The previous two posters in your county

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

In a Dallas County GOP primary, Thumb would decimate NotMadigan about 65-35.

[thumb21]

Bedfordshire

Not_Madigan (Conservative): 51.2% (+0.9) - 4 seats (+1)
Labour - 40.3% (-1.7) - 2 seats (-1)
Bagel23 (Liberal) - 7.0% (+2.4) - 0 seats
Green - 0.7 (-1.2) - 0 seats
UKIP - 0.4% (-0.4) - 0 seats

[Left Wing]

sorry for the bump, but I thought this was an interesting thread idea.


In King County Washington, I think Bagel could definitely underperform, as thumb likely gets the vast majority of Republican ins the county while also peeling off more left wing voters and Seattle activists who felt Bagel was too conservative.

I'm going to say:

Bagel wins 62.4-37.6

[WD]

Falterin is a pretty good fit for Lane County, I’d say. He wins 61-37.

[VAR]

FalterinArc wins Arlington 64-36.

[WD]

FalterinArc wins Arlington 64-36.

Guess I’m not #elitist enough 


*SKIP*

[S019]

VAR would probably narrowly win Morris 51-48 or something like that, this place could still vote for the right Republican, and VAR is probably closer to the ideology of people here than WD, it's very much a soclib/fiscon place.

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Very odd match-up. I suppose VAR would be an moderate-conservative independent supported by the centre-right coalition, while S019 would run for IV or Azione or similar and lead the centre-left coalition.
Since S019 is one of the least #populist candidates imaginable, I think VAR would swoop the M5S vote and not only that, and carry the province of La Spezia 64% - 36%.

[Hope For A New Era]

VAR wins my county (Platte, MO). Would have been a perfect fit for the county around 2005, still a pretty good fit in 2021. Something like 55-45 maybe.

[If my soul was made of stone]

Baltimore County, MD:

EastOfEden 86%
Battista Minola 1616 14%

Very centrist county, solid blue on the federal level but tends to lean Republican in gubernatorial races, probably not interested in socialist Catholics outside of a handful of very left-wing contrarians and protest voters.

[WD]

It’d be very close, but I think EastOfEden wins my county (Lane County, OR) 50-49.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

WestDem wins comfortably, a solid 30-point margin over Discovolante.

[VAR]

Arlington County, Virginia

Western Democrat (D) 61.2%
Peebs (D) 38.8%

[Left Wing]

I think Peebs vs. VARepublican might be a bit of a reversion to a 2012 type scenario in King. I'll go with

Peebs: 68.9 %
VARepublican: 31.1%

And to vary up my responses in this thread, I'll also do one for Worcester county. Peebs has a former home county effect and VARepublican underperforms with the WWC


Peebs: 62.6%
VARepublican: 37.4%

[KaiserDave]

Kings County NY

FalterinArc (D): 78%
VAR (R): 20%

[West_Midlander]

Franklin Co., NC

Democratic Primary

FalterinArc 50.2%
KaiserDave 44.6%
Others 5.2%

[S019]

KaiserDave would beat West_Midlander by a margin of around 52-47.

[Xing]

King County, WA
S019 - 73.5%
West Midlander - 24.2%

[UWS]

Kent County, MI :

S019 - 47 %
Xing - 45 %

[If my soul was made of stone]

Baltimore County, MD:

Xing 64%
UWS 36%

Pretty standard D-R matchup.

[Dr. MB]

This is maybe one of the only matchups I can see reversing the longterm trend here. Washington County's not new to voting Democratic but only in the past 10 years did it make the jump to the 60% and then the 65% column. In 2016 it only voted for Brad Avakian for sec. of state by a couple points.

So as cliche as it sounds uh I'm gonna say Disco's unorthodox brand of pagan hippieism turns off a few voters who might go for reasonable moderate UWS's Rubio-worshipping brand of Republicanism. Disco still wins but maybe like, 53 to 47. Whether that's enough to win Oregon as a whole idk. Disco wins Beaverton, Aloha, Tigard, and narrowly Hillsboro but UWS carries Sherwood, Cornelius, Forest Grove, Bethany, Tualatin, and all the rural areas.

[West_Midlander]

My gut feeling is that MB cracks at least 65% in a Democratic primary (Franklin Co., NC).

[VAR]

Arlington County, VA
MB - 79%
West_Midlander - 21%

[WD]

West Midlander- 54%
ELITIST RINO VARep- 45%

[Mr. Smith]

Brazos County

VAR - 59%
Western Democrat - 41%