NH-NBC/Marist: With Hillary's favorables in the dumpster, GOP ties/beats her
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  NH-NBC/Marist: With Hillary's favorables in the dumpster, GOP ties/beats her
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Author Topic: NH-NBC/Marist: With Hillary's favorables in the dumpster, GOP ties/beats her  (Read 2925 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: September 06, 2015, 08:59:01 AM »

Hillary's favorables (RV):

36-60 unfavorable

48-43 Bush/Hillary
46-45 Hillary/Trump

46-45 Bush/Biden
50-41 Biden/Trump

http://de.scribd.com/doc/278707802/NBC-News-Marist-Poll-New-Hampshire-Annotated-Questionnaire-September-2015
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2015, 09:05:46 AM »

Goldwater girl Hilldog is on track to match Goldwater's result from 1964 if this trend continues.

I warned you guys months ago, but you thought you were smarter ...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2015, 09:26:15 AM »

Favorables among registered NH voters:

46-33 Sanders (+13)
46-43 Biden (+3)

24-32 Walker (-8)
34-51 Bush (-17)
36-60 Clinton (-24)
34-59 Trump (-25)
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2015, 09:29:34 AM »

There's a clearer and clearer pattern that in states where Bernie Sanders' name recognition matches Hillary's (or comes close to it), he does not only have a FAR higher favorable rating than her among all RV, but he also strongly outperforms her among GE matchups against the GOP.

The problem for Bernie is that he only has a 30-40% name recognition right now in states other than IA/NH/SC/NV and therefore trails the GOP there and nationwide.

But in NH and IA, where he's well known and popular - he's actually the best bet for the Dems.

So, Hillary-supporters: Jump on the Bernie-train as fast as you can Wink
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DrScholl
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« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2015, 10:12:17 AM »
« Edited: September 06, 2015, 10:17:57 AM by Invisible Obama »

The Blaxicans will certainly reject this witch for Sanders.

Given a choice between the two, I have no doubt Clinton would defeat Trump hands down. The same goes for Bush.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2015, 01:42:07 PM »

It pisses me off that they didn't poll Sanders in the GE.
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Fuzzy Stands With His Friend, Chairman Sanchez
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« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2015, 01:44:35 PM »

Sanders is genuine in a way Hillary could never be.  No one likes her, and if she were a male, she wouldn't even be in the conversation.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: September 06, 2015, 01:45:51 PM »

I'm gonna really enjoy Tender's freakout when his boy Sanders is given a good thrashing by a woman in both Iowa and New Hampshire.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2015, 01:48:19 PM »

Pardon me. Have you seen a TNVolunteer anywhere?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: September 06, 2015, 03:11:22 PM »

Pardon me. Have you seen a TNVolunteer anywhere?

I'm here. This poll is not surprising at all. NH's early flirtations with the GOP are nothing unusual and considering those unfavorables, she should be trailing by 10 or 12 points. She's going to win this state in a close election. If she doesn't, it's going to be a Republican landslide.
The only reason this is even close is HILLARY CLINTON. It would be safe D with Biden or Sanders.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: September 06, 2015, 03:27:36 PM »

Pardon me. Have you seen a TNVolunteer anywhere?

I'm here. This poll is not surprising at all. NH's early flirtations with the GOP are nothing unusual and considering those unfavorables, she should be trailing by 10 or 12 points. She's going to win this state in a close election. If she doesn't, it's going to be a Republican landslide.
The only reason this is even close is HILLARY CLINTON. It would be safe D with Biden or Sanders.

Safe D? Safe D?!? Republicans don't need a landslide to win. A win equivalent to Obama's 2012 would do in New Hampshire.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: September 06, 2015, 03:36:03 PM »

Jeb who is losing big to Trump is leading in polls everywhere now. Not!!
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #12 on: September 06, 2015, 04:12:54 PM »
« Edited: September 06, 2015, 05:02:04 PM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

Biden does 4 points better against Bush and 8 points better against Trump. While Hillary's favorables aren't quite as bad as in Iowa, 36-60 is absurdly bad, too. And since Sanders has just as high a favorable rating as Biden, but 10 points lower unfavorable, it's likely he does even better than Biden.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #13 on: September 06, 2015, 08:04:48 PM »

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/96-trump-clear-gop-leader-as-bush-and-walker-plummet-in-iowa-and-new-hampshire-clinton-stumbles-and-sanders-emerges-in-democratic-contest/

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/NHpolls/NH150826/NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll_New%20Hampshire%20Nature%20of%20the%20Sample%20and%20Tables_September%202015.pdf#page=1
Digging through their New Hampshire crosstabs.
They have D24%, R25%, overall, R+1.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/#val=NHP00p1
http://www.cbsnews.com/election-results-2012/exit.shtml?state=NH&race=P&jurisdiction=0&party=G&tag=dataDisplay;2839
2008 was D29, R27, D+2.
2012 was D30, R27, D+3.

For political ideology, their total conservative # is 36%, compared to 28% in 2008 and 30% in 2012. Hmm?
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #14 on: September 06, 2015, 11:19:05 PM »

She isn't electable. Americans are sick of the same political frauds. It's insulting for her to act populist.
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Ljube
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« Reply #15 on: September 06, 2015, 11:42:57 PM »


Unskewing the polls already?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: September 07, 2015, 01:40:02 AM »

Pardon me. Have you seen a TNVolunteer anywhere?

I'm here. This poll is not surprising at all. NH's early flirtations with the GOP are nothing unusual and considering those unfavorables, she should be trailing by 10 or 12 points. She's going to win this state in a close election. If she doesn't, it's going to be a Republican landslide.
The only reason this is even close is HILLARY CLINTON. It would be safe D with Biden or Sanders.

Safe D? Safe D?!? Republicans don't need a landslide to win. A win equivalent to Obama's 2012 would do in New Hampshire.

Republicans won't win the popular vote by 4 points lol.

Maybe not. But New Hampshire will never by Safe for Democrats in this election cycle.
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Donnie
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« Reply #17 on: September 07, 2015, 03:48:34 AM »

PLS NO CLINTON & NO BUSH - AMERICA CAN BETTER THEN THAT!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: September 07, 2015, 11:27:49 AM »

PLS NO CLINTON & NO BUSH - AMERICA CAN BETTER THEN THAT!

No to Donald Trump either he isnt what America needa
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pikachu
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« Reply #19 on: September 07, 2015, 12:42:54 PM »

I feel like this is a little relevant
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Brewer
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« Reply #20 on: September 07, 2015, 05:38:52 PM »


No!!! Hillary is an unelectable hag stop with this nonsense!!!!!1!1
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