How will the current chaos affect far-right parties in Europe?

[Zinneke]

PVV and FPO are the largest parties in their respective countries, according to the polls. It is unlikely that the PVV will govern given their political self-inflicted isolation that dates back to when they collapsed the right-wing Rutte cabinet.

Front National are still only going to manage at best a second round run at the presidency. I expect them to win the regionals though. The Republican Party is going to focus on identity issues, so it may make up ground at the expense of their centrist factions. The biggest risk for 2017 is if a large part of the French Left decides to stay home in the second round, in the event of a Sarkozy/Le Pen run-off. But even so I think too many people have too much to lose by voting in a questionable party.

Denmark and Sweden will probably swing rightwards but not enough to displace their political establishment.

UKIP can't win sh**t with that electoral system.