Oklahoma Sooner Poll - Trump 35.1 Cruz 25 Rubio 9.6 Taken 1/17-1/19 (user search)
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  Oklahoma Sooner Poll - Trump 35.1 Cruz 25 Rubio 9.6 Taken 1/17-1/19 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Oklahoma Sooner Poll - Trump 35.1 Cruz 25 Rubio 9.6 Taken 1/17-1/19  (Read 1848 times)
cinyc
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« on: January 23, 2016, 12:49:32 AM »

Looks like they've chosen sketchy bitch but it's still weird to have 30%+ undecideds in so many polls this close to voting day.

It's not that close to voting day in Oklahoma.  Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada come first, perhaps along with other states.  Why should anyone in a later-voting state be 100% decided now, when the candidate they back may not even be running by the time they vote?  I'd expect higher undecideds in states not named Iowa and New Hampshire.  The campaign hasn't really started there yet, anyway.
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cinyc
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Posts: 12,721


« Reply #1 on: January 23, 2016, 01:08:02 AM »

Looks like they've chosen sketchy bitch but it's still weird to have 30%+ undecideds in so many polls this close to voting day.

It's not that close to voting day in Oklahoma.  Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada come first, perhaps along with other states.  Why should anyone in a later-voting state be 100% decided now, when the candidate they back may not even be running by the time they vote?  I'd expect higher undecideds in states not named Iowa and New Hampshire.  The campaign hasn't really started there yet, anyway.
Oklahoma is a super Tuesday state 3/1.

The campaign hasn't even started in Super Tuesday states.  TV advertising is minimal, at best.  And people in later states naturally take their cues from the results in earlier states.  It makes sense to be undecided in a Super Tuesday state at this juncture - much more sense than it would in Iowa or New Hampshire.

Yes, Lief, Democrats are more undecided than Republicans, and, looking at the cross-tabs, conservative and younger Democrats tend to be more undecided than liberals.  The poll was supposedly of likely voters, but undecided could very well be code for I'm a registered Democrat, but generally vote Republican in the general election and likely won't vote in the Democratic primary.  This robo call didn't seem to give any option for won't vote, just unsure.

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