Your Iowa GOP Predictions.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Polls can give a good idea of what is happening but because of the caucus process people can change their minds literally last second, I'm still sticking to my prediction that Cruz will win Iowa with both Trump and Rubio above 20%

[OkThen]

Trump - 33%
Cruz - 26%
Rubio - 15%
Carson - 8%
Bush - 4%
Paul - 4%
Huckabee - 3%
Kasich - 2%
Christie - 2%
Fiorina - 2%
Santorum - 1%
Gilmore - 0% 

[mvd10]

Trump 26
Cruz 24
Rubio 19
Carson 10
Bush 5
Paul 5
Christie 3
Huckabee 3
Kasich 2
Fiorina 2
Santorum 1

[mencken]

It feels like it would be cheating to post a prediction after everyone gets a glimpse of the answer key. Anyway, I still agree with every qualitative prediction I posted a few days ago, just may need to revise the numbers to reflect what I suspect the Selzer poll will show:

Democrats (same numbers as posted earlier)
Sanders 51
Clinton 48
O'Malley 1

Republicans
Trump 29
Cruz 28 (I actually think both of these will round to 29, but then that would be a cop-out to dodge picking a winner)
Rubio 18
Paul 7
Carson 6
Bush 4
Huckabee 2
Christie 2
Kasich 1
Santorum 1
Fiorina 1

Never will there have been so much hype for a candidate finishing in a distant third.

[ElectionsGuy]

Sanders - 50
Clinton - 45
O'Malley - 4

Cruz - 27
Trump - 26
Rubio - 22
Carson - 8
Paul - 4
Bush - 3
Christie - 2
Kasich - 2
Huckabee - 2
Fiorina - 1
Santorum - 1

Most of us will be wrong, but why not? I'm going to say Sanders and Cruz pull upsets.

[Higgs]

I've switched around a lot but this is my final prediction:

Cruz wins Iowa, Trump comes in second, and Rubio comes in a really close third.

Bernie wins Iowa, beating Clinton by a larger margin than in the GOP race

[IceSpear]

Won't be predicting anything until we see Selzer here. But I'm not buying the Rubio surge. Seems like wishful thinking from the media.

I agree that it's probably wishful thinking, but there's also the strong possibility it become a self fulfulling prophecy. Particularly since as much as they're spamming about Rubio being the messiah, they're simultaneously tearing down Cruz.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Won't be predicting anything until we see Selzer here. But I'm not buying the Rubio surge. Seems like wishful thinking from the media.

I agree that it's probably wishful thinking, but there's also the strong possibility it become a self fulfulling prophecy. Particularly since as much as they're spamming about Rubio being the messiah, they're simultaneously tearing down Cruz.

THEIR BONER REMEMBER?

[Senator-elect Spark]

My personal prediction:

25% Cruz       
21% Rubio
14% Carson
12% Kasich
10% Trump
6% Paul
4% Huckabee 
3% Bush
3% Christie
2% Fiorina
0% Santorum
0% Gilmore
0% Others

[Mike Thick]

My personal prediction:

25% Cruz       
21% Rubio
14% Carson
12% Kasich
10% Trump
6% Paul
4% Huckabee 
3% Bush
3% Christie
2% Fiorina
0% Santorum
0% Gilmore
0% Others

Trump in fifth? You really think so?

[Broken System]

My personal prediction:

25% Cruz       
21% Rubio
14% Carson
12% Kasich
10% Trump
6% Paul
4% Huckabee 
3% Bush
3% Christie
2% Fiorina
0% Santorum
0% Gilmore
0% Others

Is this your desired result, or what you believe to be an actual outcome? Trump will underperform, but not nearly that much. And Kasich at 12% when he is rock bottom and not even campaigning in Iowa? LOL! Where did you get these numbers from?

[Kingpoleon]

25% Trump
24% Cruz
21% Rubio
  8% Carson
  6% Huckabee
  4% Bush
  4% Paul
  2% Christie
  2% Fiorina
  2% Kasich
  1% Santorum
  1% Gilmore/Others

[Dorko Julio]

My personal prediction:

25% Cruz       
21% Rubio
14% Carson
12% Kasich
10% Trump
6% Paul
4% Huckabee 
3% Bush
3% Christie
2% Fiorina
0% Santorum
0% Gilmore
0% Others

Trump in fifth? You really think so?

Now that's what I call BOLD!

Well, I could call it something else, but I appreciate his candor!

[SillyAmerican]

After running the intricate computer model:

Trump - 28
Rubio - 24
Cruz - 22
Paul - 7
Carson - 6
Christie - 4
Bush - 3
Kasich - 2
Huckabee - 2
Fiorina - 1
Santorum - 1
Gilmore - 0

[bigedlb]

Top Five -  Under 4% is background noise

36.2   Trump
24.3   Cruz
16.9   Rubio
7.6   Carson
4.3   Paul

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Top 5 (the rest are unimportant)

Trump - 30,2%
Cruz - 21,6%
Rubio - 16,8%
Carson - 10,4%
Paul - 7,0%

[Leinad]

30% - Ted Cruz
25% - Donald Trump
16% - Marco Rubio
  9% - Rand Paul
  8% - Ben Carson
  4% - Jeb! Bush
  2% - Mike Huckabee
  2% - Chris Christie
  2% - John Kasich
  1% - Carly Fiorina
  1% - Rick Santorum

BONUS: At least Huckabee will drop out after this. Santorum should, too, but I don't know if he will.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

30% - Ted Cruz
25% - Donald Trump
16% - Marco Rubio
  9% - Rand Paul
  8% - Ben Carson
  4% - Jeb! Bush
  2% - Mike Huckabee
  2% - Chris Christie
  2% - John Kasich
  1% - Carly Fiorina
  1% - Rick Santorum

BONUS: At least Huckabee will drop out after this. Santorum should, too, but I don't know if he will.

I'll agree with this sentiment.

[Senator Cris]

My average of polls:

31% Trump
25% Cruz
15% Rubio
  9% Carson
  4% Paul
  4% Bush
  3% Christie
  3% Kasich
  3% Huckabee
  2% Fiorina
  1% Santorum
  0% GILMORE
  0% Others

[Coolface Sock #42069]

If the predicted (and unprecedented) turnout actually arrives, Trump. Otherwise, Cruz.

I haven't seen any evidence of a big pickup in voter registrations, but then again, there doesn't seem to be a bunch of information like that available.

I'm going to say Trump, unfortunately, but that's partially just me trying to set low expectations so I'm not disappointed.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

If the predicted (and unprecedented) turnout actually arrives, Trump. Otherwise, Cruz.

I haven't seen any evidence of a big pickup in voter registrations, but then again, there doesn't seem to be a bunch of information like that available.

I'm going to say Trump, unfortunately, but that's partially just me trying to set low expectations so I'm not disappointed.

I'm gonna wait for the Entrance Poll, I think turnout is going to be between the Trump high and the average, I am honestly thinking it will be very close.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clinton narrowly wins 47-45

[Coolface Sock #42069]

If the predicted (and unprecedented) turnout actually arrives, Trump. Otherwise, Cruz.

I haven't seen any evidence of a big pickup in voter registrations, but then again, there doesn't seem to be a bunch of information like that available.

I'm going to say Trump, unfortunately, but that's partially just me trying to set low expectations so I'm not disappointed.

I'm gonna wait for the Entrance Poll, I think turnout is going to be between the Trump high and the average, I am honestly thinking it will be very close.

There's an entrance poll?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

If the predicted (and unprecedented) turnout actually arrives, Trump. Otherwise, Cruz.

I haven't seen any evidence of a big pickup in voter registrations, but then again, there doesn't seem to be a bunch of information like that available.

I'm going to say Trump, unfortunately, but that's partially just me trying to set low expectations so I'm not disappointed.

I'm gonna wait for the Entrance Poll, I think turnout is going to be between the Trump high and the average, I am honestly thinking it will be very close.

There's an entrance poll?

Yes, the entrance poll from 2012 had a three way tie between Santorum, Romney and Paul.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

If the predicted (and unprecedented) turnout actually arrives, Trump. Otherwise, Cruz.

I haven't seen any evidence of a big pickup in voter registrations, but then again, there doesn't seem to be a bunch of information like that available.

I'm going to say Trump, unfortunately, but that's partially just me trying to set low expectations so I'm not disappointed.

I'm gonna wait for the Entrance Poll, I think turnout is going to be between the Trump high and the average, I am honestly thinking it will be very close.

There's an entrance poll?

Here is the entrance poll data from 2012 http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/iowa/exit-polls