
tedbessell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,085


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -8.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 15, 2016, 04:55:09 PM »

Gravis, Yougov and ARG. The trinity of sh**tty pollsters is complete.

You forgot Overtime. It's the Three Musketeers, plus D'Artagnan.
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 15, 2016, 04:59:09 PM »

glorious poll for the secretary...sc remains clinton country
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 15, 2016, 05:00:03 PM »

Gravis, Yougov and ARG. The trinity of sh**tty pollsters is complete.

You forgot Overtime. It's the Three Musketeers, plus D'Artagnan.

I dont even know if Overtime even counts as a pollster. Im still suspicious its actually just one guy in a basement randomly entering numbers into excel.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 15, 2016, 05:00:52 PM »

Not really a fan of Gravis, but it doesn't seem too radical.

That Rubio number is pretty troll-tastic.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 15, 2016, 05:03:46 PM »

Not really a fan of Gravis, but it doesn't seem too radical.

That Rubio number is pretty troll-tastic.

It would be intriguing if it was post debate, but since it isn't, it looks quite silly.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: February 15, 2016, 07:02:24 PM »

Gravis has an unusual practice of herding undecideds. I would be interested to see the actual crosstabs.
Logged
A Perez
Rookie
**
Posts: 231
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: February 15, 2016, 07:20:43 PM »

Gravis is a very bad pollster (In Iowa, they had Clinton by 11% and Trump by 4%).
Dismiss this poll as garbage.
Logged
Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,019


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: February 15, 2016, 09:25:19 PM »

Pre-debate? The Rubio narrative is amazing. I haven't seen a candidate propped up by the media like this in a long time
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: February 15, 2016, 09:59:31 PM »

glorious poll for the secretary...sc remains clinton country

This would not be a particularly positive result for her. It would most likely mean that she's losing whites big even in the south and/or Sanders is starting to make up a lot of ground with blacks.
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,594
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: February 15, 2016, 10:03:58 PM »

glorious poll for the secretary...sc remains clinton country

This would not be a particularly positive result for her. It would most likely mean that she's losing whites big even in the south and/or Sanders is starting to make up a lot of ground with blacks.
I disagree.  If she's winning blacks with about 70%, and breaking even with whites, this is about the result I'd expect.
Logged
mds32
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,090
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: February 15, 2016, 10:06:13 PM »

Gravis is a very bad pollster (In Iowa, they had Clinton by 11% and Trump by 4%).
Dismiss this poll as garbage.

Except that poll was before the GOP debate that weekend w/o Trump if I remember correctly.

I understand the skeptism of the Clinton numbers, but don't sit here and act like every pollster that polled in Iowa was better than them. Their Trump +4 numbers BEFORE the debate occurred were FAR better than Quinnipiac's Trump +7 numbers AFTER the debate.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: February 16, 2016, 02:24:16 AM »

Horrible result for Hillary, only 18%, best poll for Sanders maybe & Gravis has been hugely pro-Clinton, so this sounds great for Sanders.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,803


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: February 16, 2016, 02:26:05 AM »

Horrible result for Hillary, only 18%, best poll for Sanders maybe & Gravis has been hugely pro-Clinton, so this sounds great for Sanders.

The CBS poll had it at the same margin.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: February 16, 2016, 02:26:50 AM »

Why are we only getting joke polls lately (even if this here shows a good Sanders result) ?

Gravis, ARG, Overtime ... hmm.

Where's SurveyUSA for example ? I recall they polled NV in the past.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,803


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: February 16, 2016, 02:30:04 AM »

Traditional media used to pay for these polls. Traditional media has been collapsing for a while now. Meanwhile, polling has gotten more complicated because you have to do mobile and/or online samples, and just robocalling landlines no longer works.
Logged
RBH
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,210


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: February 16, 2016, 02:31:36 AM »

SurveyUSA seems to be confined to doing polls for the San Diego media market and for Georgia.

(checks SurveyUSA site)

Poll for KPIX in San Francisco, Poll for KGTV in San Diego, Poll for the Salt Lake Tribune, Poll for KABC in Los Angeles.

Times have changed since the days that SurveyUSA had the money to poll all 50 states separately.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: February 16, 2016, 02:36:23 AM »

SurveyUSA seems to be confined to doing polls for the San Diego media market and for Georgia.

(checks SurveyUSA site)

Poll for KPIX in San Francisco, Poll for KGTV in San Diego, Poll for the Salt Lake Tribune, Poll for KABC in Los Angeles.

Times have changed since the days that SurveyUSA had the money to poll all 50 states separately.

Damn, I miss the good old polling days between 2006 and 2008 when you could go to SUSA's page and type in "Franklin D. Roosevelt" vs. "Ronald Reagan" or "Oprah Winfrey" vs. "Tom Tancredo" and get results for all 50 states ... Sad

http://www.surveyusa.com/homecv.aspx
Logged
RBH
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,210


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: February 16, 2016, 02:41:56 AM »

The pollsters that released polls before the 2008 NV Dem caucuses

Zogby International
Mason-Dixon
American Research Group
Research 2000

So, R2K folded in 2010 after people realized their results were faked, ARG is ARG, Mason-Dixon seems to have dried up a bit lately, and Zogby is Zogby.

Both ARG and R2K had Edwards at/over 25% around a week before the caucuses. Zogby had 45-39 Hillary.

It ended 51-45 Hillary, and Obama got more delegates.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.042 seconds with 14 queries.