SC-Opinion Savvy: Trump 36% Cruz 20% Rubio 15% Bush 11% Kasich 9% Carson 5%
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  SC-Opinion Savvy: Trump 36% Cruz 20% Rubio 15% Bush 11% Kasich 9% Carson 5%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: SC-Opinion Savvy: Trump 36% Cruz 20% Rubio 15% Bush 11% Kasich 9% Carson 5%  (Read 5160 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #25 on: February 12, 2016, 01:50:01 PM »
Quote from: VP Duke on February 12, 2016, 01:41:51 PM
I just don't see how Donald doesn't win the nomination. It's clear the rest of the people won't drop out anytime soon, and the only way Trump loses is if the establishment all drop out aside from one person.

There was a post on the 2016 board a few months back that had a poll about 2nd choice options and Trump was the 2nd choice of Jeb, Carson and Rubio supporters so even if they all dropped out to support one establishment candidate it would still benefit Trump
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Maxwell
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« Reply #26 on: February 12, 2016, 02:18:23 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 12, 2016, 01:18:14 PM
Jeez, everyone's rooting for Kasich now? LOL

I mean, compared to Marco Rubio he's a godsend. Still worse than Jeb! Bush though.
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Figueira
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« Reply #27 on: February 12, 2016, 02:33:37 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 12, 2016, 01:18:14 PM
Jeez, everyone's rooting for Kasich now? LOL

I'm rooting for Kasich because if the establishment settles on him, he would lose to Trump, who would lose to Clinton.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #28 on: February 12, 2016, 02:43:44 PM »
Quote from: bballrox4717 on February 12, 2016, 01:19:26 PM
If Kasich jumps ahead of Rubio or Bush, that might completely kill their campaigns.

I damn hope so. Kasich really deserves it.
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Figueira
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« Reply #29 on: February 12, 2016, 02:44:58 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 12, 2016, 02:35:16 PM
Quote from: Figueira on February 12, 2016, 02:33:37 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 12, 2016, 01:18:14 PM
Jeez, everyone's rooting for Kasich now? LOL

I'm rooting for Kasich because if the establishment settles on him, he would lose to Trump, who would lose to Clinton.

Yeah, I'm sure JEB! or Rubio would absolutely kill Trump.

Fair enough.

Still, Kasich is currently the one that's behind nationwide, so I want Kasich to catch up so the establishment vote remains split.
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
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« Reply #30 on: February 12, 2016, 03:26:13 PM »
Is there any reason I should trust a poll from "Opinion Savvy"?
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RI
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« Reply #31 on: February 12, 2016, 03:32:14 PM »
Quote from: shua on February 12, 2016, 03:26:13 PM
Is there any reason I should trust a poll from "Opinion Savvy"?

OpinionSavvy is heavily related to InsiderAdvantage. They're okay pollsters, but when Emerson and ARG are turning out the most accurate polls so far, no legitimate poll should be dismissed out of hand.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #32 on: February 12, 2016, 03:42:15 PM »
Rubio is a joke. If Trump wins this, he could permanently evolve into TRUMP
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Zanas
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« Reply #33 on: February 12, 2016, 05:23:12 PM »
Quote from: shua on February 12, 2016, 03:26:13 PM
Is there any reason I should trust a poll from "Opinion Savvy"?
Opinion Savvy got one of the semi-decent polls in Iowa GOP, the only one getting the Trump-Rubio margin of only 1 pt. As our realistic idealist friend states, no real poll should be dismissed right away in this race.
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Xing
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« Reply #34 on: February 12, 2016, 05:32:53 PM »
If Trump crushes everyone else by this much, I think the only hope Republicans have of beating him is to unite behind one other candidate as the anti-Trump candidate. If this race has more than one anti-Trump candidate in much longer, I think Trump might just have this in the bag.
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Bigby
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« Reply #35 on: February 12, 2016, 06:40:27 PM »

Well, when you have nowhere to go but up...

Also, this looks similar to the poll Augusta Chronicle came out with.
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RI
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« Reply #36 on: February 12, 2016, 06:41:53 PM »
Quote from: Bigby on February 12, 2016, 06:40:27 PM

Well, when you have nowhere to go but up...

Also, this looks similar to the poll Augusta Chronicle came out with.

This is the Augusta Chronicle poll.
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Bigby
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« Reply #37 on: February 12, 2016, 06:42:53 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 12, 2016, 06:41:53 PM
Quote from: Bigby on February 12, 2016, 06:40:27 PM

Well, when you have nowhere to go but up...

Also, this looks similar to the poll Augusta Chronicle came out with.

This is the Augusta Chronicle poll.

Thank you for telling me that before I posted it. I'm more familiar with the Augusta Chronicle for my History papers than with the contemporary one.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #38 on: February 12, 2016, 06:58:05 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 12, 2016, 01:50:01 PM
Quote from: VP Duke on February 12, 2016, 01:41:51 PM
I just don't see how Donald doesn't win the nomination. It's clear the rest of the people won't drop out anytime soon, and the only way Trump loses is if the establishment all drop out aside from one person.

There was a post on the 2016 board a few months back that had a poll about 2nd choice options and Trump was the 2nd choice of Jeb, Carson and Rubio supporters so even if they all dropped out to support one establishment candidate it would still benefit Trump

I'm not surprised about that at all. I'd certainly pick Trump over Cruz if I had to chose one or the other.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #39 on: February 13, 2016, 12:28:07 AM »
Let us dispel with this fiction once and for all that Trump has a ceiling. 49% of NH voters said they would be satisfied with Trump as the nominee. Now that is terrible on the surface it means that in a consolidated race, his ceiling is not 30% or 35% like Megyn Kelly is desperately begging for it to be, it is at least 49% and probably closer to 60%-65% at this stage. And from what we have seen so far, it is the ever rising ceiling.

Trump can win this nomination at 45% and guess what morning consult has him at 44%.
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Donnie
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« Reply #40 on: February 13, 2016, 09:37:35 AM »
Trump has still more (36% vs 35%) then the 3 low-energy Rinos combine...
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jimrtex
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« Reply #41 on: February 13, 2016, 05:49:06 PM »
Quote from: Averroës on February 12, 2016, 12:01:26 PM
Rubio's number isn't as awful as some of us had suspected it could be, but if Kasich is actually closing on double digits that is terrible news for him. It points to the same kind of non-Trump pile-up that we saw in New Hampshire, with no clear winner for the portion of the party that isn't interested in Trump or Cruz. It also suggests that much of that portion of the party remains unconvinced that Rubio is a credible candidate.
You are right about a pile-up.

South Carolina is Winner Take All statewide, and by congressional district. Trump's lead over Cruz is similar in all 3 regions: Upcountry 38:18, Midlands 35:22, and Low Country 37:18.

Trump also leads a combined: Bush-Rubio-Kasich, Upcountry 38:34, Midlands 35:31, Low Country 37:36.

Trump is likely to take all delegates.
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