Dave Reichert seriously considering Washington Governor's race
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  Dave Reichert seriously considering Washington Governor's race
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Author Topic: Dave Reichert seriously considering Washington Governor's race  (Read 1662 times)
136or142
Adam T
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« on: September 03, 2015, 04:14:18 PM »

I wonder if he'll keep trying to milk his 'brilliant' handling of the Green River murders.

http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/reichert-seriously-considering-statewide-bid-washington/
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Crumpets
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« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2015, 04:19:45 PM »

Go for it. Inslee will crush him, and Reichert's district is prime for Democrat picking.*

*See, it's a pun, because Reichert's district has a bunch of apple orchards. Cool
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2015, 04:24:35 PM »

He would be smart not to.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2015, 06:38:52 PM »

I'd be happy with this, if only that Dino Rossi's gotten screwed in the past, and this lets him have a political future.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #4 on: September 03, 2015, 06:41:50 PM »

I'd be happy with this, if only that Dino Rossi's gotten screwed in the past, and this lets him have a political future.

Dino Rossi being 'screwed' is pure Republican revisionism.
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bgwah
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« Reply #5 on: September 03, 2015, 07:15:47 PM »

He considers running for Governor or Senator every cycle. He never does. And his seat would not be an "easy" pick-up*. It barely voted for Obama in 2012 and doesn't have much of a Democratic bench.

*But with the possibility of Trump, who knows.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #6 on: September 04, 2015, 12:00:15 AM »

He considers running for Governor or Senator every cycle. He never does. And his seat would not be an "easy" pick-up*. It barely voted for Obama in 2012 and doesn't have much of a Democratic bench.

*But with the possibility of Trump, who knows.

+100. I alaways wonder why so many people automatically consider every barely Obama district to be an "easy pickup", while many of them are anything then that, and have good Republican bench. Reichert's district BEFORE 2012 was much better for Democrats in this respect, but even it wasn't a "guaranteed pickup" (as republican legislators like Litzov and Hill repeatedly prove)..
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Meeker
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« Reply #7 on: September 04, 2015, 10:13:36 AM »

I'm pretty convinced Reichert's going to get in this time. The chatter is different than other years, and it explains why neither Hill nor Litzow have gotten in yet (they aren't allowed to fundraise from early December to late March and would definitely want to be in it right now if they were planning to go for it).

I believe Reichert polled the best against Inslee in that PPP poll from this spring, though I'm sure some of that was due to name recognition. He'll be a formidable opponent. Rossi or Reagan Dunn will run for WA-08 (gag)
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #8 on: September 04, 2015, 10:33:31 AM »

Rossi or Reagan Dunn will run for WA-08 (gag)

Why not Joe Fain?
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Meeker
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« Reply #9 on: September 04, 2015, 10:53:58 PM »


He's probably running for Attorney General, but he'd be a good candidate for them too
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #10 on: September 05, 2015, 12:54:40 AM »


He's probably running for Attorney General, but he'd be a good candidate for them too

Thanks!
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: September 07, 2015, 11:59:27 AM »

He can try, but he won't win unless it's a very good year for Republicans.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #12 on: September 07, 2015, 12:22:11 PM »

I doubt he'll make it, even though Sabato doesn't rate the race as 'Safe D' because... ugh Sabato.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #13 on: September 07, 2015, 12:50:14 PM »

I doubt he'll make it, even though Sabato doesn't rate the race as 'Safe D' because... ugh Sabato.

Safe D is supposed to mean 'won't flip even in a huge republican wave'. That doesn't really ring true for Inslee, who had only 43/42 approvals in the last PPP poll.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #14 on: September 07, 2015, 01:06:53 PM »

I doubt he'll make it, even though Sabato doesn't rate the race as 'Safe D' because... ugh Sabato.

Safe D is supposed to mean 'won't flip even in a huge republican wave'. That doesn't really ring true for Inslee, who had only 43/42 approvals in the last PPP poll.

I don't think he would lose in 2014 or 2010, that's about as wavy as it gets.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: September 07, 2015, 01:10:23 PM »

I doubt he'll make it, even though Sabato doesn't rate the race as 'Safe D' because... ugh Sabato.

Why do liberals keep on bashing Sabato? Besides 2012 (when 538 was the most accurate), they have consistently been the most accurate prognosticator for all political races.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #16 on: September 07, 2015, 01:17:43 PM »

I doubt he'll make it, even though Sabato doesn't rate the race as 'Safe D' because... ugh Sabato.

Why do liberals keep on bashing Sabato? Besides 2012 (when 538 was the most accurate), they have consistently been the most accurate prognosticator for all political races.

Because in order to be accurate you have to rate all of the races as Safe D. All of them.
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Brewer
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« Reply #17 on: September 07, 2015, 01:29:55 PM »

I doubt he'll make it, even though Sabato doesn't rate the race as 'Safe D' because... ugh Sabato.

Why do liberals keep on bashing Sabato? Besides 2012 (when 538 was the most accurate), they have consistently been the most accurate prognosticator for all political races.

Because in order to be accurate you have to rate all of the races as Safe D. All of them.
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