More evidence that Selzer's anti-Trump methodology is flawed. The thing about polling a caucus is that turnout can vary wildly with enthusiasm. That's what happened with Obama in '08. People wondered if his voters would really turn out for him, and they did. Similarly, people are enthusiastic for Trump, and "unlikely" voters will turn out for him now. Voters (i.e. downscale white voters who have been stomped on by the system and by both parties) are sick and tired of Obama, and Trump is the least like Obama of all the candidates. That is why he is winning, and is why he will continue to win.
you realize almost half of trumpholes in iowa aren't even registered to vote? Feb 1st wont be kind to this forum