Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 33904 times)
Chunk Yogurt for President!
CELTICEMPIRE
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« Reply #25 on: February 01, 2016, 11:18:52 AM »
« edited: February 01, 2016, 11:23:53 AM by Representative Carpetbagger »
I predict Cruz will win the Caucus.  Enough of Trump's supporters will forget to vote.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #26 on: February 01, 2016, 11:30:29 AM »
Quote from: Representative Carpetbagger on February 01, 2016, 11:18:52 AM
I predict Cruz will win the Caucus.  Enough of Trump's supporters will forget to vote.

Okay so I see your analysis is just trash.  Moving on...
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: February 01, 2016, 11:31:18 AM »
Quote from: Rubio 2016 on February 01, 2016, 09:35:25 AM
Oh nice and thank you. By any chance do you have a link or anything as to how the delegates are distributed in iowa? Is it based on what place you come in? What counties you win? ect.
Well they are distributed through a county convention or that was how they did it in 2008 and 2012
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Chunk Yogurt for President!
CELTICEMPIRE
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: February 01, 2016, 11:38:47 AM »
Quote from: d32123 on February 01, 2016, 11:30:29 AM
Quote from: Representative Carpetbagger on February 01, 2016, 11:18:52 AM
I predict Cruz will win the Caucus.  Enough of Trump's supporters will forget to vote.

Okay so I see your analysis is just trash.  Moving on...

I think it's a very realistic scenario.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #29 on: February 01, 2016, 12:06:11 PM »
Did anyone else see all the empty seats at the Trump rally in Waterloo?  That might be a cause for concern for him.
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trickmind
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« Reply #30 on: February 01, 2016, 12:07:45 PM »
Robert Costa says that GOP HQ in IA is predicting heavy turnout, receiving 100s of calls about caucusing every hour.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #31 on: February 01, 2016, 12:24:23 PM »
Quote from: Representative Carpetbagger on February 01, 2016, 11:18:52 AM
I predict Cruz will win the Caucus.  Enough of Trump's supporters will forget to vote.


 Sounds like someone's a nervous wreck!
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Torie
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« Reply #32 on: February 01, 2016, 01:59:49 PM »
« Edited: February 01, 2016, 02:19:03 PM by Torie »
Quote from: Ronnie on February 01, 2016, 12:06:11 PM
Did anyone else see all the empty seats at the Trump rally in Waterloo?  That might be a cause for concern for him.

The clips of Trump at his rallies in the last couple of days have him seem surprisingly low energy. He needs to juice himself up with more testosterone. Cruz has the ethics of a Tom cat in heat.
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Admiral Kizaru
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« Reply #33 on: February 01, 2016, 02:31:19 PM »
Glorious news about the higher than expected turnout!!

Quote from: Ronnie on February 01, 2016, 12:06:11 PM
Did anyone else see all the empty seats at the Trump rally in Waterloo?  That might be a cause for concern for him.

It was at 11am on a weekday so I suspect a lot of people would have been at work. Plus it's still more than what Cruz and Rubio can draw in let alone the others.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #34 on: February 01, 2016, 02:48:13 PM »
Quote from: Torie on February 01, 2016, 01:59:49 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on February 01, 2016, 12:06:11 PM
Did anyone else see all the empty seats at the Trump rally in Waterloo?  That might be a cause for concern for him.

The clips of Trump at his rallies in the last couple of days have him seem surprisingly low energy. He needs to juice himself up with more testosterone. Cruz has the ethics of a Tom cat in heat.

Can you really blame him, though, Torie?  If I were in his position, I probably wouldn't have slept much, if at all, over the past few nights.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #35 on: February 01, 2016, 03:10:15 PM »
Per MSNBC: Trump at rally in Cedar Rapids, much bigger crowd than he got in Waterloo
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Seneca
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« Reply #36 on: February 01, 2016, 03:45:26 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 01, 2016, 08:52:07 AM
Results for both parties might come a bit faster this time because, rather than phoning in the results, both parties are using new Microsoft cloud-based apps to send the results to party HQ.  See this video (the first part is just a description of how the Iowa caucus works; skip ahead to 2:50 for discussion of the app):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_oMVkSfFsw


Doesn't it seem a little odd that Rubio's second biggest corporate backer is being trusted with tallying and conveying the results to the media?

Quote from: Castro on February 01, 2016, 08:55:28 AM
Rubio is reałly trying to tempt the wrath from high atop the thing by calling his party a celebration already...

Maybe he knows something we don't.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #37 on: February 01, 2016, 06:38:10 PM »
Who has the best and most reliable entrance polls
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #38 on: February 01, 2016, 07:04:29 PM »
Quote from: Classic Conservative on February 01, 2016, 06:38:10 PM
Who has the best and most reliable entrance polls

CNN lol
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Horsemask
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« Reply #39 on: February 01, 2016, 07:05:08 PM »
Happy primary season, everyone
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #40 on: February 01, 2016, 07:07:06 PM »

Thank you, same to you!
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Donnie
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« Reply #41 on: February 01, 2016, 07:07:40 PM »
This primitive and laud background music on CNN is awful !
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #42 on: February 01, 2016, 07:09:47 PM »
Quote from: Donnie on February 01, 2016, 07:07:40 PM
This primitive and laud background music on CNN is awful !

I don't mind it.  Maybe I'm just used to it after listening to it for years.
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RI
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« Reply #43 on: February 01, 2016, 07:17:42 PM »
CNN says new GOP registrations are unusually high.
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Helsinkian
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« Reply #44 on: February 01, 2016, 07:18:17 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 01, 2016, 07:17:42 PM
CNN says new GOP registrations are unusually high.

Good for Trump, bad for Cruz.
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #45 on: February 01, 2016, 07:25:27 PM »
CNN is saying that 1/5 of the voters in some supposed bellwether precinct are first-timers.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #46 on: February 01, 2016, 07:26:05 PM »
« Edited: February 01, 2016, 07:27:36 PM by realisticidealist »
Quote from: Ted Bessell, Bass God of the West on February 01, 2016, 07:25:27 PM
CNN is saying that 1/5 of the voters in some supposed bellwether precinct are first-timers.

That was a very rough estimate. I'd wait for the entrance poll for anything with actual numbers.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #47 on: February 01, 2016, 07:26:57 PM »
At this point I think it would take a good upset for Trump to lose this.
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #48 on: February 01, 2016, 07:27:24 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 01, 2016, 07:26:05 PM
Quote from: Ted Bessell, Bass God of the West on February 01, 2016, 07:25:27 PM
CNN is saying that 1/5 of the voters in some supposed bellwether precinct are first-timers.

That was a very rough estimate. I'd wait for the entrance poll.

Agreed, should have included that in the post. However, they're also reporting unusually high numbers of people switching parties, partly to vote for Trump but partly to vote against him.
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #49 on: February 01, 2016, 07:28:23 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on February 01, 2016, 07:26:57 PM
At this point I think it would take a good upset for Trump to lose this.

Agreed. It's looking better and better for him, and his likely margin is just growing and growing in my head.
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