Which state(s) will determine who wins?
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  Which state(s) will determine who wins?
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Author Topic: Which state(s) will determine who wins?  (Read 702 times)
Broken System
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« on: December 07, 2015, 09:28:24 PM »

Even though some states are considered swing states, they are often states a political party must win to even have a chance.

For example, if Republicans will probably need to win Ohio, Florida, and North Carolina to even have a CHANCE at the election, but even then, they still haven't won.

Of course, if Democrats lose Michigan, chances are that the election has already swung out of their favor, but by winning it, they haven't proven their victory yet.

What are the 1 or 2 states that both parties share in that they must win to guarantee victory in the election? The state must be the same for both parties.

In other words, what is the 2016 state that will definitely have the same result as the winning party?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2015, 09:30:11 PM »

colorado
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #2 on: December 07, 2015, 09:33:42 PM »

Ohio, Virginia, Florida, and Colorado are vital to either side.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #3 on: December 07, 2015, 09:36:06 PM »

Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #4 on: December 07, 2015, 09:36:19 PM »

Ohio, Virginia, Florida, and Colorado are vital to either side.

nah we don't need the first three
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #5 on: December 07, 2015, 09:37:46 PM »

Colorado and Virginia
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: December 07, 2015, 09:42:57 PM »

Probably Virginia.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #7 on: December 07, 2015, 09:46:14 PM »

Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, probably NH, and (slightly) Ohio.


253: Republicans
253: Democrats
32: Toss-Up

NC, FL, OH, MO, and GA Tilt R, MN, MI, PA, NM, and NV Tilt D.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #8 on: December 07, 2015, 10:00:47 PM »

The determining factor will be who can take :

Maine’s 2nd Congressional District
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Nyvin
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« Reply #9 on: December 07, 2015, 10:03:27 PM »

The Median state races are probably going to be Florida and either North Carolina and Ohio again.    

Although state races really only matter if the popular vote for each candidate is within 1%.    
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #10 on: December 07, 2015, 10:07:12 PM »

If we are going for Hillary, I'd say it's down to VA and FL. For the Republicans it's up to OH, FL, and (possibly) PA.
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Statilius the Epicurean
Thersites
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« Reply #11 on: December 07, 2015, 10:15:12 PM »

If I had to say one state, it would be Virginia.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #12 on: December 07, 2015, 10:32:18 PM »

Virginia, Michigan, Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado, Nevada, or Pennsylvania.
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Ljube
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« Reply #13 on: December 08, 2015, 12:40:16 AM »

Ohio, Virginia, Florida, and Colorado are vital to either side.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #14 on: December 08, 2015, 01:27:01 PM »

Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia have the most potential to decide the election. Ohio, Florida, and (probably) North Carolina will be close, but Democrats can win without them. Nevada, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin will be contested to at least some degree (Wisconsin might not be seriously contested,) but Republicans can win without those states.
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« Reply #15 on: December 08, 2015, 01:33:16 PM »

Virginia or Ohio.
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Torie
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« Reply #16 on: December 08, 2015, 02:37:35 PM »

Virginia, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania or Nevada, depending on who the Pub nominee is. Actually, the most important variable in play with this election, is the matter of black turnout, and whether the Pubs can gain say five percentage points with blacks, and get up to say a 12% share of something. If black turnout drops a couple of points, and the Pubs pick up those five points, the Pubs should carry Virginia, despite the slight Dem trend due to Nova and the Richmond suburbs, largely offset, but not entirely, but the western areas of VA that are trending heavily Pub. With Rubio, it is all about whether he can get close to 40% with Hispanics. If he can, he will carry Nevada. New Hampshire is about how Pubs will do with college educated whites. PA is a little of all of the above, plus how strong the Pub trend will be if it persists, in western PA.

Yes, I know, I'm biased, but with Trump and Cruz, the general election is over before it begins.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #17 on: December 08, 2015, 03:29:10 PM »

Lean or Safe Dem: 257
Lean or Safe GOP: 191
Toss up: 90

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Ebsy
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« Reply #18 on: December 08, 2015, 03:34:07 PM »

The only right answer is Virgina and Nevada. Democrats can lose all the other "swing" states, and if they carry Virginia and Nevada, which they are poised to do, they will win.
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madelka
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« Reply #19 on: December 08, 2015, 07:08:49 PM »

Virginia
Pennsylvania
Nevada

Democrats have to carry them all.
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