IA-PPP: R-Trump leads, Carly at 10%//D-Hillary 52%, Bernie 25%

Landslide Lyndon
px75
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Re: IA-PPP: R-Trump leads, Carly at 10%//D-Hillary 52%, Bernie 25%

« Reply #25 on: August 10, 2015, 06:53:52 PM »

It's pretty obvious by now that Walker was the real loser of the debate.

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Donald Trump 2016 !
captainkangaroo
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	Re: IA-PPP: R-Trump leads, Carly at 10%//D-Hillary 52%, Bernie 25% « Reply #26 on: August 10, 2015, 07:27:02 PM »
	« Edited: August 10, 2015, 07:32:30 PM by captainkangaroo »

Quote from: xavier110 on August 10, 2015, 12:31:28 PM

How long does it take for a lead to be a lead? Trump now has been on top for over a month. From what I remember in 2012, the #1 spot was always in flux. If he can last on top through September, is he basically unassailable?

Trump is leading. All of the current polls show Trump leading. He's just not considered the frontrunner because he'll never win the nomination.

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Eraserhead
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Re: IA-PPP: R-Trump leads, Carly at 10%//D-Hillary 52%, Bernie 25%

« Reply #27 on: August 10, 2015, 08:02:03 PM »

Quote from: captainkangaroo on August 10, 2015, 07:27:02 PM

Quote from: xavier110 on August 10, 2015, 12:31:28 PM

Trump is leading. All of the current polls show Trump leading. He's just not considered the frontrunner because he'll never win the nomination.

Keep telling yourself that.

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Donald Trump 2016 !
captainkangaroo
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Posts: 835

	Re: IA-PPP: R-Trump leads, Carly at 10%//D-Hillary 52%, Bernie 25% « Reply #28 on: August 10, 2015, 08:10:42 PM »
	« Edited: August 10, 2015, 08:15:27 PM by captainkangaroo »

Quote from: Eraserhead on August 10, 2015, 08:02:03 PM

Quote from: captainkangaroo on August 10, 2015, 07:27:02 PM

Quote from: xavier110 on August 10, 2015, 12:31:28 PM

Trump is leading. All of the current polls show Trump leading. He's just not considered the frontrunner because he'll never win the nomination.

Keep telling yourself that.

You're crazy if you genuinely believe that Trump has a better than 2% chance of winning the Republican nomination. Who was the last Republican nominee that had 42% of the Republican electorate stating that they had an unfavorable view of their candidate?

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Mr. Morden
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Re: IA-PPP: R-Trump leads, Carly at 10%//D-Hillary 52%, Bernie 25%

« Reply #29 on: August 10, 2015, 09:27:35 PM »

Quote from: Mehmentum on August 10, 2015, 12:59:06 PM

Favorability ratings:

Carson: 69-10 (+59)

Rubio: 66-15 (+51)
Walker: 63-17 (+46)
Huckabee: 64-20 (+44)
Fiorina: 56-15 (+41)

Cruz: 56-21 (+35)

Bush: 45-32 (+13)
Kasich: 33-23 (+10)
Trump: 46-40 (+6)

Christie: 34-44 (-10)
Paul: 31-45 (-14)

Compared to their April poll of Iowa:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=211885.msg4581372#msg4581372

that's a massive slide in popularity for Paul. He was +25% back then, but is -14% now. Also, Christie's current -10% is at least better than his -22% in April. Tongue

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Mr. Morden
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Re: IA-PPP: R-Trump leads, Carly at 10%//D-Hillary 52%, Bernie 25%

« Reply #30 on: August 10, 2015, 09:34:30 PM »

Among voters who are more concerned about nominating someone electable than someone who is conservative on the issues:

Trump 16%
Bush 14%
Walker 14%
Carson 13%
Fiorina 11%
Rubio 8%
Kasich 5%

So yes, Trump even leads (barely) among those looking for someone electable.

Who leads among...?

Tea Party: Cruz/Walker tie
not Tea Party: Trump
not sure if Tea Party: Trump
saw the debate: Trump
didn't see the debate: Trump/Walker tie
moderates: Trump
somewhat conservative: Walker
very conservative: Trump
men: Trump
women: Trump
age 18-45: Trump
age 46-65: Trump
age 65+: Carson/Trump tie

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