Southern White Evangelical vote by class pre-2000?
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  Southern White Evangelical vote by class pre-2000?
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Author Topic: Southern White Evangelical vote by class pre-2000?  (Read 1231 times)
Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
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« on: December 11, 2015, 02:47:40 PM »

Looking at county maps, I notice quite a few largely white Baptist and Methodist Southern counties still voted Democratic in the 1980s and 1990s. I'm guessing their must have been a big class divide among evangelical voters during that time, and possibly still exists too a smaller extent. Would anybody know?
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VPH
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« Reply #1 on: December 11, 2015, 03:25:06 PM »

Bill Clinton and Ross Perot's vote splitting certainly helped.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: December 11, 2015, 04:15:25 PM »

Pretty much depends on location and class. White evangelical in the suburbs or native Republican areas like Eastern Tennessee? Heavy R. Poor to middle class white evangelicals in places like southern Georgia or Arkansas? probably D leaning or split.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #3 on: December 11, 2015, 04:21:42 PM »

White protestant voters in 1996 were 53% Dole, 36% Clinton, 10% Perot.

White "Religious Right" voters in 1996 were 65% Dole, 26% Clinton, 8% Perot.

That's about as good as you're going to get, exit poll-wise.

You can also find state-by-state exit polls for the 1996 race here:
http://www.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/1996/elections/president/pres.return.html

White "Religious Right" voters in 1996, Clinton's share:


Arkansas: 32%
Tennessee: 31%
Kentucky: 28%
Louisiana: 26%
North Carolina: 22%
Alabama: 18%
Texas: 17%
Mississippi: 16%
Virginia: 16%
South Carolina: 13%
Georgia: 11%

White Protestant voters in 1996, Clinton's share:

Tennessee: 39%
North Carolina: 33%
Texas: 27%
Georgia: 24%

(These were the only Southern states that had this specific question in exit polling)
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2015, 12:58:38 PM »

In the South, Suburban Whites flipped to voting Republican long before rural whites did. Look at the 1980 County Map for one example, and you'll see that there were still plenty of rural white counties voting Democratic.

Looking at county maps, I notice quite a few largely white Baptist and Methodist Southern counties still voted Democratic in the 1980s and 1990s. I'm guessing their must have been a big class divide among evangelical voters during that time, and possibly still exists too a smaller extent. Would anybody know?

Single women are considerably more Democratic across the board, even among whites in the South.
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