CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 24% Bush 13% Carson 9% Rubio 8% Walker 8% Paul 6%
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Author Topic: CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 24% Bush 13% Carson 9% Rubio 8% Walker 8% Paul 6%  (Read 1758 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: August 18, 2015, 05:57:22 AM »
« edited: August 18, 2015, 06:50:38 AM by Mr. Morden »
CNN/ORC national poll of GOP primary voters, conducted Aug. 13-16:

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/08/17/rel8a.-.gop.2016.pdf

Trump 24%
Bush 13%
Carson 9%
Rubio 8%
Walker 8%
Paul 6%
Cruz 5%
Fiorina 5%
Kasich 5%
Huckabee 4%
Christie 3%
Perry 2%
Santorum 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Jindal, Pataki 0%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2015, 06:12:11 AM »
They didn't include any general election matchups, but they did test the favorability of some of the Republican candidates among all registered voters (not just Republicans):

Fiorina 29/20% for +9%
Kasich 25/22% for +3%
Walker 25/32% for -7%
Trump 38/58% for -20%
Bush 35/57% for -22%

Among Republicans only:

Trump 69/28% for +41%
Fiorina 46/10% for +36%
Walker 47/14% for +33%
Kasich 36/14% for +22%
Bush 49/42% for +7%

So yes, Trump has a better favorability ratio than Bush.  Not just among Republicans, but among all registered voters.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: August 18, 2015, 06:25:19 AM »
Trump wins every demographic group, but here's his margin of victory over 2nd place in each subgroup:

men: Trump +17 over Bush
women: Trump +3 over Bush
under age 50: Trump +11 over Walker
age 50-64: Trump +11 over Bush
age 65+: Trump +9 over Bush
under $50k income: Trump +15 over Bush
over $50k income: Trump +11 over Bush
no college: Trump +11 over Bush
attended college: Trump +10 over Carson
Republicans: Trump +11 over Bush
Independents: Trump +11 over Bush
conservatives: Trump +12 over Bush
moderates: Trump +8 over Bush
Southerners: Trump +3 over Bush
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #3 on: August 18, 2015, 06:33:21 AM »
Dear GOP,

Yeah... you're doomed.

Congrats for allowing ferals to control your agenda.

Regards,

Me.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: August 18, 2015, 06:36:53 AM »
Dominating.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #5 on: August 18, 2015, 07:54:14 AM »
The sad thing is that this is actually a really good poll for Bush.  He's at least in second.  Fox has him in 4th.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: August 18, 2015, 09:48:02 AM »
Among Republican voters, Trump is the leading candidate picked in all of the "Who would do the best job on Issue X?" questions.  His lead over second place Bush on all of these issues:

the economy: Trump +36 over Bush
immigration: Trump +31 over Bush
ISIS: Trump +16 over Bush
social issues, such as abortion and same sex marriage: Trump +4 over Bush
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136or142
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« Reply #7 on: August 18, 2015, 09:58:28 AM »
I believe Pataki, Gilmore and Everson weren't mentioned in the poll.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #8 on: August 18, 2015, 11:20:08 AM »
Bush's favorables are worse than Trumps.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #9 on: August 18, 2015, 11:56:43 AM »
So, are we still saying Trump is a flash in the pan/flavor of the month? He's been in the lead for close to two months now.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #10 on: August 18, 2015, 01:28:22 PM »
The Republican Party is following the example of the Labour Party. Enough empty suits! Let's get someone completely nuts to ruin our party's reputation even more!
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Free Bird
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« Reply #11 on: August 18, 2015, 01:53:37 PM »
As if your anointed one is any better
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Maxwell
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« Reply #12 on: August 18, 2015, 01:56:00 PM »
Quote from: Comrade Funk on August 18, 2015, 01:28:22 PM
The Republican Party is following the example of the Labour Party. Enough empty suits! Let's get someone completely nuts to ruin our party's reputation even more!

implying Donald Trump isn't an empty suit.
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xavier110
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« Reply #13 on: August 18, 2015, 02:20:01 PM »
Quote from: The Mikado on August 18, 2015, 11:56:43 AM
So, are we still saying Trump is a flash in the pan/flavor of the month? He's been in the lead for close to two months now.

Yes! I've been saying this, too! All of 2012's flavors of the month were… flavors of the month, lasting for about a month on top. Trump is here to stay.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #14 on: August 18, 2015, 02:23:54 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on August 18, 2015, 01:56:00 PM
Quote from: Comrade Funk on August 18, 2015, 01:28:22 PM
The Republican Party is following the example of the Labour Party. Enough empty suits! Let's get someone completely nuts to ruin our party's reputation even more!

implying Donald Trump isn't an empty suit.
He yells and screams enough to separate himself from the Romneys and Bushes
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pikachu
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« Reply #15 on: August 18, 2015, 04:01:08 PM »
I'm a little surprised that Bush still hasn't fallen out of second yet.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #16 on: August 19, 2015, 01:52:40 AM »
Latest trendlines from all national polls:
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #17 on: August 19, 2015, 03:48:59 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on August 19, 2015, 01:52:40 AM
Latest trendlines from all national polls:




Walker's line is the definition of a nosedive.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #18 on: August 19, 2015, 08:11:26 AM »
Man, the GOP establishment are thanking their lord that it is currently august 2015 and not february 2016.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #19 on: August 19, 2015, 08:14:31 AM »
But I want to see the Establishment foam and go nuts.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #20 on: August 19, 2015, 10:22:19 AM »
This looks more like a pre-debate poll than a post-debate poll. Bush, Walker, Paul, and Rubio are up. Cruz and Carson down (relative to other post-debate polls)
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