NBC/WSJ/Marist: Hillary losing in IA and NH
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  NBC/WSJ/Marist: Hillary losing in IA and NH
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Hillary losing in IA and NH  (Read 6214 times)
DrScholl
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« Reply #25 on: October 05, 2015, 05:00:58 PM »


Good point.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #26 on: October 05, 2015, 05:48:05 PM »

CO/Ia/Va & OH will be close.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #27 on: October 05, 2015, 09:20:38 PM »

Hilary is ahead by 5 against Sanders


wat
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jfern
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« Reply #28 on: October 05, 2015, 09:27:10 PM »


That comment should have been on the primary board.
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RFayette
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« Reply #29 on: October 05, 2015, 10:00:29 PM »

NH polls do tend to overstate the GOP's standing at this point in the cycle.  I'm not so sure about Iowa though....
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Devils30
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« Reply #30 on: October 05, 2015, 10:06:29 PM »

These polls are oversampling the GOP primary electorate relative to general election voters. Obama approval if it's 47% or so nationally should not be 42% in these states.

That said, I expect NH to keep it's D lean but I see Iowa having an R+1 PVI and flipping with Virginia relative to the national map.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #31 on: October 05, 2015, 10:28:54 PM »

It makes little sense that Clinton is up ten points in Wisconsin while being ten points down in Iowa; or for  that matter that Sanders is up double digits in Wisconsin but down in Iowa and his neighboring state.


No it makes perfect sense. WI voters havent seen her so she is polling like a Dem would poll in WI. NH and IA have seen her up close and DONT LIKE WHAT THEY SEE.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #32 on: October 05, 2015, 11:21:02 PM »

They are not aware, it seems.
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jaichind
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« Reply #33 on: October 06, 2015, 08:12:18 AM »

Too bad this poll did not poll Rubio against the Dem candidates.
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DS0816
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« Reply #34 on: October 08, 2015, 10:31:57 AM »


Evidently not.
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King
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« Reply #35 on: October 11, 2015, 11:08:29 PM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=142146.0
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #36 on: October 11, 2015, 11:09:45 PM »

Yeah, Clinton isn't going to lose NH. Don't fool yourselves.


When the polls six months ago showed Hillary up 20-25 points, where were the red avatars saying 'early polls don't matter'?

We assume that people have been through more seasons and should know better.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #37 on: October 12, 2015, 08:25:11 AM »

Not polling co-Frontrunner Ben Carson but polling Jeb Bush? Garbage poll.
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