Overtime Politics Thread (WARNING: Possible fraud) (user search)
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  Overtime Politics Thread (WARNING: Possible fraud) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Overtime Politics Thread (WARNING: Possible fraud)  (Read 72277 times)
Pandaguineapig
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Posts: 2,608
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« on: December 14, 2015, 01:31:42 PM »

More evidence that Selzer's anti-Trump methodology is flawed. The thing about polling a caucus is that turnout can vary wildly with enthusiasm. That's what happened with Obama in '08. People wondered if his voters would really turn out for him, and they did. Similarly, people are enthusiastic for Trump, and "unlikely" voters will turn out for him now. Voters (i.e. downscale white voters who have been stomped on by the system and by both parties) are sick and tired of Obama, and Trump is the least like Obama of all the candidates. That is why he is winning, and is why he will continue to win.
you realize almost half of trumpholes in iowa aren't even registered to vote? Feb 1st wont be kind to this forum
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Pandaguineapig
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,608
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 14, 2015, 01:43:34 PM »

More evidence that Selzer's anti-Trump methodology is flawed. The thing about polling a caucus is that turnout can vary wildly with enthusiasm. That's what happened with Obama in '08. People wondered if his voters would really turn out for him, and they did. Similarly, people are enthusiastic for Trump, and "unlikely" voters will turn out for him now. Voters (i.e. downscale white voters who have been stomped on by the system and by both parties) are sick and tired of Obama, and Trump is the least like Obama of all the candidates. That is why he is winning, and is why he will continue to win.
you realize almost half of trumpholes in iowa aren't even registered to vote? Feb 1st wont be kind to this forum

The caucuses have election day registration.
still it goes to show that trump in adiition to losing to cruz in the polls, is almost guaranteed to underperform them
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Pandaguineapig
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,608
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 21, 2015, 12:17:46 AM »

will there be republican numbers?
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