French regional election - December 6 and 13, 2015
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 28, 2024, 10:30:53 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  French regional election - December 6 and 13, 2015
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 4 5 6 7 8 [9] 10 11
Author Topic: French regional election - December 6 and 13, 2015  (Read 52929 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #200 on: December 13, 2015, 01:19:00 PM »

I hope that those predictions/leaks/exit polls will be true.

Leaks is more likely.

I guess there are no exit polls yet, because the polls are still open for another hour.
Logged
🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,338
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #201 on: December 13, 2015, 01:19:21 PM »

Rest in hell panzertrash!!
Logged
Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
kataak
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,922
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #202 on: December 13, 2015, 01:21:28 PM »

According to Belgium TV
Gilles Simeoni wins in Corse
Smiley


Wow, that hate.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #203 on: December 13, 2015, 01:23:02 PM »
« Edited: December 13, 2015, 01:25:35 PM by Tender Branson »


Getting 40-45% in several 5 Mio+ regions is still a strong result though ... and it's much better than the FPÖ's results for example in the recent Upper Austria and Vienna state elections (except some parts like the Innviertel or Vienna-North or South - which had similarly high results).

The new map today will be quite FNish in the East and South.
Logged
Andrea
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 719
Italy
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #204 on: December 13, 2015, 01:28:54 PM »
« Edited: December 13, 2015, 01:31:03 PM by Andrea »

According to Belgium TV

PS wins


Centre-Val-de-Loire



other sources saying it's too close to call in CVdL
Logged
DavidB.
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #205 on: December 13, 2015, 01:36:12 PM »

At least I hope horrible Marion doesn't win. Philippot and Marine, on the other hand...
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #206 on: December 13, 2015, 01:52:23 PM »

Rumor

Fn would win ALCA but not paca or NPDC.

PS would win Bretagne, corse and ALPC. The rest (9) for UMP

update: no fn régions.

I find it hard to believe that PS will lose Normandie
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #207 on: December 13, 2015, 02:01:23 PM »
« Edited: December 13, 2015, 02:03:57 PM by jaichind »

Exit polls, Both Le Pens lose.

Looks like turnout is around 59%.
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #208 on: December 13, 2015, 02:06:50 PM »

It seems to be Marie losing 42-57 while Marion losing 45-55.
Logged
Zanas
Zanas46
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,947
France


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #209 on: December 13, 2015, 02:08:26 PM »

FN would lose everywhere. Channels are calling Bourgogne for PS, even if the result is presently 34 PS - 33.5 LR - FN 32.5, which seems pretty close to me.

Also, PS and LR are ex aequo at 36 in Normandie.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #210 on: December 13, 2015, 02:35:13 PM »
« Edited: December 13, 2015, 02:50:08 PM by Tender Branson »

To sum it up:

Of the 13 regions, the Right is on track to win 5, the Left is winning 3.

4 regions are currently a total tossup (between the Left and the Right) and Corse was won by a Nationalist (non-FN).
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,007


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #211 on: December 13, 2015, 02:49:45 PM »

Shouldn't have mouthed off about Trump, lol
Logged
Zanas
Zanas46
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,947
France


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #212 on: December 13, 2015, 02:54:19 PM »

Ipsos in Île-de-France :
LR 44%
PS 41.8
FN 14.2

Probably quite a number of "vote utile" from FN in bourgeois neighborhoods in favor of FN.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,862
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #213 on: December 13, 2015, 02:55:13 PM »

Yeah, Le Pen isn't going to become President.
Logged
Rob Bloom
Mirendorff
Rookie
**
Posts: 65
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #214 on: December 13, 2015, 02:56:21 PM »

French Television has the left and the right each winning six regions.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #215 on: December 13, 2015, 02:58:09 PM »

France-wide result with 66% of the vote counted:

38.9% Right
30.2% FN
27.7% Left
  2.9% Other Left
  0.2% Regional Lists

Turnout: 60%

http://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/regionales-2015/FE.html
Logged
Zanas
Zanas46
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,947
France


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #216 on: December 13, 2015, 02:59:56 PM »

France-wide result with 66% of the vote counted:

38.9% Right
30.2% FN
27.7% Left
  2.9% Other Left
  0.2% Regional Lists

Turnout: 60%

http://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/regionales-2015/FE.html
With these results and as many regions as the right, Hollande just graduated in his gerrymandering degree. Wink
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #217 on: December 13, 2015, 03:00:48 PM »

PACA (46% counted):

51.2% Christian ESTROSI
48.8% Marion MARÉCHAL-LE PEN
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #218 on: December 13, 2015, 03:02:02 PM »

Nord-Pas-de-Calais-Picardie (66% counted):

55.2% Xavier BERTRAND
44.8% Marine LE PEN
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #219 on: December 13, 2015, 03:03:50 PM »

Bourgogne - Franche-Comté (91% counted):

34.1% Marie-Guite DUFAY (Left)
33.3% Sophie MONTEL (FN)
32.6% François SAUVADET (Right)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #220 on: December 13, 2015, 03:05:35 PM »

Centre-Val de Loire (86% counted):

34.5% Philippe VIGIER (Right)
34.2% François BONNEAU (Left)
31.3% Philippe LOISEAU (FN)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #221 on: December 13, 2015, 03:07:35 PM »

Normandie (95% counted):

36.6% Hervé MORIN (Right)
35.6% Nicolas MAYER-ROSSIGNOL (Left)
27.8% Nicolas BAY (FN)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #222 on: December 13, 2015, 03:15:47 PM »

PACA (52% counted):

51.2% Christian ESTROSI (Right)
48.8% Marion MARÉCHAL-LE PEN (FN)

Much closer than the 55-45 exit polls so far, but Le Pen clearly won't win.
Logged
Rob Bloom
Mirendorff
Rookie
**
Posts: 65
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #223 on: December 13, 2015, 03:16:13 PM »

France-wide result with 66% of the vote counted:

38.9% Right
30.2% FN
27.7% Left
  2.9% Other Left
  0.2% Regional Lists

Turnout: 60%

http://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/regionales-2015/FE.html
With these results and as many regions as the right, Hollande just graduated in his gerrymandering degree. Wink

These numbers are of course misleading, because the Left didn't stand in two regions!
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #224 on: December 13, 2015, 03:17:08 PM »

France-wide result with 66% of the vote counted:

38.9% Right
30.2% FN
27.7% Left
  2.9% Other Left
  0.2% Regional Lists

Turnout: 60%

http://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/regionales-2015/FE.html
With these results and as many regions as the right, Hollande just graduated in his gerrymandering degree. Wink

These numbers are of course misleading, because the Left didn't stand in two regions!

And mostly took a dive in the third.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 4 5 6 7 8 [9] 10 11  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 11 queries.