538: This Is How Bernie Sanders Could Win

[The Other Castro]

It's not just Harry Enten, don't worry.

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[Mehmentum]

Predictably, I agree.  The only way Sanders wins is if Clinton suffers a massive scandal (beyond whats been revealed about her emails), or has to drop  out for health reasons, etc.  He still has to beat whoever the establishment eventually rallies behind, but he'd have a better shot against Biden than against Hillary.

[Kingpoleon]

Green - Sanders
Blue - Biden

With O'Malley finishing in a close fourth/second in Iowa/Nevada and Webb managing second in South Carolina by half a point, Super Tuesday comes out with Hillary destroyed, losing even Arkansas to Webb. O'Malley doesn't do badly in moderately Democratic states, Sanders takes the North, and Webb and Biden split most of the rest.

[The Mikado]

The only route to Sanders getting the nomination would be for Clinton to be put under federal indictment or suffer a medical emergency sometime in late December/January 2016, after it becomes unfeasible for Biden to get in.

[Gass3268]

Green - Sanders
Blue - Biden

With O'Malley finishing in a close fourth/second in Iowa/Nevada and Webb managing second in South Carolina by half a point, Super Tuesday comes out with Hillary destroyed, losing even Arkansas to Webb. O'Malley doesn't do badly in moderately Democratic states, Sanders takes the North, and Webb and Biden split most of the rest.

Hillary would win Nevada.

[/]

At this rate, we should expect Bernie to be leading in the nationwide polls sometime early next year.



Of course, IDK if that will actually happen, but it's nice to see that FiveThirtyEight (a usually anti-Bernie website) is finally giving Bernie a chance. #feelthebern #readyforbernie #bernie2016

[Mehmentum]

Of course, IDK if that will actually happen, but it's nice to see that FiveThirtyEight (a usually anti-Bernie website) is finally giving Bernie a chance. #feelthebern #readyforbernie #bernie2016

Well, Nate gave Sanders a 4% chance in the beginning of August, so there's no 'finally' about it.