Same numbers as Hillary's internals that were leaked to Buzzfeed the other day. It we take them at face value she's up in Iowa and down in NH. A win in Iowa takes the sting out of a loss in NH and probably propels her to wins in NV and SC.
She cannot lose both IA and NH. That will be a blow to her campaign and give Sanders much needed momentum and media attention going into NV, SC and Super Tuesday. If she can win IA and lose NH by a reasonable margin, they can spin the loss as a result of neighboring VT.
Right now, the polls are all over the place and I can't really trust anything regardless of how well a pollster has performed in the past.
Well, realistically, yes, she can lose both and do fine. The optics would look like she was hemorrhaging support, but if in all actuality, two states with very little AA/Hispanic populations and more activist wings voting in the primary/caucus are not in her wheel house.
As long as she doesn't bleed support from AA's and Hispanics and holds onto the 45+ demographic, she's OK in more delegate friendly spots and the southern Super Tuesday states.
I agree, though, losing Iowa and NH is pretty much her campaigns worst nightmare come true because it will spin the media into "this is 2008 all over again."
