Morning Consult National: Trump 42%, Carson 12%; Clinton 49%, Sanders 32%

[Wells]

A new Morning Consult national poll shows Clinton leading Sanders by 17 points, and Trump leading his closest rival by 30 percent. This was conducted from January 8-10.

1. Trump 42%
2. Carson 12%
3. Cruz 10%
4. Rubio 9%
5. Bush 5%
6. Christie 4%
7. Paul 3%
8. TIE: Huckabee & Kasich 2%
9. TIE: Fiorina & Santorum 1%

1. Clinton 49%
2. Sanders 32%
3. O'Malley 3%

[This account no longer in use.]

Carson ahead of Cruz and Rubio?

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Please, Dave, let those Pub numbers be real...

[Eraserhead]

Hasn't like every single Morning Consult poll had Trump at 40 or so?

[EliteLX]

Carson isn't beating Rubio & Cruz.

[Sorenroy]

http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/160101_topline_trend_v2_AP.pdf

Candidate — Poll (change from last month)

Republicans:
Trump — 42% (+2)
Carson — 12% (+2)
Cruz — 10% (+1)
Rubio — 9% (+2)
Bush — 5% (-2)
Christie — 4% (+1)
Paul — 3% (No Change)
Huckabee — 2% (-1)
Kasich — 2% (No Change)
Fiorina — 1% (-2)
Santorum — 1% (No Change)

Democrats:
Clinton — 49% (-3)
Sanders — 32% (+5)
O'Malley — 3% (+1)

Favorability seems to be a question they asked everyone. What I mean is that you did not have to be in the party of that candidate to give a favorability. This was not weighted, which means that to get positive you would need people from both parties to like you.

Candidate — Favorable-Unfavorable (Net)

Sanders — 47-35 (+12)
Carson — 39-41 (-2)
Rubio — 35-38 (-3)
Cruz — 37-41 (-4)
Trump — 43-51 (-8)
Clinton — 43-52 (-9)
O'Malley — 19-28 (-9)
Fiorina — 26-40 (-14)
Kasich — 18-33 (-15)
Christie — 29-46 (-17)
Paul — 28-45 (-17)
Huckabee — 28-47 (-19)
Bush — 29-54 (-25)
Santorum — 19-45 (-26)

Finally, they broke down the favorability question and included a "Never heard of." option. I find that interesting, so I'm including that too (again, it was answered by both sides of the isle). Ranked in order of least unknown.

Clinton — 1%
Trump —1%
Bush — 5%
Sanders — 6%
Carson — 7%
Cruz — 7%
Huckabee — 8%
Christie — 10%
Rubio — 10%
Paul — 10%
Santorum — 15%
Fiorina — 18%
O'Malley — 28%
Kasich — 28%

Of course, asking everyone isn't really helpful. Your not in a national primary, your running for Republican/Democratic votes.

Ethnic groups:
White — 81%
African-American — 13%
Hispanic — 9%
Other — 6%

[Mr. Morden]

It may be a terrible pollster, but the basic trends in the GOP crosstabs seem to largely make sense.  On the regional breakdown, as with basically every other poll, Trump is strongest in the Northeast, followed by the South, followed by the Midwest, followed by the West.

In rural vs. suburban vs. urban, it’s:

rural
Trump 47%
Carson 13%
Cruz 13%
Rubio 6%

suburban
Trump 40%
Carson 11%
Rubio 10%
Cruz 9%

urban
Trump 39%
Carson 13%
Rubio 12%
Bush 8%

[Zanas]

I guess Cruz voters prefer a black to a Canadian.