LA - Clarus: Vitter losing all runoff scenarios (user search)
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September 16, 2021, 11:47:22 AM

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  LA - Clarus: Vitter losing all runoff scenarios (search mode)
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Author Topic: LA - Clarus: Vitter losing all runoff scenarios  (Read 4493 times)
Lincoln Deputy Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 25,073
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P P
« on: September 27, 2015, 11:43:25 PM »

Based on the PPP poll and this poll:


Rating Change - LA-GOV - Strongly Leaning Republican ------> Leaning Republican

Low excitement about the election and the runoff system probably helps republicans. But Edwards's chances of pulling off the upset seem to have increased heavily.
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Lincoln Deputy Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,073
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2015, 03:52:31 PM »

Well Bel Edwards didnt turnout to be such a bad candidate afterall.

This race is tilted towards him now.

No, it still leans R. Edwards's chances have improved, but to consider him the favorite is really out there.
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Lincoln Deputy Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,073
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P P
« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2015, 06:55:45 PM »

Some crosstabs and thoughts from this poll:



^ Edwards getting 1/3 of the white vote would be huge, if it holds.

If he can get that and matches the 94% showing Landrieu got among black voters in 2014, he will win.
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