Overtime Politics Thread (WARNING: Possible fraud)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 21, 2024, 07:59:12 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  Overtime Politics Thread (WARNING: Possible fraud)
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 8 9 10 11 12 [13] 14 15 16 17 18 ... 26
Author Topic: Overtime Politics Thread (WARNING: Possible fraud)  (Read 72808 times)
This account no longer in use.
cxs018
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,282


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #300 on: January 01, 2016, 07:28:16 PM »

I don't see why he's so scared, to be honest. It's not like anybody's going to send him anthrax.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,604
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #301 on: January 01, 2016, 08:26:09 PM »

So basically some random guy just decided to become (or pretend to be) a pollster. Okay.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,847
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #302 on: January 01, 2016, 08:54:26 PM »

I don't see why he's so scared, to be honest. It's not like anybody's going to send him anthrax.

Anything's possible.

^He claims to have a small number of people helping him make calls.
Logged
yankeesfan
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,148
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #303 on: January 01, 2016, 10:46:05 PM »

I don't see why he's so scared, to be honest. It's not like anybody's going to send him anthrax.

Anything's possible.

^He claims to have a small number of people helping him make calls.

Probably the same people that Trump's talking about when he says he has a lot of Muslim and Mexican friends.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #304 on: January 02, 2016, 01:04:33 AM »

I don't see why he's so scared, to be honest. It's not like anybody's going to send him anthrax.

Anything's possible.

^He claims to have a small number of people helping him make calls.

Probably the same people that Trump's talking about when he says he has a lot of Muslim and Mexican friends.

Overtime Politics is using Muslim Mexican labor?
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #305 on: January 02, 2016, 01:50:47 AM »

I don't see why he's so scared, to be honest. It's not like anybody's going to send him anthrax.

Anything's possible.

^He claims to have a small number of people helping him make calls.

That's oddly specific, considering there's probably only about a thousand or so Muslims in Mexico.

Probably the same people that Trump's talking about when he says he has a lot of Muslim and Mexican friends.

Overtime Politics is using Muslim Mexican labor?

Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #306 on: January 02, 2016, 12:15:49 PM »

I don't see why he's so scared, to be honest. It's not like anybody's going to send him anthrax.

Anything's possible.

^He claims to have a small number of people helping him make calls.

That's oddly specific, considering there's probably only about a thousand or so Muslims in Mexico.

Probably the same people that Trump's talking about when he says he has a lot of Muslim and Mexican friends.

Overtime Politics is using Muslim Mexican labor?

Logged
RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,784
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #307 on: January 02, 2016, 04:10:58 PM »

So basically some random guy just decided to become (or pretend to be) a pollster. Okay.

That's what it sounds like to me too. He might've gotten help from a few friends, but that's it.
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #308 on: January 02, 2016, 07:48:51 PM »

http://overtimepolitics.com/hillary-clinton-holds-5-point-lead-in-missouri-over-bernie-sanders-47-42/

Hillary Clinton- 192 – 47%
Bernie Sanders – 172 – 42%
Martin O’Malley – 12 – 3%
Undecided – 33 – 8%
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,847
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #309 on: January 02, 2016, 07:52:43 PM »

I expected Missouri to be somewhat close due to it being almost entirely white outside of its most urban areas, but this close?!? Wow, Go Sanders!
Logged
A Perez
Rookie
**
Posts: 231
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #310 on: January 02, 2016, 08:44:25 PM »

I expected Missouri to be somewhat close due to it being almost entirely white outside of its most urban areas, but this close?!? Wow, Go Sanders!

No, it's not this close, unless a real pollster says so.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,766
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #311 on: January 02, 2016, 08:50:03 PM »

I expected Missouri to be somewhat close due to it being almost entirely white outside of its most urban areas, but this close?!? Wow, Go Sanders!

Careful, you're entering jfern territory!
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #312 on: January 02, 2016, 09:00:29 PM »


lol, no.
Logged
○∙◄☻₯tπ[╪AV┼cVκ└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,824


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #313 on: January 02, 2016, 10:05:37 PM »

I expected Missouri to be somewhat close due to it being almost entirely white outside of its most urban areas, but this close?!? Wow, Go Sanders!

Careful, you're entering jfern territory!

Are all Hillary supporters obnoxious hacks?
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,991


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #314 on: January 02, 2016, 11:11:56 PM »

Any poll that doesn't weigh by demographics (much less ask about them lol) is going to dramatically undercount minority voters. In minority-heavy primary electorates, like Missouri, this is going to disproportionately hurt Clinton.
Logged
mds32
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,090
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #315 on: January 02, 2016, 11:23:28 PM »

I expected Missouri to be somewhat close due to it being almost entirely white outside of its most urban areas, but this close?!? Wow, Go Sanders!

Careful, you're entering jfern territory!

Are all Hillary supporters obnoxious hacks?

Basically
Logged
This account no longer in use.
cxs018
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,282


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #316 on: January 02, 2016, 11:26:26 PM »

I expected Missouri to be somewhat close due to it being almost entirely white outside of its most urban areas, but this close?!? Wow, Go Sanders!

Careful, you're entering jfern territory!

Are all Hillary supporters obnoxious hacks?

I've met obnoxious Hillary supporters and obnoxious Bernie supporters. However, Atlas has many, many more obnoxious Hillary supporters than obnoxious Bernie supporters.
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,690
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #317 on: January 03, 2016, 12:22:06 AM »

I expected Missouri to be somewhat close due to it being almost entirely white outside of its most urban areas, but this close?!? Wow, Go Sanders!

Careful, you're entering jfern territory!

Are all Hillary supporters obnoxious hacks?

I've met obnoxious Hillary supporters and obnoxious Bernie supporters. However, Atlas has many, many more obnoxious Hillary supporters than obnoxious Bernie supporters.

They use projection all the time when they talk about the Sanders campaign. A lot of them are right on most issues but come across as dicks. I support Bernie but i have never been up his ass as much as the Clinton supporters in here.
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #318 on: January 03, 2016, 12:41:38 AM »

http://overtimepolitics.com/donald-trump-leads-ted-cruz-by-12-points-in-missouri-36-24/

Donald Trump – 155 – 36%
Ted Cruz – 103 – 24%
Marco Rubio – 78 – 18%
Ben Carson – 21 – 5%
Jeb Bush – 17 – 4%
Chris Christie – 9 – 2%
Rand Paul – 8 – 2%
Carly Fiorina – 5 – 1%
John Kasich – 4 – 1%
Other – 9 – 2%
Undecided – 22 – 5%
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #319 on: January 03, 2016, 12:48:09 AM »

There are hacks on both sides, clearly.

But vague generalisations about entire groups of people are really not helpful. Like it or not, most of us are actually on the same side, supporting one candidate does not make one a hack just because you might not understand why. Saying a clearly dodgy pro-Sanders poll is trash is not hackery, saying a dodgy poll might be legit because you like/dislike the outcome is.

I've always said that I respect Sanders and his role in this campaign, but I'm pretty clear that I support Hillary more and why. That doesn't mean I'm some closet right-winger, I'm very clearly a progressive and while not perfect, Hillary is my choice. Cutting through some of this personal bull**** will make life a lot easier for everyone when unity is required to defeat anyone from one of the most deranged and disconnected GOP fields in history. We cannot depend on the GOP picking a lunatic to just hand a rare third-term to whomever the Democrat is
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #320 on: January 03, 2016, 01:02:05 AM »

http://overtimepolitics.com/donald-trump-leads-ted-cruz-by-12-points-in-missouri-36-24/

Donald Trump – 155 – 36%
Ted Cruz – 103 – 24%
Marco Rubio – 78 – 18%
Ben Carson – 21 – 5%
Jeb Bush – 17 – 4%
Chris Christie – 9 – 2%
Rand Paul – 8 – 2%
Carly Fiorina – 5 – 1%
John Kasich – 4 – 1%
Other – 9 – 2%
Undecided – 22 – 5%
This is very close to the Remington poll....I think we should give Overtime a chance, if it's wrong that's the worse that can happen.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #321 on: January 03, 2016, 03:45:40 AM »

http://overtimepolitics.com/donald-trump-leads-ted-cruz-by-12-points-in-missouri-36-24/

Donald Trump – 155 – 36%
Ted Cruz – 103 – 24%
Marco Rubio – 78 – 18%
Ben Carson – 21 – 5%
Jeb Bush – 17 – 4%
Chris Christie – 9 – 2%
Rand Paul – 8 – 2%
Carly Fiorina – 5 – 1%
John Kasich – 4 – 1%
Other – 9 – 2%
Undecided – 22 – 5%
This is very close to the Remington poll....I think we should give Overtime a chance, if it's wrong that's the worse that can happen.

I think the general rule around here is to give all new pollsters a chance, but be highly skeptical/critical of their practices and methodologies and so far, their methodology is garbage, it seems that any connection between the reality of the situation and this guy's numbers are coincidental.

If it's right, then we take them seriously next time. Until they have any kind of track record to judge, I'm personally giving them a chance to prove themselves.
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,690
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #322 on: January 03, 2016, 04:29:33 AM »

It seems as though the Republican polls on here are pretty normal but the democratic numbers are insane....hmmm...I would however like to get another polling organization to agree. If the Republican nominee is Trump there no question Hillary would perform less then Sanders. The only thing trump has in his back pocket is anti-establishment and if Hillary is the nominee he will use that. What can he even use on Sanders that he's a socialist? He's a clown and people would probably rather vote for Bernie.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #323 on: January 03, 2016, 04:31:55 AM »

I've met obnoxious Hillary supporters and obnoxious Bernie supporters. However, Atlas has many, many more obnoxious Hillary supporters than obnoxious Bernie supporters.
Could you provide a list of both so we can quantify how many is "many more?"
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,690
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #324 on: January 03, 2016, 04:33:34 AM »

I've met obnoxious Hillary supporters and obnoxious Bernie supporters. However, Atlas has many, many more obnoxious Hillary supporters than obnoxious Bernie supporters.
Could you provide a list of both so we can quantify how many is "many more?"

You for starters with your obvious hackishness.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 8 9 10 11 12 [13] 14 15 16 17 18 ... 26  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.076 seconds with 10 queries.