NH-ARG daily tracking poll thread

[Mike Thick]

I will point out that internals showed Marco's rise in Iowa while regular pollsters did not.

And now they're showing his fall in New Hampshire. How poetic...

[Seriously?]

Maybe. I don't see Kasich cutting much into Rubio's numbers in the south and west. In some places, Rubio might be forced to do a deal with Kasich to give him a clear lane in places like say Ohio, least delegates get siphoned off to Trump. Anyway, that is my thinking that makes the cost of avoiding putting all the eggs in the Rubio basket as the moment, to be affordable, which it would not be if it unduly increased the odds of Trump getting the nomination. In the end, I really don't see a path for Cruz to get there, particularly after he gets a good thrashing in New Hampshire.

Cruz's path has to go through the South and the Heartland/Mountain West, I suppose where there are more true Republican conservatives.

If Kasich supplants Rubio, the GOP-e lane remains crowded, possibly through Super Tuesday. You'd think Kasich would be second to Trump in a lot of the Northeast/Rust Belt states with Rubio having a strong showing in the South.

The more crowded the GOP-e lane, the better it is for Trump, who would likely struggle in a three-candidate race if the RINOs clear the deck.

[cinyc]

Very interesting. It seems Rubio isn't imploding as much as Atlas expected...

Well, it has only been one day and this is half pre-debate.

I wouldn't trust any poll taken today.  People are out at Super Bowl parties and not answering the phone.  Response rates must be terrible.  I don't think you're going to get a very representative sample.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

They posted the numbers for February 6-7:

Dems

Sanders 53% (0)
Clinton 41% (-1)

GOP

Trump 30% (-1)
Kasich 16% (-1)
Rubio 16% (-1)
Cruz 10% (+1)
Bush 9% (0)
Christie 6% (+1)
Fiorina 3% (+1)
Carson 1% (0)

Well that's not showing much movement, which is surprising. Then again, it's ARG so maybe that means the race is drastically moving.

[Landslide Lyndon]

What's all this talk about Kasich's internals? Have they been leaked or what?

[Ebsy]

What's all this talk about Kasich's internals? Have they been leaked or what?

Yes, Politico had them.

[Eraserhead]

You can probably throw any polling that was done on Sunday right into the trash bin.

[This account no longer in use.]

Why are we seriously discussing and analyzing f---ing ARG polls?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Why are we seriously discussing and analyzing f---ing ARG polls?

Let alone tracking polls... from NH. Guys, just wait until the actual votes get counted.

[Lief 🗽]

Sanders 53 (nc)
Clinton 44 (+3)

TRUMP 33 (+3)
Kasich 17 (+1)
Rubio 14 (-2)
Cruz 10 (nc)
Bush 9 (nc)
Christie 8 (+2)

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

[The Other Castro]

This probably means that either Clinton and Rubio will win, or that Sanders will win with 70% while Christie wins with 40%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clinton,closed up shop, moving onto Nevada.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

3 points is surging? LOL

[This account no longer in use.]

3 points is surging? LOL

[ProgressiveCanadian]

3 points is surging? LOL

How are 13 year olds even aloud on here??

[Sir Mohamed]

And what about Gilmore??

[Landslide Lyndon]

Great news! The socialist codger from Vermont will be crushed like Wiley E. Coyote.

[This account no longer in use.]

Great news! The socialist codger from Vermont will be crushed like Wiley E. Coyote.

> ARG

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

3 points is surging? LOL

How are 13 year olds even aloud on here??

Not to be a **** about it, but if you're going to sass out someone, it's "allowed"

[Zanas]

Well, on the GOP side, ARG is shaping up to be the best pollster with this final poll. O tempora, o mores...

[Mr. Morden]

ARG ended up the most accurate poll on the GOP side in New Hampshire.  Was one of the worst on the Dem. side though.

[Antonio the Sixth]

haha yeah, tell me about that Clinton surge

[Shadows]

That massive Clinton surge!!!!

[Lief 🗽]

haha yeah, tell me about that Clinton surge

lol, enjoy your last couple of months posting on this forum from the United States before President Donald J. Trump deports you!

[Antonio the Sixth]

haha yeah, tell me about that Clinton surge

lol, enjoy your last couple of months posting on this forum from the United States before President Donald J. Trump deports you!

You know, I genuinely find this joke funny (it's almost flattering that you think I'm worthy of your Dear Leader's attention!) but part of me is somewhat concerned that in some areas my life in the US might seriously become harsher if Trump wins. Just FYI.