NH-UMass Lowell/7 News Daily Tracking Poll Thread
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Author Topic: NH-UMass Lowell/7 News Daily Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 8745 times)
Senator Cris
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« Reply #25 on: February 02, 2016, 08:21:13 AM »

The poll was conducted from Jan. 30 to Feb. 1.
I'd wait for post-IA polls.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #26 on: February 02, 2016, 08:24:06 AM »

The poll was conducted from Jan. 30 to Feb. 1.
I'd wait for post-IA polls.

Hey, Feb. 1 means a handful of the interviews here were conducted after people heard the early results from Iowa.  That's why Cruz and Rubio both gained 2 points, right?  Tongue
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #27 on: February 02, 2016, 08:29:46 AM »

After yesterday's polling debacle I think we cansafely disregard all these polls which show Sanders winning by a gazzilion points.

Why ? The last polls were pretty accurate in IA for the Dems, when averaged.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #28 on: February 02, 2016, 09:52:36 AM »

Can't wait for Clinton to get destroyed here.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #29 on: February 02, 2016, 10:04:04 AM »

The poll was conducted from Jan. 30 to Feb. 1.
I'd wait for post-IA polls.

Hey, Feb. 1 means a handful of the interviews here were conducted after people heard the early results from Iowa.  That's why Cruz and Rubio both gained 2 points, right?  Tongue

I suppose they have interviewed only 1/3 of the sample on entire Monday and results were available only in the evening.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #30 on: February 02, 2016, 10:15:56 AM »

Pre-Iowa poll. I can't wait to see those after IA and whether the Trumpster will keep his double-digit lead.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #31 on: February 02, 2016, 11:03:35 AM »

Can't wait for Clinton to get destroyed here.

And we can't wait for you going back to sucking your mother's tit.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #32 on: February 02, 2016, 11:08:54 AM »

Under 30: 91% Sanders. Ouch!!!
Sanders leads among "Conservative" democrats.
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mds32
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« Reply #33 on: February 02, 2016, 11:24:08 AM »

Can't wait for Clinton to get destroyed here.

And we can't wait for you going back to sucking your mother's tit.

Gross
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rob in cal
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« Reply #34 on: February 02, 2016, 11:34:27 AM »

   New Hampshire is an excuse only absentee ballot state, but according to this poll 2% of the electorate have already voted, probably locking in a small lead for the Donald and Socialist.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #35 on: February 02, 2016, 11:42:13 AM »

Under 30: 91% Sanders. Ouch!!!
Sanders leads among "Conservative" democrats.

To be clear, Sanders actually not only leads all the demographics that they polled for, he has a majority in each one (has over 50% even when you include those who are undecided or other).
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rob in cal
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« Reply #36 on: February 02, 2016, 12:15:00 PM »

   I wonder how Sanders is doing among millionaire New Hampshire Dems?
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weixiaobao
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« Reply #37 on: February 02, 2016, 12:35:51 PM »

hmm, if this is daily.  Why not put them all in a thread.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #38 on: February 02, 2016, 01:01:03 PM »

   I wonder how Sanders is doing among millionaire New Hampshire Dems?
Probably ahead, but with a much slimmer lead.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #39 on: February 02, 2016, 02:49:23 PM »

Uh oh. If Sanders keeps leading by 30+ points it's going to look bad once he wins by "only" 10-20!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #40 on: February 02, 2016, 02:52:38 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2016, 04:29:27 AM by Eraserhead »

Uh oh. If Sanders keeps leading by 30+ points it's going to look bad once he wins by "only" 10-20!

Eh... I think even the Clinton campaign would have trouble spinning any kind of double digit loss.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #41 on: February 02, 2016, 02:54:05 PM »

Uh oh. If Sanders keeps leading by 30+ points it's going to look bad once he wins by "only" 10-20!

Eh... I think even the Clinton campaign would have trouble spinning any kid of double digit loss.

I was being facetious. But there is some danger in expectations going so high.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #42 on: February 02, 2016, 02:55:19 PM »

Uh oh. If Sanders keeps leading by 30+ points it's going to look bad once he wins by "only" 10-20!

Eh... I think even the Clinton campaign would have trouble spinning any kid of double digit loss.

It's already a given that he will score a YUUUUUUUUUGE victory. It will be embarrassing for Clinton but she will move on, just like Obama did after being annihilated at West Virginia and Kentucky in 2008.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #43 on: February 02, 2016, 02:55:48 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2016, 04:29:51 AM by Eraserhead »

Uh oh. If Sanders keeps leading by 30+ points it's going to look bad once he wins by "only" 10-20!

Eh... I think even the Clinton campaign would have trouble spinning any kind of double digit loss.

I was being facetious. But there is some danger in expectations going so high.

Of course. There always is.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #44 on: February 02, 2016, 03:12:45 PM »

Can't wait to see The Donald crushing the rest big.
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« Reply #45 on: February 03, 2016, 04:05:15 AM »

LOL, this poll is way too pro Bernie.
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jfern
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« Reply #46 on: February 03, 2016, 04:08:49 AM »

Under 30: 91% Sanders. Ouch!!!
Sanders leads among "Conservative" democrats.

Why are over 80% of women under 30 misogynist?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #47 on: February 03, 2016, 06:17:04 AM »

Under 30: 91% Sanders. Ouch!!!
Sanders leads among "Conservative" democrats.

Why are over 80% of women under 30 misogynist?




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Tender Branson
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« Reply #48 on: February 03, 2016, 07:23:23 AM »

Jan. 31-Feb. 2 tracking results:

61% Sanders
32% Clinton

38% Trump
14% Cruz
12% Rubio

I guess 33-60% of this sample was already conducted after the IA caucus.

http://www.uml.edu/Research/public-opinion/polls/default.aspx
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #49 on: February 03, 2016, 07:24:09 AM »

February 3rd Full Numbers Update (Conducted between 1/31/2016 and 2/2/2016):

http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-2%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230491.pdf

Candidates polling:
Candidate — Percentage (Change from yesterday.)

Democrats:
Sanders — 61 (-2)
Clinton — 32 (+2)
O'Malley* — 1 (No Change)

Republicans:
Trump — 38 (No Change)
Cruz — 14 (No Change)
Rubio — 12 (+2)
Bush — 9 (No Change)
Kasich — 7 (-2)
Christie — 6 (+1)
Fiorina — 3 (No Change)
Carson — 3 (No Change)
Paul — 2 (No Change)
Santorum — 0 (-1)

*While O'Malley was an option in todays polling, he have suspended his campaign.
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