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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  OK-Sooner Poll Hillary 44, Bernie 28; Trump 30, Cruz 25, Rubio 21
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Author Topic: OK-Sooner Poll Hillary 44, Bernie 28; Trump 30, Cruz 25, Rubio 21  (Read 5115 times)
Dr. RI, Trustbuster
realisticidealist
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« on: February 10, 2016, 01:33:39 pm »

New Poll: Oklahoma President by SoonerPoll on 2016-02-09

Summary:
Trump:
30%
Cruz:
25%
Rubio:
21%
Carson:
6%
Other:
10%
Undecided:
8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Dr. RI, Trustbuster
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2016, 01:34:28 pm »

New Poll: Oklahoma President by SoonerPoll on 2016-02-09

Summary:
Clinton:
42%
Sanders:
28%
Other:
2%
Undecided:
28%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #2 on: February 10, 2016, 01:36:12 pm »

Www.soonerpoll.com
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #3 on: February 10, 2016, 01:38:44 pm »

Trump -5
Cruz 0
Rubio +11

From last poll conducted 1/17 - 1/19
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Watermelon sin Jamón
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« Reply #4 on: February 10, 2016, 01:41:14 pm »

Well that's an awful lot of undecideds... No racial breakdown either. Doesn't seem like a very good poll.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #5 on: February 10, 2016, 01:41:28 pm »

This poll was conducted Feb 6-9, so largely after the debate gaffe.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #6 on: February 10, 2016, 02:05:28 pm »
« Edited: February 10, 2016, 03:41:34 pm by Sorenroy »

Change from Last Month:
Sanders — +12
Clinton — +1

O'Malley held 6% in their last poll, and even with him dropping out, undecideds are down 8 points.

Edit: This is very strange. Even though it's 2016, their question still says "On March 1st next year..."

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They did this last month too, and on the Republican side... maybe they know something we don't.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #7 on: February 10, 2016, 02:09:53 pm »

The high number of undecideds might be the pollster being bad, or it might just be conservative Oklahoma Democrats hating both candidates.
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Dr. RI, Trustbuster
realisticidealist
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« Reply #8 on: February 10, 2016, 02:11:06 pm »

The high number of undecideds might be the pollster being bad, or it might just be conservative Oklahoma Democrats hating both candidates.

It's been a pretty consistent feature of polling in states with large numbers of conservative whites like Oklahoma and West Virginia.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #9 on: February 10, 2016, 02:16:17 pm »

PDF Link: http://ftpcontent.worldnow.com/griffin/NEWS9/PDF/0603/SoonerPoll_Feb2016.pdf

Full Numbers and Change from last Month: (rounded nearest whole, total votes through link)
Trump — 30 (-5)
Cruz — 25 (No Change)
Rubio — 21 (+11)
Carson — 6 (-2)
Bush — 5 (+1)
Kasich — 3 (Not asked last poll)
Fiorina — 2 (+1)
Christie — 1 (-2)
Gilmore — 0 (Not asked last poll)

Weirdly their question talked about the vote being next year for some reason.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #10 on: February 10, 2016, 02:29:22 pm »

The high number of undecideds might be the pollster being bad, or it might just be conservative Oklahoma Democrats hating both candidates.

It's been a pretty consistent feature of polling in states with large numbers of conservative whites like Oklahoma and West Virginia.
I'm surprised these people haven't deserted en masse to Trump yet.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #11 on: February 10, 2016, 03:15:28 pm »

Looks like it was a good decision to target this over Tennessee.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #12 on: February 10, 2016, 03:28:55 pm »

Now, its Cruz who's taking support from Rubio.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: February 10, 2016, 03:38:49 pm »

OK is en essential state for Cruz. Once Rubio inevitably collapses, where will his voters go?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: February 10, 2016, 03:40:07 pm »

The high number of undecideds might be the pollster being bad, or it might just be conservative Oklahoma Democrats hating both candidates.

It's the second one. These people are either going to stay home or skip the presidential ballot.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #15 on: February 10, 2016, 03:43:13 pm »

This is a second thread for the same poll as another thread. IF THE PERSON READING THIS IS A MOD, PLEASE MERGE THESE TWO THREADS TOGETHER.
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Dr. RI, Trustbuster
realisticidealist
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« Reply #16 on: February 10, 2016, 03:44:19 pm »

This is a second thread for the same poll as another thread. IF THE PERSON READING THIS IS A MOD, PLEASE MERGE THESE TWO THREADS TOGETHER.

It's actually the first thread.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #17 on: February 10, 2016, 03:48:41 pm »

This is a second thread for the same poll as another thread. IF THE PERSON READING THIS IS A MOD, PLEASE MERGE THESE TWO THREADS TOGETHER.

It's actually the first thread.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=228918.0 Is the other one. I was just suggesting they should be merged.
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Dr. RI, Trustbuster
realisticidealist
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« Reply #18 on: February 10, 2016, 03:53:27 pm »

This is a second thread for the same poll as another thread. IF THE PERSON READING THIS IS A MOD, PLEASE MERGE THESE TWO THREADS TOGETHER.

It's actually the first thread.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=228918.0 Is the other one. I was just suggesting they should be merged.

My point was that this thread was made before that one.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #19 on: February 10, 2016, 03:56:44 pm »

OK is en essential state for Cruz. Once Rubio inevitably collapses, where will his voters go?

Some to Cruz, some to TRUMP. But most of them might go to an establishment guy. So either Kasich or ¿Jeb?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #20 on: February 10, 2016, 04:09:25 pm »

Not too bad for Sanders, especially considering:

- Extremely large number of undecideds
- Change since last poll (Sanders +12)
- Potential for momentum from NH result
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #21 on: February 10, 2016, 04:13:40 pm »

I was in the process of creating my thread when this thread was posted.  I'm fine with it if the mods want to merge them.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #22 on: February 10, 2016, 04:26:10 pm »

Not too bad for Sanders, especially considering:

- Extremely large number of undecideds
- Change since last poll (Sanders +12)
- Potential for momentum from NH result

he needs to at least contest Texas - lots of delegates there.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #23 on: February 10, 2016, 06:29:48 pm »

Sanders is the perfect candidate for Oklahoma. A white man.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #24 on: February 10, 2016, 06:35:17 pm »

Sanders is the perfect candidate for Oklahoma. A white man.

Oklahomans don't like socialists...
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