Couple of convention what ifs?
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  Couple of convention what ifs?
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ak482
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« on: August 07, 2015, 09:34:54 PM »

I've been reading some work by Rick Perlstein, and I've been thinking about how general elections could've been shaped if events at the conventions went differently.  Two years come to mind:

1968.  What if the Democrats peace plank actually passes? (given the way Boss Daley stacked the deck for the administration that year it wouldn't have happened, but let's play anyway).  Does McCarthy win the nomination, and if so, how does he care?

1976.  What if John Sears doesn't convince Reagan to go with Dick Schweiker as his running mate?  Also, what if Sears tries to sway uncommitted delegates with something other than forcing nominees to name running mates to the convention prior to the voting?
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2016, 08:44:50 AM »

Given the realities of 1968 and many people still supporting the war, McCarthy may have won the nomination, but probably not in the general. It seems unlikely McCarthy would have won TX or MD.

Nixon 43% / 288 EV
McCarthy 42% / 205 EV
Wallace 15% / 45 EV
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Fuzzy Stands With His Friend, Chairman Sanchez
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« Reply #2 on: February 06, 2016, 01:07:57 PM »

Sears's strategy may not have backfired if Reagan had chosen Sen. James Buckley (R-NY).  Buckley was, like Sanders is today, not, technically a Republican, but a member of New York's Conservative Party.  But Buckley was elected with Republican and conservative Democratic votes, and was endorsed in 1970 by a number of prominent Republicans.  He was also the choice of the Nixon White House; Spiro Agnew called Buckley's Republican opponent,, Sen. Charles Goodell (R-NY) "the Christine Jorgensen of the Repubican Party".  New York's delegates were boss-controlled, and most of them would not have bit, but some would, and there wouldn't have been the backlash against Reagan from Jesse Helms and Buckley over the selection.
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