SUSA-National: Trump leads all Democratic candidates

[RFayette]

In an election for President of the United States, today, Labor Day, business provocateur Donald Trump narrowly defeats Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Al Gore, in head-to-head matchups, according to nationwide polling conducted by SurveyUSA.

Today it's:

* Trump 45%, Clinton 40%. (There is a 20-point Gender Gap; Trump leads by 18 points among seniors.)
* Trump 44%, Sanders 40%. (Trump leads by 10 among independents and by 6 among moderates.)
* Trump 44%, Biden 42%. (Trump leads by 10 among the best educated; Biden leads by 17 among the least educated.)
* Trump 44%, Gore 41%. (Trump leads by 12 among men and by 18 among voters age 50+.)


http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d950cadf-05ce-4148-a125-35c0cdab26c6
Very weird poll....Trump is the only GOP candidate who gets these head to head matchups.

[Brewer]

wtf

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These numbers are not out of ordinary. But, Trump does have a chance. The PPP poll is right; showing a small Clinton lead.

[Skill and Chance]

In an election for President of the United States, today, Labor Day, business provocateur Donald Trump narrowly defeats Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Al Gore, in head-to-head matchups, according to nationwide polling conducted by SurveyUSA.

Today it's:

* Trump 45%, Clinton 40%. (There is a 20-point Gender Gap; Trump leads by 18 points among seniors.)
* Trump 44%, Sanders 40%. (Trump leads by 10 among independents and by 6 among moderates.)
* Trump 44%, Biden 42%. (Trump leads by 10 among the best educated; Biden leads by 17 among the least educated.)
* Trump 44%, Gore 41%. (Trump leads by 12 among men and by 18 among voters age 50+.)


http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d950cadf-05ce-4148-a125-35c0cdab26c6
Very weird poll....Trump is the only GOP candidate who gets these head to head matchups.

Holy heck!

[/]

Right...

[RFayette]

In an election for President of the United States, today, Labor Day, business provocateur Donald Trump narrowly defeats Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Al Gore, in head-to-head matchups, according to nationwide polling conducted by SurveyUSA.

Today it's:

* Trump 45%, Clinton 40%. (There is a 20-point Gender Gap; Trump leads by 18 points among seniors.)
* Trump 44%, Sanders 40%. (Trump leads by 10 among independents and by 6 among moderates.)
* Trump 44%, Biden 42%. (Trump leads by 10 among the best educated; Biden leads by 17 among the least educated.)
* Trump 44%, Gore 41%. (Trump leads by 12 among men and by 18 among voters age 50+.)


http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d950cadf-05ce-4148-a125-35c0cdab26c6
Very weird poll....Trump is the only GOP candidate who gets these head to head matchups.

Holy heck!

There is no postgraduate cohort measured here, but still, this is insane.  The race/party numbers look fine, but the education results are weird.

[Brewer]

These numbers are not out of ordinary. But, Trump does have a chance. The PPP poll is right; showing a small Clinton lead.

...

[RFayette]

These numbers are not out of ordinary. But, Trump does have a chance. The PPP poll is right; showing a small Clinton lead.

...

OC's reading comprehension skills are a veritable treasure here.

[Eraserhead]

He's probably our next President. Deal with it.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

I don't understand how people could possibly be surprised by this. You're an educated lot! Now understand why Trump is clearly the best candidate despite horrible policy ideas. He deserves to be leading these fools.

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

[Skill and Chance]

In an election for President of the United States, today, Labor Day, business provocateur Donald Trump narrowly defeats Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Al Gore, in head-to-head matchups, according to nationwide polling conducted by SurveyUSA.

Today it's:

* Trump 45%, Clinton 40%. (There is a 20-point Gender Gap; Trump leads by 18 points among seniors.)
* Trump 44%, Sanders 40%. (Trump leads by 10 among independents and by 6 among moderates.)
* Trump 44%, Biden 42%. (Trump leads by 10 among the best educated; Biden leads by 17 among the least educated.)
* Trump 44%, Gore 41%. (Trump leads by 12 among men and by 18 among voters age 50+.)


http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d950cadf-05ce-4148-a125-35c0cdab26c6
Very weird poll....Trump is the only GOP candidate who gets these head to head matchups.

Holy heck!

There is no postgraduate cohort measured here, but still, this is insane.  The race/party numbers look fine, but the education results are weird.

Lacking a separate postgrad block helps, but doesn't fully resolve it. The better than Romney white numbers look about right, and I can see him doing unusually well with black voters under the right circumstances (although not 25%+ well), but Trump doing better than Romney among Hispanics is surprising and to have him winning Asians outright is downright bizarre. 

[RFayette]

He's probably our next President. Deal with it.

Imagine 538's reaction.  Nate Silver publishes an anti-Trump article every other day it seems.   Every prediction he made about him has been proven wrong.   

[ProgressiveCanadian]

The comparison is obviously ludicrous.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Again, Trump is riding high and looks invincible. No Republican dares to attack him and the Democrats just sit back and watch the spectacle.
He is on every TV channel 24/7 and everybody is talking about how he managed to beat expectations (and the Republican establishment).
This is his honeymoon.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I know, lets nominate the Democrat who does the worst of all 4, despite high name recognition! Such a brilliant plan for the general election.

[Brewer]

I know, lets nominate the Democrat who does the worst of all 4, despite high name recognition! Such a brilliant plan for the general election.

Nah, let's nominate the candidate who does one point better despite barely having been touched by the Republican media this far into the campaign!

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I know, lets nominate the Democrat who does the worst of all 4, despite high name recognition! Such a brilliant plan for the general election.

Nah, let's nominate the candidate who does one point better despite barely having been touched by the Republican media this far into the campaign!

LOL at Hillary supporters trying to spin the lack of media coverage for Sanders as an unfair advantage for him. Don't worry, they've still done some attacks on him.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I know, lets nominate the Democrat who does the worst of all 4, despite high name recognition! Such a brilliant plan for the general election.

Nah, let's nominate the candidate who does one point better despite barely having been touched by the Republican media this far into the campaign!

LOL at Hillary supporters trying to spin the lack of media coverage for Sanders as an unfair advantage for him. Don't worry, they've still done some attacks on him.

Nobody cares about Sanders because they know he won't be the nominee. Period.
 

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I know, lets nominate the Democrat who does the worst of all 4, despite high name recognition! Such a brilliant plan for the general election.

Nah, let's nominate the candidate who does one point better despite barely having been touched by the Republican media this far into the campaign!

LOL at Hillary supporters trying to spin the lack of media coverage for Sanders as an unfair advantage for him. Don't worry, they've still done some attacks on him.

Nobody cares about Sanders because they know he won't be the nominee. Period.
 

The Democratic primary polls are similar to this time 8 years ago.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I know, lets nominate the Democrat who does the worst of all 4, despite high name recognition! Such a brilliant plan for the general election.

Nah, let's nominate the candidate who does one point better despite barely having been touched by the Republican media this far into the campaign!

LOL at Hillary supporters trying to spin the lack of media coverage for Sanders as an unfair advantage for him. Don't worry, they've still done some attacks on him.

Nobody cares about Sanders because they know he won't be the nominee. Period.
 

The Democratic primary polls are similar to this time 8 years ago.

Well, if only Sanders also had Obama's charisma, money, organizational strength and John Edwards doing the dirty work of attacking Hillary, then he would have a great shot at winning.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Well, if only Sanders also had Obama's charisma, money, organizational strength and John Edwards doing the dirty work of attacking Hillary, then he would have a great shot at winning.

If it was so obvious, you could have made a killing on Intrade in Fall 2007.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Well, if only Sanders also had Obama's charisma, money, organizational strength and John Edwards doing the dirty work of attacking Hillary, then he would have a great shot at winning.

If it was so obvious, you could have made a killing on Intrade in Fall 2007.

Thanks but I don't gamble.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Here's the margin with the 58% who say they're paying a lot of attention. You figure they are less likely to change their minds.

Hillary loses by 18 (36-54)
Sanders loses by 14 (39-53)
Biden loses by 16 (37-53)
Gore loses by 18 (36-54)

Obviously those people slant quite Republican, but Sanders does better than not only Hillary, but also Biden and Gore with them. He even gets 2-3% more of the vote than they do. I think Sanders has a lot of room to improve with the 42% who aren't paying much attention.

[Eraserhead]

He's probably our next President. Deal with it.

Imagine 538's reaction.  Nate Silver publishes an anti-Trump article every other day it seems.   Every prediction he made about him has been proven wrong.   

Yeah, Nate Silver is a silly hack who jumped the shark a while ago. He's just embarrassing now.