For what it is worth, here is the collection of Morning Consult polls of all 50 states.
margin saturation
30+ 9
15-29 7
9-14 6
5-8 5
4 4 (usual margin of error)
1-3 2
tie white
Useful only in the absence of other evidence. But this said, no way is Hillary Clinton winning New Mexico by a mere 3% or Delaware by a mere 5% or Donald Trump winning Idaho by a mere 11% or Oklahoma by a mere 14%. No way, also, is Hillary Clinton winning Georgia while losing North Dakota.
I think Maine and Georgia are off in opposite directions. All others are plausible.
