MO-PPP: Trump & Clinton ahead

[Tender Branson]

GOP:

PPP's new Missouri poll provides more evidence that Donald Trump emerged from the first debate at least momentarily unscathed. He leads the Republican field in the state with 23% to 11% each for Jeb Bush and Ben Carson, 10% for Mike Huckabee, 9% for Ted Cruz, 8% for Scott Walker, 7% for Carly Fiorina, 6% for Marco Rubio, and 4% each for John Kasich and Rand Paul. That makes for a very clean top ten in Missouri because everyone else is at 1% or less- Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rick Perry, and Rick Santorum all get 1%, George Pataki is at less than 1%, and Jim Gilmore and Lindsey Graham have literally no supporters.

DEMs:

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton leads with 53% to 25% for Bernie Sanders, 5% each for Martin O'Malley and Jim Webb, and 1% for Lincoln Chafee.

...

Public Policy Polling surveyed 859 voters from August 7th to 9th, including 440 Republican primary voters and 352 Democratic primary voters. The margin of error for the overall survey is +/-3.3%, for the Republican primary voters it’s +/-4.7%, and for the Democratic primary voters it’s +/-5.2%. 80% of participants responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/08/trump-leads-republicans-in-mo-gop-field-leads-clinton.html

[Mr. Morden]

Dems

Clinton 53%
Sanders 25%
O'Malley 5%
Webb 5%
Chafee 1%

GOP

Trump 23%
Bush 11%
Carson 11%
Huckabee 10%
Cruz 9%
Walker 8%
Fiorina 7%
Rubio 6%
Kasich 4%
Paul 4%
Christie 1%
Jindal 1%
Perry 1%
Santorum 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki 0% each

[Mr. Morden]

Trump has 30% support among men and 16% among women.  If he wins, he will truly have a mandate.  Also, 32% among age 18-45, but only 17% among age 65 and up.

[Eraserhead]

So according to PPP, Sanders is doing as well in Missouri as he currently is in Iowa. That's... quite surprising given the demographic differences between the two states.

[The Other Castro]

Trump has 30% support among men and 16% among women.  If he wins, he will truly have a mandate.  Also, 32% among age 18-45, but only 17% among age 65 and up.

If Graham wins, he'd have a mandate as well

[tmthforu94]

It is sad that the guy who won 4 years ago with over 55% of the vote can only manage 1%. Santorum needs to avoid further embarrassment and drop out now.

[The Mikado]

Trump doubles second place. Missouri is truly the classiest, most luxurious state around.

I'd really like polls of NY and NJ.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Trump doubles second place. Missouri is truly the classiest, most luxurious state around.

I'd really like polls of NY and NJ.

New York is probably:

Trump: 90%
Bush/Walker/Carson: 2% each
Others: 1% or less

[mds32]

How conservative are NY Republicans?

NY Republicans are not complete nutjobs. Conservatives would probably break off and support Trump though compared to the GOP electorate giving 90% support to him in the primaries. And I would bet Trump could now have trouble with South Jersey after what he said in the last debate.