Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
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« on: November 15, 2015, 07:07:58 AM » |
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The issue for me is not how far Edwards may or may not be ahead - it's whether Edwards is either polling at 50%+ or close to it, to allow for the likely GOP homecoming. The issue in KY was that Conway's BEST polling was 48% back in May, otherwise, his polling average was about 43%, which should have set off warnings ... considering traditional Dem issues with turnout in off-off-year elections, shy GOPers (considering a pretty hardcore candidate), while it was still a remarkable outcome vs the polling, Conway basically got about what the polling said he would.
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