All the Electable Republicans Are Losing
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 06, 2025, 01:41:45 PM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  All the Electable Republicans Are Losing
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: All the Electable Republicans Are Losing  (Read 2799 times)
Panhandle Progressive
politicaljunkie
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 858
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 18, 2015, 05:31:08 AM »

Jeb! and Rubio are beating Hillary in the polls—so why is the GOP so enthralled with guys like Trump and Carson?

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/08/18/all-the-electable-republicans-are-losing.html
Logged
okierepublican
Rookie
**
Posts: 57
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2015, 07:39:10 AM »

The party is going through an anger phase. Ventral the silen majority of republicans. (Not tea party) will start paying attention. They will ask. Do we want to give nuclear codes to trump or Carson? And he will lose. Cruz has burned his bridge to appealing to those voters and can't get them. Eventually the establishment will go around one candidate. And he will win the nomination.
Logged
Beezer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,908


Political Matrix
E: 1.61, S: -2.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 18, 2015, 07:47:38 AM »

Simple answer...it's August. Let's try to defer the interpretation of the GOP base until after it has actually selected a nominee.
Logged
Republican Michigander
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 394


Political Matrix
E: 5.81, S: -2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 18, 2015, 08:51:27 AM »

Nobody is "losing" because the contest starts in February. Maybe January in some areas with absentees.
Logged
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 18, 2015, 10:08:12 AM »

McCain and Romney lost. It's their turn, polls be damned.
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,067
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 18, 2015, 10:10:10 AM »

Remember, this has happened with Senate primaries, so it was bound to potentially happened with a Presidential one.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,455
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 18, 2015, 10:45:56 AM »

Jeb is not electable though.
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,356
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 18, 2015, 10:49:33 AM »

There were electable Republicans?
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,247
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 18, 2015, 11:04:47 AM »

Trump is electable, especially in a three way.
Logged
dudeabides
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
Tuvalu
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 18, 2015, 11:18:13 AM »
« Edited: August 18, 2015, 11:23:13 AM by dudeabides »

Trump is electable, especially in a three way.

I know as a socialist, you love Trump, but he isn't electable at all.

The bottom line is these polls, which are very pre-mature mind you, are showing exactly what I have been saying all along. Republicans can nominate Bush or Rubio and have a good chance of victory. It isn't because they are both from Florida, it's because they are the two candidates who can win over hispanics, women, catholics, and centrist voters who voted for President Obama in 2012 and 2008 after supporting George W. Bush. Scott Walker is Romney 2.0 - Republican Governor of a Democratic state who started off sounding center-right, but now he's pandering not to the conservative base, but to tea party whackos as he flip-flops. John Kasich is very vanilla, he initially had a pretty much all white male cabinet, not sure if he still does. Chris Christie's record in New Jersey is what hurts him, George Pataki is too boring, Lindsey Graham is too hawkish, Ben Carson is unqualified, Carly Fiorina is not specific on detail, Mike Huckabee is too socially conservative, Rick Santorum is too socially conservative and bigoted, Jim Gilmore who, Donald Trump is a socialist who is arrogant, bigoted, and not very bright, Ted Cruz is a symbol of dysfunction in Washington D.C.

Rand Paul is in a very interesting place. I believe there would actually be some Democrats who would support him over Hillary. Why? Paul opposes the Patriot Act, opposes having all of these overseas bases, and he opposed the war in Iraq. Even on social issues, he's been an advocate for criminal justice reform well before Hillary. Paul has tried to reach out to the black community. He could win a nation that is very reluctant to go to war despite wanting to have a leadership presence in the world.

Now, to answer the question posed here.

24% for Trump + 5% for Cruz + 9% for Carson + 1% for Santorum = 39% of GOP voters who are low information voters.

49% for Clinton + 1% for O'Malley = 50% of Democratic voters who are low information voters

Supporters of Bush, Rubio, Paul, and Sanders tend to know the most about politics and policy in my experience. Bush & Rubio supporters are very mainstream and want to win and have a strong economy and American leadership in the world, Rand's supporters have a great understanding of the constitution, and Sander's supporters understand the income gap quite well - I just don't agree with their solutions.
Logged
The Mikado
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,184


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 18, 2015, 12:04:15 PM »



Jeb Bush, the electable.
Logged
Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,568
Bermuda


Political Matrix
E: 0.06, S: 5.83

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 18, 2015, 01:13:27 PM »

Rockefeller was more electable than Goldwater but he lost the nomination because what would have been the point? Would President Rockefeller have pushed back against the left and rolled back the Democratic agenda? Would President John Ellis Bush?

Conservatives today are looking for a Goldwater, not a Rockefeller. Realistically, they'll have to settle for a Scranton.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,826


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 18, 2015, 01:14:40 PM »

Trump is electable, especially in a three way.

You would need the fourth candidate to split the Dem vote Smiley
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,247
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 18, 2015, 01:30:20 PM »

Trump is electable, especially in a three way.

I know as a socialist, you love Trump, but he isn't electable at all.

I ain't no socialist, you low information poster. I'm a conservative.

Trump is the savior America both deserves and desires.
Logged
dudeabides
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
Tuvalu
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 18, 2015, 01:32:25 PM »

Trump is electable, especially in a three way.

I know as a socialist, you love Trump, but he isn't electable at all.

I ain't no socialist, you low information poster. I'm a conservative.

Trump is the savior America both deserves and desires.

First of all, your profile says "(S-GA)." Secondly, you support Trump. So the evidence suggests otherwise but really you are a troll.
Logged
Blair
Blair2015
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,215
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 18, 2015, 01:39:01 PM »

Trump is electable, especially in a three way.

 John Kasich is very vanilla, he initially had a pretty much all white male cabinet, not sure if he still does.

So what? This is literally the worse attack line from a republican, I thought you were against giving people token jobs
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,247
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 18, 2015, 02:09:22 PM »

Trump is electable, especially in a three way.

I know as a socialist, you love Trump, but he isn't electable at all.

I ain't no socialist, you low information poster. I'm a conservative.

Trump is the savior America both deserves and desires.

First of all, your profile says "(S-GA)." Secondly, you support Trump. So the evidence suggests otherwise but really you are a troll.

Oh, if you don't understand the background behind S-GA, then you certainly don't know that everyone thinks you are the worst poster in several years around these parts. Guess that's why you're still posting you garbage rants.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,661
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 18, 2015, 02:34:06 PM »

This thread proves that the 2016 board must be sent to hell.
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,177
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 18, 2015, 03:40:02 PM »

Trump is electable, especially in a three way.
John Kasich is very vanilla, he initially had a pretty much all white male cabinet, not sure if he still does.

Rand Paul is in a very interesting place. I believe there would actually be some Democrats who would support him over Hillary. Why? Paul opposes the Patriot Act, opposes having all of these overseas bases, and he opposed the war in Iraq. Even on social issues, he's been an advocate for criminal justice reform well before Hillary. Paul has tried to reach out to the black community. He could win a nation that is very reluctant to go to war despite wanting to have a leadership presence in the world.
Rand Paul is as "non-interventionist" as John Bolton. He doesn't want an authorization of military force - He wants a declaration of war - a World War Three, considering the last time one was issued - against ISIS.

I also admire those who hate John Kasich for not giving token cabinet spots - because, let's face it, no Minority Republicans are likely qualified enough for most jobs. As for the accusation of him being vanilla... "Very vanilla" people don't usually turn Medicaid into a passionate, God-driven argument.... Or balance the budget nearly single handedly.... Or reform rather than cut or raise the spending/budget/taxation... Or be John Kasich.
Logged
Horsemask
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,279


Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: -4.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 18, 2015, 04:57:18 PM »

Rockefeller was more electable than Goldwater but he lost the nomination because what would have been the point? Would President Rockefeller have pushed back against the left and rolled back the Democratic agenda? Would President John Ellis Bush?

Conservatives today are looking for a Goldwater, not a Rockefeller. Realistically, they'll have to settle for a Scranton.

They're looking for a candidate who will get blown out in a landslide election? Goldwater was pioneering for his time, but seriously...
Logged
Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,568
Bermuda


Political Matrix
E: 0.06, S: 5.83

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 18, 2015, 05:10:12 PM »

Rockefeller was more electable than Goldwater but he lost the nomination because what would have been the point? Would President Rockefeller have pushed back against the left and rolled back the Democratic agenda? Would President John Ellis Bush?

Conservatives today are looking for a Goldwater, not a Rockefeller. Realistically, they'll have to settle for a Scranton.

They're looking for a candidate who will get blown out in a landslide election? Goldwater was pioneering for his time, but seriously...

They want someone who will fight for their interests. Electability is meaningless if all President Bush/Rubio/Kasich does for four to eight years is play interference for the left. On policy and legislation, the GOP are proven losers. Conservatives might as well double down on Trump. God knows they have nothing to lose by doing so.
Logged
DavidB.
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,708
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 18, 2015, 08:51:49 PM »
« Edited: August 18, 2015, 08:53:23 PM by DavidB. »

Rockefeller was more electable than Goldwater but he lost the nomination because what would have been the point? Would President Rockefeller have pushed back against the left and rolled back the Democratic agenda? Would President John Ellis Bush?

Conservatives today are looking for a Goldwater, not a Rockefeller. Realistically, they'll have to settle for a Scranton.

They're looking for a candidate who will get blown out in a landslide election? Goldwater was pioneering for his time, but seriously...

They want someone who will fight for their interests. Electability is meaningless if all President Bush/Rubio/Kasich does for four to eight years is play interference for the left. On policy and legislation, the GOP are proven losers. Conservatives might as well double down on Trump. God knows they have nothing to lose by doing so.
I could understand these concerns about Bush or Kasich, but if Rubio and Walker aren't conservative enough for people, then these people need to get a reality check, because someone who's more conservative than Rubio and Walker will simply not become president. Rubio or Walker would certainly not "play interference for the left" and no person with a brain genuinely believes they would.

Oh, and it's not as if Trump is so conservative. If Cruz and Carson would be the frontrunners, this argument would at least be somewhat more valid.
Logged
Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,568
Bermuda


Political Matrix
E: 0.06, S: 5.83

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 18, 2015, 09:08:20 PM »

Rockefeller was more electable than Goldwater but he lost the nomination because what would have been the point? Would President Rockefeller have pushed back against the left and rolled back the Democratic agenda? Would President John Ellis Bush?

Conservatives today are looking for a Goldwater, not a Rockefeller. Realistically, they'll have to settle for a Scranton.

They're looking for a candidate who will get blown out in a landslide election? Goldwater was pioneering for his time, but seriously...

They want someone who will fight for their interests. Electability is meaningless if all President Bush/Rubio/Kasich does for four to eight years is play interference for the left. On policy and legislation, the GOP are proven losers. Conservatives might as well double down on Trump. God knows they have nothing to lose by doing so.
I could understand these concerns about Bush or Kasich, but if Rubio and Walker aren't conservative enough for people, then these people need to get a reality check, because someone who's more conservative than Rubio and Walker will simply not become president. Rubio or Walker would certainly not "play interference for the left" and no person with a brain genuinely believes they would.

Oh, and it's not as if Trump is so conservative. If Cruz and Carson would be the frontrunners, this argument would at least be somewhat more valid.

Rubio's amnesty shenanigans have not been forgotten. He may yet become the nominee but if so it will be because the establishment settle on him as the safest bet. Walker's positions are an enigma although he is almost certainly on the more conservative side of the establishment wing.

As for Trump's politics, they are much less important that what his supporters believe his politics to be.
Logged
Blair
Blair2015
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,215
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 19, 2015, 03:23:05 AM »

And how the hell does a Jeb Bush fanboy call anybody Vanilla?
Logged
dudeabides
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
Tuvalu
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 19, 2015, 06:04:26 AM »

Trump is electable, especially in a three way.

I know as a socialist, you love Trump, but he isn't electable at all.

I ain't no socialist, you low information poster. I'm a conservative.

Trump is the savior America both deserves and desires.

First of all, your profile says "(S-GA)." Secondly, you support Trump. So the evidence suggests otherwise but really you are a troll.

Oh, if you don't understand the background behind S-GA, then you certainly don't know that everyone thinks you are the worst poster in several years around these parts. Guess that's why you're still posting you garbage rants.

I have found that the vast majority of posters on here are smart and nice people. Unfortunately, there are some such as you who are completely clueless and I'm going to call you out on in, I'm going to tell it like it is and if some people don't like it, I'm sorry because my intention is not to offend, unless of course you are just rude and obnoxious. I'm glad you took a poll here showing I am the "worst poster in years around these parts." At least my opinions are informed.

Trump is electable, especially in a three way.

 John Kasich is very vanilla, he initially had a pretty much all white male cabinet, not sure if he still does.

So what? This is literally the worse attack line from a republican, I thought you were against giving people token jobs

The media will make a big deal about it, not me. It will get negative attention and some folks will not vote for him because of it. It's about electability, not how I personally feel.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.06 seconds with 8 queries.