IA-PPP: Iowa is a tossup
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  IA-PPP: Iowa is a tossup
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Author Topic: IA-PPP: Iowa is a tossup  (Read 4365 times)
Eraserhead
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« Reply #25 on: August 11, 2015, 06:39:02 PM »

Once again a poll in a battleground state shows Sanders with far better favorables and performing better in the general election than Hillary Clinton.

She's the only electable candidate though, right?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #26 on: August 11, 2015, 07:12:26 PM »

With favorability dropping nationwide, talk of GOP arising, her hiding from the national spotlight, Bernie Sanders making huge noise, and youth and younger portions of the electorate rallying around Bernie, Hillary Clinton's numbers are slowly going to continue getting weaker and weaker.


She isn't "hiding from the national spotlight" genius.
If the media stopped playing Trump and the rest of the Republican clowns 24/7 then you might have a chance to hear her.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #27 on: August 11, 2015, 07:22:37 PM »
« Edited: August 11, 2015, 07:28:22 PM by Mehmentum »

Once again a poll in a battleground state shows Sanders with far better favorables and performing better in the general election than Hillary Clinton.

She's the only electable candidate though, right?
Remember, for Sanders favorability, there are still a ton of undecideds.  Digging into the crosstabs, the majority of these people are conservatives and moderates.  Sanders has such a good favorable rating (+3) because its mostly liberals who have heard of him.  

The same is true for Carson's favorable rating.  He's at a +18 right now, does that mean he's going to win in a landslie? Of course not.  When candidates have such a low name recognition, their favorability doesn't actually mean that much.

That isn't to say that Clinton's favorables aren't horrible right now.  They are.  However, just because Clinton's had a bad month doesn't make Sanders any more electable.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #28 on: August 11, 2015, 09:52:39 PM »

Hillary absolutely destroyed Jeb Bush at the Urban League. It didn't get talked about a whole lot, but I do think it further damaged his standings by show how weak that he is. She is out there, but at this point, all she needs to do is keep her powder dry and continue to read the Republican field for filth.

As for PPP, I find it odd that Carson is leading while candidates more known that him are behind. I would imagine that he's more generic Republican than the rest of them.
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Xing
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« Reply #29 on: August 13, 2015, 11:24:04 PM »

Iowa is potentially problematic for Democrats. I'm actually more worried about it than Colorado. If it trends Republican, the Democratic edge in the electoral college vs. the popular vote disappears entirely. Iowa is a toss-up right now.
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madelka
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« Reply #30 on: August 14, 2015, 02:40:38 AM »

Iowa will be won by the Republican candidate in 2016. It won't be white farmers that put Clinton in the White House but non-white voters in the cities and suburbs. White voters are trending Republican, but it won't be enough for the Republicans to win in 2016. At least not yet.
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