Would Nixon have won in '60 had there been no voter fraud?

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Doubtful.  Kennedy's margin among blacks exceeded any probable fraud.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

And, of course, Kennedy probably would have won states like Mississippi, Florida, and Virginia if African Americans weren't being systematically disenfranchised. 

I could be wrong about this (and please correct me if I am), but weren't Southern blacks still opposed to the Democratic Party until 1964?

I don't know, but some of the county-level data in Alabama and other states seems to indicate that Nixon ran well in some of the black regions.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

And, of course, Kennedy probably would have won states like Mississippi, Florida, and Virginia if African Americans weren't being systematically disenfranchised. 

I could be wrong about this (and please correct me if I am), but weren't Southern blacks still opposed to the Democratic Party until 1964?

I don't think they were "unopposed" after either, but they saw the national Democratic Party as a (barely) better vehicle for their interests than the national Republican Party.  In most of the Deep South, Blacks had a choice between a racist party that fought for poor people or a racist party that fought for rich people.

And, of course, Kennedy probably would have won states like Mississippi, Florida, and Virginia if African Americans weren't being systematically disenfranchised. 

I could be wrong about this (and please correct me if I am), but weren't Southern blacks still opposed to the Democratic Party until 1964?

Kennedy won blacks nationally 62-38 over Nixon, and I would be surprised if Southern blacks had substantially different preferences from Northern ones.  Northern blacks had been voting for Democrats for 28 years by this point too.

That makes sense.  I had heard that the reason Northern African-Americans were willing to vote Democrat during the '30s and beyond because by that point Northern Democrats had dropped most of their appeals to racial prejudice and there was already a rift between the Northern and Southern wings of the party.  And that Southern African-Americans would have supported the Republican Party into the '40s at least had they not been prevented from voting.  I don't remember where I heard this though.

The main reason blacks started voting Democrat in the 1930s (at least Northern blacks) was a response to the New Deal.