Cleaned-up 2016 Presidential election map.

[Wisconsin+17]

I don't see Utah for Hillary.

[Wisconsin+17]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Trumps problem in a nutshell. The Firewall is already locked down. Look at the ECs that are already writeoffs for him, PA, MI, WI, MN, IL, NM, CA, OR, WA, MD, DE, NJ, NY, CT, RI, MA, NH, VT and ME. That leaves, NV, VA, OH, IA, FL.

[Wisconsin+17]

I believe if we throw all the unpolled states, and Kansas to Trump, Hillary still wins. So she has a presumptive victory.

[Wisconsin+17]

Clinton's presumptive lead (minus Kansas) is 315-223.

Clinton's actual lead - minus states where she leads but within the MOE but giving Trump everything:

251-209. That doesn't include Vermont, Rhode Island, Delaware and Hawaii as they have not been polled.

With these four as solid democrat, Clinton is up to 265.

All Clinton needs to have an actual lead in the polls is to win one of:

VA, OH, MO, AZ, IA, or PA. She just needs *one* of these, and any of these will do.

[Wisconsin+17]

He's down in AZ, PA, and MO. and needs all three just to stay level. Trump's in big trouble.

[Wisconsin+17]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Yup. Trump is done.

Minus Florida I have Clinton at 245 EVs. Trump is 80 behind her.

Trump's only winning path is through Florida. His cap is 292-245.

Clinton's cap is 454.