IA - Selzer/DMR poll Hillary leads Bernie 48-39

[Fusionmunster]

Obama was doing significantly better th van Sanders in Iowa at this point in 2007.

Due to the nature of the 3 way race in 2008, Obama was polling under Sanders. However, your right in that Obama managed to tie Hillary at this point and even began to take the lead.

[Fusionmunster]

Obama was doing significantly better th van Sanders in Iowa at this point in 2007.

Due to the nature of the 3 way race in 2008, Obama was polling under Sanders. However, your right in that Obama managed to tie Hillary at this point and even began to take the lead.

It's kind of tough to make a direct comparison too though because the Iowa caucus was held on Jan. 3rd that year. It won't happen until Feb. 1st this time.

By the way, in the final polls before Iowa that year, Obama's support was underestimated big time by everyone including the DMR poll.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_democratic_caucus-208.html#polls

They did come pretty close to nailing his margin of victory though.

Poor Biden and Richardson, their supporters went to Edwards and Obama when they didn't meet the 15% threshold. That would explain the underestimation I think.