Trump and low education voters
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  Trump and low education voters
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Author Topic: Trump and low education voters  (Read 1426 times)
The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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« on: December 04, 2015, 10:49:42 AM »

We all know Trump is dominating the demographic right now with 50%+ of people who dont have college degrees in the Republican primary.

However, that demographic is pretty much entirely white so it begs the question....does Trump have a chance to win over a part of the black or hispanic vote with similar academic credentials? Will minority voters find Trump more appealing than Hillary even given his less then helpful rhetoric?

What is Trump's ceiling with minority voters?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: December 04, 2015, 10:52:11 AM »

We all know Trump is dominating the demographic right now with 50%+ of people who dont have college degrees in the Republican primary.

However, that demographic is pretty much entirely white so it begs the question....does Trump have a chance to win over a part of the black or hispanic vote with similar academic credentials? Will minority voters find Trump more appealing than Hillary even given his less then helpful rhetoric?

What is Trump's ceiling with minority voters?

Trump would push the Latino vote closer to African-American numbers. African American numbers might move from the low single digits to the mid single digits, but that's more so due to Obama being off the ballot.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #2 on: December 04, 2015, 12:34:15 PM »

The Latino vote is concentrated in a number of states that are already out of play (CA, NY, TX).  The exception is Florida, but many of the Latinos there are Cubans; they are historically Republican and, for the most part, do not see themselves as having sort of issues as other Hispanic groups.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #3 on: December 04, 2015, 02:33:50 PM »

Colorado too.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/exodus-from-puerto-rico-could-upend-florida-vote-in-2016-presidential-race/2015/07/26/d73bc724-3229-11e5-8353-1215475949f4_story.html

I've also read, young Cubans aren't as Republicans as the older generation.

http://www.infoplease.com/us/census/data/florida/demographic.html

Hispanic or Latino (of any race)   2,682,715   16.8
Mexican
363,925   2.3
Puerto Rican
482,027   3.0
Cuban
833,120   5.2
Other Hispanic or Latino
1,003,643   6.3
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #4 on: December 04, 2015, 04:03:28 PM »
« Edited: December 04, 2015, 04:05:43 PM by ProudModerate2 »

We all know Trump is dominating the demographic right now with 50%+ of people who dont have college degrees in the Republican primary.

However, that demographic is pretty much entirely white so it begs the question....does Trump have a chance to win over a part of the black or hispanic vote with similar academic credentials? Will minority voters find Trump more appealing than Hillary even given his less then helpful rhetoric?

What is Trump's ceiling with minority voters?

No surprise that the non-educated follow and believe in Trump.
You have to be quite birdbrained to be a supporter of his.

He has offended the minority groups to a point that he will make only tiny improvements (if any) with this demographic.

The thing I am consistently surprised at, is when they show Trump at his rallies, it seems that 99% of everyone around him (on camera) is nothing but white-skinned individuals. Time and again I watch for this, and always the same result.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #5 on: December 04, 2015, 04:09:12 PM »

The Latino vote is concentrated in a number of states that are already out of play (CA, NY, TX).  The exception is Florida, but many of the Latinos there are Cubans; they are historically Republican and, for the most part, do not see themselves as having sort of issues as other Hispanic groups.

Another state that is at risk for the Republicans due to the Hispanic community is Arizona.
I have noticed over the decades that this state leans more and more Democratic as time passes.
Probably little risk in 2016, but over time (15-20 years), Arizona may become a state "in-play" for both parties.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: December 04, 2015, 05:12:10 PM »

Trump gets 100% of the high energy vote, so I mean, that'll probably carry him to the White House.
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