The 2048 Presidential election

[PRESIDENT STANTON]

Howard Davenport & Jane Shelley D   291 electoral votes
David Jackson & Judy Smith  R  247 electoral votes

[S019]

Howard Davenport and Jane Shelley D
David Jackson and Judy Smith R

Umm bad map

MT is Safe R, the downballot Dem trend is fading, MT and MO will be WY by then, also WI and PA would be Likely R by then, and NH, ME, and MN would be Lean R

TX will be Safe D and GA would be Likely D

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

The Map of the 2040s will not be a linear extrapolation of 2016 trends.

It might look like this

Or this,

Or something even weirder. But I can guarantee that it won't be your map, any more than the 2016 election was

this.

[Del Tachi]

These are quite strange names for nominees (presumably) born sometime between the mid 1970s and late 2000s.

You should try something like Matthew, Jessica, Ashley, Daniel, Emily or Brandon.

[RINO Tom]

That is as far away as 1988 ... you know that, right?

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Such threads are inherently stupid.

[PRESIDENT STANTON]

Well it’s nice to consider the possibilities, but considering that my two candidates for President are from (North Carolina, Davenport) & (Florida, Jackson), Geographic dynamics can not be entirely ignored! Also in my storyline the Republicans have controlled the presidency for 12 years (two different Presidents have occupied the White House, William “Bill” Wilson, from Texas who died in office -due to Tecumseh’s curse, his successor Bradley Bennett, from Indiana was elected in 2044), so fatigue has to be factored in. Howard Davenport, is an LBJ style Democrat, but with more polish, runs a good campaign and with his selection of Jane Shelley, a well regarded Senator from Pennsylvania forces the incumbent Vice President, David Jackson (has served as White House Chief of Staff, Secretary of Defense, as well as Governor of Florida) represents a combination of political experience & is savvy enough to select a Minnesota Senator, called Judy Smith. Davenport wants to curtail Space exploration expenditures, & concentrate resources on more home grown matters such as upgrading the desalination program enacted during the previous Democratic administration, 2033-2037. Bill Wilson had run for the presidency, advocating an ambitious space program. Lunar Soil had powerful energy properties. The U.S. wanted to expand its colonial status on the Moon as a result. Then President Paul Lockwood argued that the lunar surface should be utilized as a base only & not for Mining operations. Wilson’s position had more appeal & he won the presidency, he was the oldest President elected since Ronald Reagan had been 56 years previously, and was 72 years old when he was sworn in on January 20, 2037.

[President Johnson]

California isn't losing electoral votes. The state is still growing at a healthy rate.

[Leinad]

The flaw in your argument is to assume neoliberalism goes relatively undamaged in the next 30 years after it already coughed up some serious phlegm and probably needs to undergo medical observation.

Anyway I predict the Liberal Democratic Party (which is predominantly Marxist-Leninist) will gain seats in this election, gaining a plurality ahead of the fiercely authoritarian Freedom Party, but not a majority. A coalition will be decided by the other members: those from the Bud Light Party (which is actually a thing now), a friendly android named RoboBuddy who can smell arousal in all forms, and Logan Paul.

[Del Tachi]

California isn't losing electoral votes. The state is still growing at a healthy rate.

Just cuz it's growing doesn't mean it can't lose electoral votes--I'm pretty sure it's projected to actually lose an EV after 2020 because it's population growth isn't keeping pace with the rest of the country as a whole. Which makes sense when you consider how ridiculously expensive it is there. Who the hell wants to make six figures but spend it all on your monthly studio apartment rent?

Yeah its actually extremely easy for California to lose electoral votes (even if their population keeps growing) because new electoral votes allocated to FL/TX/GA/etc. have to come from somewhere and the Rust Belt states are much closer to an electoral "floor" in terms of losing representation.  If Texas and Florida continue to grow like crazy (and California stays grossly expensive), these numbers seem reasonable.   

[Agonized-Statism]

Incumbent Vice President (D-South) / Senator (D-Southwest) ✓
Governor (R-Southeast) / Senator (R-Midwest)

Issues of the day: United Nations intervention in Russian Emergency, Cold War II, Job growth, Automation, Antimicrobial-resistant diseases, Trans rights legislation

The incumbent VP wins a term in his own right amid intervention in the Russian Civil War by an international coalition. The swing states- Texas, Florida, North Carolina, and Illinois- all go to him. Skyrocketing unemployment, bankrupt municipalities, climate change, and surging racial unrest threaten the current Democrat alignment. The world is just ten years away from a wave of Malthusian wars that collapse the global economy and bring an end to the international institutions of the day, as well as usher in a realignment in US politics toward "Green Realist" (eco-fascist) Republicans.