State of the Democratic Primary

[ElectionsGuy]

Its early, but I think 2 months isn't too early to start analyzing the primary state by state.

>30% = Lean Clinton
>50% = Likely Clinton
>70% = Safe Clinton

>50% = Toss-Up

>70% = Safe Sanders

Overall: Likely Clinton

My guess on the electorate:

White (55%): 54% Clinton, 46% Sanders
Black (26%): 83% Clinton, 17% Sanders
Hispanic (14%): 66% Clinton, 34% Sanders
Other (5%): 70% Clinton, 30% Sanders

Overall: 64% Clinton, 36% Sanders

I wanted to go beyond Iowa and New Hampshire and look at the big picture, so I thought I would do this.

[Mehmentum]

Arkansas and New York would both probably be safe for Clinton, as they're both home states.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

NH is lean Bernie.
Some states such as Oregon, Utah, and WV are tossup assuming Bernie is still in the race then.

[Asian Nazi]

NH is lean Bernie.
Some states such as Oregon, Utah, and WV are tossup assuming Bernie is still in the race then.

lol

[IceSpear]

Maybe something like this, assuming all primaries were held on the same day.

[Holmes]

NH is lean Bernie.
Some states such as Oregon, Utah, and WV are tossup assuming Bernie is still in the race then.

West Virginia?

..................West Virginia?


??

[Asian Nazi]

NH is lean Bernie.
Some states such as Oregon, Utah, and WV are tossup assuming Bernie is still in the race then.

West Virginia?

..................West Virginia?


??

Don't even bother, man...

[7,052,770]

Assuming that O'Malley gets 0% everywhere?

[Trump v. Wong Kim Ark]

I skipped all of the states after Maine (March 6th) because I'm assuming that Bernie will be out by then.

I think that IceSpear's map is pretty good for his given hypothetical (I would have Bernie doing better in NH and worse in CT/RI).

NH is lean Bernie.
Some states such as Oregon, Utah, and WV are tossup assuming Bernie is still in the race then.

West Virginia?
..................West Virginia?
??

He had a decent poll there. It was something like 30% for him, a bit less for Clinton and a lot of undecideds. I wouldn't bet on a Bernie win there though.

[Hillary pays minimum wage]

State of their party? If they ever want to win either house again, they better learn how to talk to white men between the ages of 25-55 who own land, hold full time jobs, and pay taxes.  Best of luck cuz you'll be needing it.