The Delegate Fight: 2016
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Erc
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« Reply #100 on: February 22, 2016, 03:09:08 PM »


This was my initial call and, in my mind, the only correct interpretation of NH statutes; only changed my call when literally every single source contradicted it. Apparently I should have stuck to my guns here.
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TomC
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« Reply #101 on: February 23, 2016, 01:46:12 AM »

Vermont (R): March 1

Overview
16 Delegates (6.27% of total)

I don't think that's right- likely carried from the previous (Texas) post.

Awesome thread though- very helpful!
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Erc
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« Reply #102 on: February 23, 2016, 02:57:39 AM »

Vermont (R): March 1

Overview
16 Delegates (6.27% of total)

I don't think that's right- likely carried from the previous (Texas) post.

Awesome thread though- very helpful!

Thanks for the catch!

On the superdelegate front: the folks at Vox got their hands on a list of all the superdelegates.

There's still clearly a couple errors/out-of-date information, but it's a vast improvement over the scrabbled-together list I had before.  There's only around two truly unknown delegates now: who (if anyone) has replaced Sheldon Silver in his DNC slot, and who's replaced ex-Houston Mayor Annise Parker at the National Conference of Democratic Mayors?
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Erc
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« Reply #103 on: February 23, 2016, 07:20:44 PM »
« Edited: March 07, 2016, 01:55:36 PM by Erc »

Kansas (R): March 5

Overview
40 Delegates (1.62% of total)
Closed Caucus
25 At-Large (Proportional, 10% threshold)
12 District (Proportional, 10% threshold)
3 RNC Members (WTA)

Delegate Allocation

Statewide, 25 delegates are bound as a result of the caucus vote.  All candidates receiving at least 10% of the statewide vote receive a share of the delegates proportional to their share of the vote among all candidates meeting the threshold.  Delegates are allocated starting with the winner and proceeding down the candidates in order of number of votes received, with all fractional delegates rounded up, until all 25 delegates are allocated.

The same procedure takes place for the three delegates in each of Kansas's four Congressional Districts.  Here is where the rounding rules really come into play.  If the winner receives more than one-third (33.33%) of the vote among candidates meeting the threshold, he would receive 2 delegates, with the second place finisher receiving one.  Otherwise, the top three candidates meeting the threshold would each receive one delegate.  Here's where Kasich could play an interesting role; a strong (>10%) fourth place finish in a number of Congressional Districts wouldn't net him any delegates, but might swing delegates from first place to third place.

The three automatic RNC member delegates are, in the KS GOP rules, slated to be bound to the winner of the caucus.  It's not clear whether this is in violation of rules requiring proportionality before March 15; possibly, the three delegates will be pooled together and allocated with the other At-Large delegates, though I doubt it.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are selected by the Congressional District Conventions and the State Committee Convention in April and May.

Results (3/5)

Cruz 24 - Trump 9 - Rubio 6 - Kasich 1

In the unlikely event the RNC members are allocated with the rest of the At-Large delegation, Trump and Kasich each gain one at Cruz's expense.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound until released by their candidate.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: KS-R
Frontloading HQ: KS
KS Delegate Allocation: GOP
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Erc
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« Reply #104 on: February 23, 2016, 07:32:29 PM »
« Edited: March 16, 2016, 10:51:51 AM by Erc »

Kentucky (R): March 5

Overview
46 Delegates (1.86% of total)
Closed Caucus
46 At-Large (Proportional, 5% threshold)

Delegate Allocation

All 46 delegates are bound as a result of the caucus vote.  All candidates receiving at least 5% of the statewide vote receive a share of the delegates proportional to their share of the vote among all candidates meeting the threshold, rounded to the nearest whole number.  In the event this results in too many or too few delegates being allocated due to rounding, a delegate is given to (or taken away from) the candidate closest to (or furthest from) receiving another delegate.

Results (3/5)

Trump 17 - Cruz 15 - Rubio 7 - Kasich 7

Delegate Selection

Delegates are selected by the Congressional District Conventions and the State Convention in April and May.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless the candidate dies or withdraws, where withdraws in this case means "notice in writing by the candidate to the chairman of the Kentucky delegation prior to the first ballot."

After a candidate withdraws, the delegation as a whole meets and casts a secret ballot for presidential preference.  This ballot binds any delegates which became Uncommitted, in a proportional manner.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: KY-R
Frontloading HQ: KY
KY Delegate Allocation: GOP
Kentucky Revised Statutes
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Erc
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« Reply #105 on: February 23, 2016, 07:58:38 PM »
« Edited: March 29, 2016, 03:05:32 PM by Erc »

Louisiana (R): March 5

Overview
46 Delegates (1.86% of total)
Closed Primary
28 At-Large (Proportional, 20% threshold)
18 District, (Proportional)

Delegate Allocation

The 28 At-Large delegates (including the 3 RNC members) are bound as a result of the primary vote.  All candidates receiving at least 20% of the statewide vote receive a share of these delegates proportional to their share of their total vote.  These will be rounded by the Executive Committee; they may have some leeway to do so, but I will assume they are rounded to the nearest whole number.

Note that this means that, assuming some candidates don't meet the threshold, there will be delegates left over that are not allocated to any candidate.  The Louisiana rules explicitly provide for this, and say that these delegates will be uncommitted.  Louisiana has thus found a sneaky way to give their State Convention real influence over the results from their state without doing away with their Primary entirely.  It's possible this provision is in violation of national GOP rules, but I think they technically got away with it.

In each of Louisiana's six Congressional Districts, three delegates are allocated proportionally.  There is no threshold at the CD level, and rounding rules are unspecified.  Unless Louisiana adopts a Kansas-type system (where all fractions are rounded up), this is likely to result in the top three candidates in each CD each getting a delegate, unless the winner receives a majority, in which case the delegates would break 2-1.

Results (3/6)

The At-Large delegates break down

Trump 12 - Cruz 11 - Uncommitted 5.

The CD delegate results have been confirmed to be

Trump 6 - Cruz 7 - Rubio 5.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are chosen at the State Convention on March 12.  Candidates provided a list of approved delegate candidates, which the State Convention chooses from.  They also choose any Uncommitted At-Large delegates left over after the allocation above.

The delegates attending the State Convention are chosen entirely by the Republican State Central Committee.

Delegates

Trump (18)
[1] Jay Batt
[2] Andrew Bautsch
[3] Adrian Bruneau
[4] Collin Buisson
[5] Michael Chittom
[6] Jeff Crouere
[7] Mike Fesi
[8] Fenn French
[9] Jeff Giles
[10] Gena Gore
[11] Duke Lowrie
[12] Eric Skrmetta - Trump
[1-1] Lynn Skidmore
[2-1] Jennifer Madsen
[3-1] Patti Carter
[4-1] Diane Long
[5-1] Kay Kellogg Katz
[6-1] Penny Vidrine

Cruz (18)
[1] Michael Bayham
[2] Charlie Buckels
[3] Zach Dasher
[4] Joy Duhon
[5] Kim Fralick
[6] Louis Gurvis Jr.
[7] Tony Perkins
[8] Bob Reid
[9] Franz Robinson
[10] Michael Sims
[11] Ed Tarpley
[1-1] Tina Payton
[2-1] Gregory Neff
[3-1] Gwen Bowen
[4-1] Sandra McDade
[4-2] Michael Vergis
[5-1] Frank Black
[6-1] Jonathan Davis

Rubio (5) (now Uncommitted)
[1-1] Stephanie Berault
[2-1] Robert Williamson
[3-1] Jennifer LeBlanc
[5-1] Luke Letlow
[6-1] Leslie Tassin Sr.

Uncommitted (5)
[1] Rhett Davis (likely Jonathan's father?)
[2] Jason Doré [Executive Director]
[3] Ross Little Jr. [National Committeeman] - Cruz
[4] Roger Villere, Jr. [State Chairman]
[5] Lenar Whitney [National Committeewoman - Cruz

Reportedly, many (if not all) of the others are for Cruz as well, as Cruz had a supermajority at the State Convention.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

The non-Uncommitted delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless the candidate ends or suspends their candidacy.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: LA-R
Frontloading HQ: LA
LA Delegate Allocation: GOP
Louisiana Caucus Results
Elected Delegates
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #106 on: February 23, 2016, 08:04:18 PM »

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But if a candidate gets more than 50% in a CD, won't they round up to two delegates, with second place getting 1 delegate?
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Erc
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« Reply #107 on: February 23, 2016, 08:07:41 PM »

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But if a candidate gets more than 50% in a CD, won't they round up to two delegates, with second place getting 1 delegate?

Certainly.  My "likely" was (far too short) shorthand for "assuming no one gets a majority."  I'll edit the post to clarify.
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Erc
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« Reply #108 on: February 23, 2016, 08:27:17 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2016, 08:56:30 PM by Erc »

Maine (R): March 5

Overview
23 Delegates (0.93% of total)
Closed Caucus
23 At-Large (Proportional, 10% threshold; WTA if majority)

Delegate Allocation

If any candidate receives a majority of the vote, they receive all 23 delegates.  Otherwise, candidates receive delegates proportional to their share of the caucus vote among all candidates meeting a 10% threshold.  The rounding rules are a bit contradictory here.  One section says fractional delegates are rounded up, starting with the winner and proceeding down; the next section says they are rounded to the nearest whole number, with any rounding errors compensated for by adding (removing) a delegate to the candidate closest to (furthest from) an additional delegate.  I will be choosing to go with the first section unless I hear otherwise; FHQ agrees.

Results

Cruz 12 - Trump 9 - Kasich 2

These results confirm that the fractional delegates are rounded up.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are chosen at the State Convention on April 21-23.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot unless their candidate withdraws.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: ME-R
Bangor Daily News
ME GOP Delegate Allocation Rules
Frontloading HQ: ME
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Erc
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« Reply #109 on: February 23, 2016, 09:06:55 PM »
« Edited: March 25, 2016, 05:12:08 PM by Erc »

Puerto Rico (R): March 6

Overview
23 Delegates (0.93% of total)
Open Primary
23 At-Large (Proportional, 20% threshold; WTA if majority)

Delegate Allocation

If any candidate receives a majority of the vote, they receive all 23 delegates.  Otherwise, candidates receive delegates proportional to their share of the caucus vote among all candidates meeting a 20% threshold.  Rounding rules are unknown.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are elected directly on the ballot.  All candidates still in the race have a full slate of delegates.

Results

Rubio won a majority of the vote and all 23 delegates.  The list of his delegates can be found on the Sample Ballot.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are apparently bound on the first ballot only.  A PR GOP source says candidates may release their delegates.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: PR-R
Sample Ballot
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Erc
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« Reply #110 on: February 23, 2016, 09:24:35 PM »
« Edited: March 09, 2016, 04:48:02 PM by Erc »

Hawaii (R): March 8

Overview
19 Delegates (0.77% of total)
Closed Caucus
10 At-Large (Proportional, no threshold)
6 District (Proportional, no threshold)
3 RNC (Proportional, no threshold)

Delegate Allocation

The 10 At-Large delegates are allocated proportionally based on the results of the caucus.  Starting with the winner, each candidate receives a share of delegates equal to his share of the total vote among FEC-registered candidates, rounding up both fractional percentages and fractional delegates, until all delegates are allocated.

The same procedure applies for the three delegates in each CD, and for the 3 RNC members.  In practice, this means that if the winner breaks 33% of the vote, he gets 2 delegates to the runner-up's one; otherwise the top three candidates each receive a delegate.

Results (3/9)

Trump 11 - Cruz 7 - Rubio 1

This gives Trump another Rule 40 state; this is his 7th out of the needed 8.

Delegate Selection

The candidates choose their own delegates, essentially.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless their candidate withdraws.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: HI-R
HI GOP Delegate Allocation Rules
Frontloading HQ: HI
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Erc
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« Reply #111 on: February 23, 2016, 09:57:13 PM »
« Edited: March 14, 2016, 10:41:33 PM by Erc »

Idaho (R): March 8

Overview
32 Delegates (1.29% of total)
Closed Primary
32 At-Large (Proportional, 20% threshold; WTA if majority)

Delegate Allocation

If a candidate wins a majority of the primary vote, they receive all 32 delegates.  Otherwise, each candidate breaking a 20% threshold receives a share of the delegates proportional to their share of the total vote; The Green Papers says fractional delegates are rounded to the nearest delegates.  Delegates that would go to under-threshold candidates are instead allocated proportionally among the threshold-meeting candidates; whether this means they are repooled or not is unclear.  The Green Papers says the Nominating Committee will have final say over any residual rounding error issues.

Results (3/9)

Cruz 20 - Trump 12

There's little room for leeway in the rounding rules here; this count seems relatively guaranteed.  Cruz picks up his 4th Rule 40 state, out of the necessary 8.

Delegate Selection

The candidates choose 80% of their own delegates by early May; the remaining 20% are chosen by a State Nominating Committee.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless their candidate withdraws, dies, or releases his delegates.  If a candidate withdraws or releases his delegates before the Idaho State Convention (June 2-4), or fails to provide a list of delegates, the State Convention chooses them instead and they will be officially Uncommitted.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: ID-R
ID GOP Delegate Allocation Rules
Frontloading HQ: ID
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Erc
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« Reply #112 on: February 23, 2016, 10:13:12 PM »
« Edited: March 09, 2016, 04:49:39 PM by Erc »

Michigan (R): March 8

Overview
59 Delegates (2.39% of total)
Closed Primary [though affiliation may be switched at the polls]
59 At-Large (Proportional, 15% threshold; WTA if majority)

Delegate Allocation

If a candidate wins a majority of the primary vote, they receive all 59 delegates.  Otherwise, each candidate receives a share of the delegates equal to their share of the vote among all candidates reaching a 15% threshold.  Rounding errors are compensated for by giving a candidate to the winner or taking it from the lowest-place finisher, as necessary.

Results (3/9)

Trump 25 - Cruz 17 - Kasich 17

Delegate Selection

Delegates are chosen at the State Convention April 8-9.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless their candidate withdraws, dies, suspends his campaign, or releases his delegates.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: MI-R
RNC Process Book
FHQ: MI
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Erc
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« Reply #113 on: February 23, 2016, 10:19:34 PM »
« Edited: March 09, 2016, 05:51:14 PM by Erc »

Mississippi (R): March 8

Overview
40 Delegates (1.62% of total)
Open Primary
28 At-Large (Proportional, 15% threshold)
12 District (Winner-Take-Most; WTA if majority)

Delegate Allocation

In each of the four Congressional Districts, the winner receives two delegates and the runner-up receives one.  If the winner gets a majority of the vote in the CD, he receives all three delegates, instead.

Statewide, each candidate receives the same share of the 28 At-Large delegates as their share of the vote among all candidates meeting a 15% threshold, rounded to the nearest whole number. FHQ claims that in case of an overallocation of delegates, a delegate is removed from the lowest-placed qualifying candidate; in case of an underallocation of delegates, that one delegate is Uncommitted.

Results (3/9)

Cruz seems to have kept Trump under the 50% WTA threshold all of the CDs, resulting in a count of

Trump 24 - Cruz 16

It's especially close in CDs 2,3, and 4, where Trump seems to be on track for 49% of the vote in each.  Trump certainly does not have a majority in CD 4, and CD 3 likewise seems out of reach.  CD 2 is still a definite possibility, and will depend on the breakdowns in Hinds and Madison counties.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are chosen at the State Convention May 13-14.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound until their candidate releases them.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: MS-R
FHQ: MS
MS GOP Delegate Allocation Rules
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Erc
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« Reply #114 on: February 23, 2016, 10:44:02 PM »
« Edited: March 22, 2016, 04:21:59 PM by Erc »

Virgin Islands (R): March 10

Overview
9 Delegates (0.36% of total)
Closed Caucus
6 Directly Elected Delegates
3 RNC Members (unbound)

Delegate Allocation and Selection

Caucus attendees vote directly for delegate candidates on their ballots.  Each attendee gets six votes, and the top six vote-winners are duly elected.

Note that the ballot has 10 Carson delegates, 6 Cruz delegates, 3 Rubio delegates, 3 Trump delegates, and 20 Uncommitted delegates.  Trump, Rubio, and Kasich do not have full delegate slates.

RNC Members

John Canegata
Lilliana Belardo de O'Neal
Holland Redfield III

As the Virgin Islands never directly holds a presidential preference vote, its RNC members are not bound.

Results (3/11)

The following six delegates were elected, all Uncommitted:
[1] John Yob*
[2] Gwendolyn Brady
[3] Warren Cole
[4] Erica Yob*
[5] George Logan
[6] Lindsey Eilon*

* These three people moved to the Virgin Islands quite recently specifically to become delegates.  Due to their short period of residency here, their eligibility to be delegates is contested and is the subject of an ongoing court case.  The Yobs appear to have won the court case so far, but further appeals may be possible.

After losing the court case, John Canegata decided to try to throw out all 6 elected delegates based on a patently incorrect reading of a technicality.  More discussion can be found here..  If this does hold (I expect it will not), these six alternates will be seated instead:

[A-1] David Johnson - Uncommitted
[A-2] Valerie Stile - Rubio
[A-3] Andrea Moeckel - Uncommitted
[A-4] Huberto O'Neal - Rubio
[A-5] Steven K. Hardy - Trump
[A-6] Robert Max Schanfarber - Cruz

The rules support the Yobs here; this is a pretty blatant attempt by John Canegata to steal the election.  Regardless, this is probably going to go to a credentials fight at the convention.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates who listed a preference are bound to that candidate on the first ballot, unless they withdraw prior to the caucus (on March 10).  This means, in particular, that any delegates Rubio wins remain bound to him.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: VI-R
FHQ: VI
Caucus Ballot
VI GOP Caucus Rules
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Erc
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« Reply #115 on: February 23, 2016, 10:56:45 PM »
« Edited: March 25, 2016, 05:10:32 PM by Erc »

District of Columbia (R): March 12

Overview
19 Delegates (0.77% of total)
Closed Caucus
19 At-Large (Proportional, 15% threshold; WTA if majority)

At the Caucus

The "caucus" takes place in the Loews Madison Hotel; registered Republicans may vote at any point between 10 AM and 4 PM.

Delegate Allocation

If a candidate wins a majority of the vote, they receive all 19 delegates.  Otherwise, each candidate receives a share of the delegates proportional to their share of the vote among all candidates meeting a 15% threshold.  There are two sections in the DC GOP rules that contradict each other, regarding the rounding.  The first says that all fractional delegates are rounded up; delegates are given out starting with the winner and going down until all delegates are allocated.  The second says that delegates are rounded to the nearest whole number, with rounding errors resolved by giving (or taking) a delegate closest to (furthest from) receiving an additional delegate.  FHQ goes with the latter interpretation; I'm going with the former.

Results

Rubio 10 - Kasich 9

Rubio won a narrow victory over Kasich, with Trump and Cruz falling below threshold.  This is Rubio's 2nd Rule 40 state, after Puerto Rico.

Delegate Selection

The caucus also elects the delegates.  In practice, each candidate has a slate of delegates they want elected, and hand them out to voters in line; there are other delegate candidates not on any of these slates.  The following delegates were elected, with associated slates are listed in parentheses:

1.       Rich Counts (Rubio)
2.       Rina Shah Bharara (Rubio)
3.       Chip Nottingham (Kasich)
4.       Kris Hammond (Kasich)
5.       William Behrens (Rubio)
6.       Holly Greaves (Rubio)
7.       Robert Chamberlin (Rubio)
8.       Betsy Wright Hawkings (Kasich)
9.       Rachel Hoff (Rubio)
10.   Maureen Blum (Rubio)
11.   Brian Walsh (Rubio)
12.   Teri Galvez (Rubio)
13.   Robert Sinners (Kasich)
14.   Christian Berle (Kasich)
15.   Kevin Cain (Rubio)
16.   Tim Costa (Rubio)

No one not on the Rubio or Kasich slates were elected.  Note that this means some Rubio-slate delegates will be bound to Kasich on the first ballot.  The alternates also break down 11-5 Rubio-Kasich.

Candidate Withdrawal / Brokered Convention

Delegates are bound through the first ballot, unless their candidate withdraws.  DC GOP has clarified that withdraw really does mean officially withdraw; Rubio's suspension does not cut it.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: DC-R
DC Delegate Selection Plan
FHQ: DC
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Erc
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« Reply #116 on: February 23, 2016, 11:02:33 PM »
« Edited: March 12, 2016, 09:52:35 AM by Erc »

Guam (R): March 12

Overview
9 Delegates (0.36% of total)
Closed Caucus
6 At-Large (directly elected)
3 RNC Members (unbound)

Delegate Allocation and Selection

The caucus, operating as a convention, chooses the six delegates.  They are not officially bound to any candidate.

Elected Delegates

Gov. Eddie Calvo - Cruz
Sen. Frank Blas Jr.
Sen. Tony Ada
Juan Carlos Benitez
Benny Pinaula
Telo Taitague

RNC Members (unbound)

Mike Benito
Margaret Metcalfe
David Sablan

Useful Links
The Green Papers: GU-R
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Erc
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« Reply #117 on: February 24, 2016, 02:38:09 AM »
« Edited: February 24, 2016, 04:08:38 AM by Erc »

(Very) Preliminary Nevada Results

With 30% reporting...

CandidatePercentDelegates
Trump43.7%13
Rubio24.5%7
Cruz22.5%7
Carson5.7%2
Kasich3.6%1

Trump would gain a delegate if he breaks 45%, lose one if he falls below 41.67%; Rubio or Cruz would gain a delegate if they break 25%, lose one if they fall below 21.67%.  Carson loses a delegate if he falls below 5%; Kasich falls below threshold if he falls below 3.33%.

Update (78.4% reporting): Trump seems to have gained a delegate from Carson, though the margin is only around 40 votes.
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Erc
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« Reply #118 on: February 24, 2016, 03:06:44 AM »
« Edited: March 15, 2016, 10:13:16 AM by Erc »

Florida (R): March 15

Overview
99 Delegates (4.00% of total)
Closed Primary
99 At-Large (Winner-Take-All)

Delegate Allocation

The winner of the primary receives all 99 delegates.

Delegate Selection

Within a week after the primary, all candidates (not just the winner) provide lists of delegates they would like to send to Cleveland.  These lists are advisory lists only.

81 CD delegates are chosen by CD caucuses and the 15 At-Large delegates are chosen by the FL GOP Executive board from these lists, at some point before June 3.  Note that they are not obliged to choose delegates from the list provided by the winner of the state's primary; they could nominate another candidate's delegates, or (it seems) choose different people entirely.

Candidate Withdrawal / Contested Convention

The delegates are bound on the first three ballots, unless the candidate withdraws or releases his delegates.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: FL-R
FHQ: FL
Republican Party of Florida Rules
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Erc
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« Reply #119 on: February 24, 2016, 03:39:17 AM »
« Edited: March 15, 2016, 10:16:41 AM by Erc »

Illinois (R): March 15

Overview
69 Delegates (2.79% of total)
Open Primary
15 At-Large (Winner Take All)
54 District (directly elected)

Delegate Allocation and Selection

A presidential preference poll is on the ballot; the winner of this poll wins all 15 At-Large delegates.  12 of these are chosen at the State Convention on May 22.

Additionally, voters directly vote for 3 delegates running for a slot within their CD; the delegate candidates have their Presidential preference listed on the ballot.  All current candidates have a complete slate of delegates.  The top three delegate vote-getters in each CD get their ticket punched to Cleveland.  Voters are not obliged to vote for delegates who match the candidate they voted for in the preference poll.  Often, there are some personally popular delegate candidates who can get elected on the strength of their name alone (e.g. in 2008, Dennis Hastert, a Romney delegate, was elected in his CD despite a McCain win there in the preference poll).

Candidate Withdrawal / Contested Convention

Despite what it says in the IL GOP rules, their filing with the RNC indicates that both At-Large and CD delegates are bound at the convention.

FHQ says the At-Large delegates are bound on the first ballot, unless the candidate withdraws, and that the CD delegates are bound until released.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: IL-R
IL Delegate Selection Guide
RNC Process Book
FHQ: IL
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« Reply #120 on: February 24, 2016, 04:24:02 AM »
« Edited: March 15, 2016, 10:07:39 AM by Erc »

Missouri (R): March 15

Overview
52 Delegates (2.10% of total)
Half-Open Primary
12 At-Large (WTA; WTA for entire delegation if majority)
40 District (WTA)

Delegate Allocation

If a candidate receives a majority of the vote, they receive all 52 delegates.  Otherwise, the statewide winner receives 12 delegates, and the winner of each of the 8 CDs receives 5 (not 3!) delegates.

Delegate Selection

24 Delegates are chosen at CD conventions (April 30) and 25 at the State Convention (May 21).  Delegates to these are chosen at April 9 caucuses.

Candidate Withdrawal / Contested Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot unless their candidate withdraws, releases them, dies, or "becomes inactive."

Useful Links
The Green Papers: MO-R
FHQ: MO
MO Delegate Selection Guide
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PresidentTRUMP
2016election
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« Reply #121 on: February 24, 2016, 10:39:12 AM »

I believe the official delegate count right now is:

Trump: 81
Rubio: 17
Cruz: 17
Kasich: 6
Carson: 4

I believe you have Rubios totals incorrect for NH and Nevada where you have him with 2 and 7, respectively. While he received 3 and 8 delegates in each state.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_delegate_count.html
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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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United States


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« Reply #122 on: February 24, 2016, 01:56:34 PM »

I believe the official delegate count right now is:

Trump: 81
Rubio: 17
Cruz: 17
Kasich: 6
Carson: 4

I believe you have Rubios totals incorrect for NH and Nevada where you have him with 2 and 7, respectively. While he received 3 and 8 delegates in each state.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_delegate_count.html

Your link has not been updated to reflect this in NH:
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/gop-primaries/270310-trump-wins-additional-nh-delegate

Your link does correctly show Rubio with 7 delegates in NV, though
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #123 on: February 24, 2016, 02:07:00 PM »

In the final few percent of precincts in Nevada, Carson managed to pull ahead of Cruz in the race for the final delegate by about 20 votes.

Final count: Trump 14 - Rubio 7 - Cruz 6 - Carson 2 - Kasich 1.
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #124 on: February 24, 2016, 02:41:19 PM »
« Edited: April 12, 2016, 02:24:01 PM by Erc »

North Carolina (R): March 15

Overview
72 Delegates (2.91% of total)
Half-Open Primary
72 At-Large (Proportional, no threshold)

Delegate Allocation

Delegates are allocated proportionally to a candidate's share of the vote.  FHQ says rounding is to the nearest delegate.  If this results in too many (or too few) delegates being awarded, remove one from the person furthest from (or closest to) receiving an additional delegate.

Delegate Selection

Delegates are chosen at District Conventions in April and the State Convention in May.

Candidate Withdrawal / Contested Convention

Delegates are bound on the first ballot.  There is no provision for releasing delegates before then.

Useful Links
The Green Papers: NC-R
NC Plan of Organization (not helpful)
FHQ: NC
NC Delegate Selection FAQ
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