NH-Adrian Gray Consulting: Trump 19% Rubio 18% Cruz 11% Carson 9%

[Mr. Morden]

Adrian Gray Consulting poll of New Hampshire, conducted Dec. 6-8:

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/2016_PRES_NH_GOP_2.pdf

They have three categories for the selectiveness of their sample: all NH GOP voters, likely NH GOP primary voters, and very likely NH GOP primary voters.  I’ll post the full results for the middle category:

Trump 19%
Rubio 18%
Cruz 11%
Carson 9%
Bush 8%
Christie 8%
Kasich 6%
Paul 5%
Fiorina 2%
Huckabee 2%
Santorum 1%
Graham 1%
Pataki 1%

Among all NH GOP voters, Trump leads Rubio 21%-17%, while among “very likely” GOP voters, Rubio leads Trump 19%-17%.

[The Other Castro]

Where is KCDem when you need him?

[Mr. Morden]

Who leads among…?
married: Rubio
unmarried: Trump
age 18-29: Trump
age 30-44: Trump
age 45-64: Trump
age 65+: Rubio
very conservative: Cruz
somewhat conservative: Trump
moderate: Trump

The sample included 8 blacks.  2 support Rubio, 1 each for Cruz, Kasich, and Trump, and the other 3 are undecided.

[RI]

lol

[Phony Moderate]

Adrian Gray is a fairly forgettable darts player, though he did have his 15 minutes of fame in 2007 when he defeated Phil "The Power" Taylor (the greatest player of all-time) in the World Grand Prix:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzh2dWaAmv4

Interesting that he's moved into the American polling industry.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I was going to ask if they'd have a Democratic poll, but then decided we've probably seen enough here.

[F_S_USATN]

Adrian Gray is a fairly forgettable darts player, though he did have his 15 minutes of fame in 2007 when he defeated Phil "The Power" Taylor (the greatest player of all-time) in the World Grand Prix:



Interesting that he's moved into the American polling industry.

He's no Adrian Lewis

I guess Gray is a Bush 04 guy. I saw his tweet about it yesterday basically saying Trump's numbers were alot worse the last night.
Not anything like we havent seen all cycle. Trump does worse the tighter the screen is.

Only notable difference from the '12 exit polls is the moderate to liberal group(Adrian's sample is 9% less moderate/liberal compared to '12)

[Lief 🗽]

wtf is this sh**t

[Pandaguineapig]

wtf is this sh**t

Why? Do you believe Morning consult lol

[ProgressiveCanadian]

wtf is this sh**t

Why? Do you believe Morning consult lol

More then this poll....this is absolute junk.

[Pandaguineapig]

wtf is this sh**t

Why? Do you believe Morning consult lol

More then this poll....this is absolute junk.

This is too low but cnn in all honesty is about 8 points to high for Donny boy

[weixiaobao]

This is too low but cnn in all honesty is about 8 points to high for Donny boy

You know that would put Trump at 24.  And CNN isn't the only poll that put Trump above 24 like CBS, FOX, PPP for example.

[Pandaguineapig]

This is too low but cnn in all honesty is about 8 points to high for Donny boy

You know that would put Trump at 24.  And CNN isn't the only poll that put Trump above 24 like CBS, FOX, PPP for example.

You're right around 27 is where trump is stuck at at this point

[Tender Branson]

After some research, it's Carson's Super-PAC pollster.

[Ebsy]

After some research, it's Carson's Super-PAC pollster.

Evidence?

[JonathanSwift]

After some research, it's Carson's Super-PAC pollster.

Evidence?

A quick Google search led me to this source, which shows that Adrian Gray, the President of Adrian Gray Consulting LLC, is a consultant for the USA First PAC.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

After some research, it's Carson's Super-PAC pollster.

Evidence?

A quick Google search led me to this source, which shows that Adrian Gray, the President of Adrian Gray Consulting LLC, is a consultant for the USA First PAC.

LOL even Carsons own PAC has him at 9% in NH.

[Landslide Lyndon]

This poll is about as credible as the one a couple of months ago that showed Fiorina beating TRUMP in New Hampshire.

[Holmes]

ok... this looks fake but ok...

[Eraserhead]

lol Carson.

[Likely Voter]

There has been talk about how money isn't working but there is at least some boost for Christie, Bush and Kasich. They are all clearly doing better in NH than national polls and other state polls. In the case of Kasich and Chritie, the only reason they are going to be in the next debate is due to their NH numbers so the money bought something.  Team Rubio is also spending a lot although his NH numbers are closer to his national numbers.

[Xing]

Obviously sexist women will propel Fiorina to victory. Safe D.

[Lief 🗽]

Based on this guy's Twitter, he seems like an anti-Trump, establishment hack. Seems to have ties with Liz Mair (the former Walker staffer leading one of the anti-Trump independent groups).

[BaconBacon96]

I've never even heard of this company.