Reuters primary polling: tracking thread. (user search)
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  Reuters primary polling: tracking thread. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.  (Read 48403 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: October 09, 2015, 05:11:10 PM »

Yeah, not buying this.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2015, 06:55:26 PM »

The lead narrows by 14 points in just one week.

Nov. 3
Clinton 59.0
Sanders 26.5
O'Malley 5.4

Nov. 10
Clinton 51.8
Sanders  33.3
O'Malley 3.6


It's NOT happening, remember when Clinton was down in the 40s in this poll? She spiked back up.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2015, 08:00:25 PM »

The lead narrows by 14 points in just one week.

Nov. 3
Clinton 59.0
Sanders 26.5
O'Malley 5.4

Nov. 10
Clinton 51.8
Sanders  33.3
O'Malley 3.6


It's NOT happening, remember when Clinton was down in the 40s in this poll? She spiked back up.

That was with Biden. This is the lowest she's been since they removed Biden.

Point is, this poll is bouncy. I wouldn't put much stock in it.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2015, 11:50:17 PM »

Sorry hillbots but the election is gonna be closer then you think.

You're going off ONE variation of a bouncy poll. C'mon.

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2015, 12:39:12 AM »
« Edited: November 11, 2015, 12:56:59 AM by Fmr President & Senator Polnut »

Sorry hillbots but the election is gonna be closer then you think.

You're going off ONE variation of a bouncy poll. C'mon.




I am saying people need to accept all bouncy polls and not just the ones that favor clinton.

Actually, no. There's a reason why why bouncy polls are treated with a degree of skepticism.

Also, I love that a 14% swing in a week without any significant factor isn't a cause to question the poll... But it's good for Bernie so it must be legit. This is basic psephology.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #5 on: November 11, 2015, 02:33:49 AM »

We'll see
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #6 on: December 01, 2015, 08:51:16 PM »

Look what happens when you turn off the Democratic filter.

Sanders 34.0
Clinton 32.0
O'Malley 6.0

LOL. Of course Bernie isn't actually ahead.

Please, stop it. This poll is nonsense, of course, you were happy to champion it when goes rogue, but no one should take a poll this jumpy seriously.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #7 on: December 01, 2015, 11:58:42 PM »

Like all junkes, this forum needs a poll fix bad. Right now we are searching couch cushions for leftover morsels

my sources tell me we're getting a real humdinger of a SHOCK POLL tomorrow, so stay tuned
What exactly are these sources saying?

A Quinnipiac poll showing Republicans beating Hillary nationally by 20+.

Or a PPP poll showing Clinton beating Sanders in New Hampshire by 15+.

That would be rather unsubtle of them. I'd assume PPP would want to have Hillary only doing 10 points better than the other polls.

Wait... so.... that's not in bold. So you're being serious?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #8 on: December 03, 2015, 05:18:41 PM »

Sanders within 15%? Has that ever happened before post-Biden?

On Reuters... so, it doesn't matter.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #9 on: December 07, 2015, 02:54:23 AM »


Reuters really seems to enjoy toying with the Sandernistas.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #10 on: December 15, 2015, 05:09:55 AM »

Ah Reuters...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #11 on: December 30, 2015, 06:14:19 PM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

Even if you filter to likely general election voters, it's 22% other. Seems pretty junky.
Rasmussen had a similar result....seems like a lot of people dislike both, which would be supported by most people if asked.


This is the s*** that people can pull early in the season. Like all GE polling, it means nothing at this point.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #12 on: December 30, 2015, 08:57:06 PM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

Even if you filter to likely general election voters, it's 22% other. Seems pretty junky.
Rasmussen had a similar result....seems like a lot of people dislike both, which would be supported by most people if asked.


This is the s*** that people can pull early in the season. Like all GE polling, it means nothing at this point.

So trump losing to both Sanders and Clinton in general polls is gonna change?

It might, it might not.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #13 on: January 01, 2016, 05:59:31 PM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

Even if you filter to likely general election voters, it's 22% other. Seems pretty junky.
Rasmussen had a similar result....seems like a lot of people dislike both, which would be supported by most people if asked.


This is the s*** that people can pull early in the season. Like all GE polling, it means nothing at this point.

So trump losing to both Sanders and Clinton in general polls is gonna change?

It might, it might not.

So why discredit GE polls now if they might not change?

Because I've followed a lot of campaigns and know that overall GE position means virtually nothing this far out.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #14 on: January 04, 2016, 01:58:19 AM »

Polling on New Year's Eve could lead to an oversampling of loners with nothing to do.  Tongue


I see what you did there Smiley
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #15 on: February 23, 2016, 10:40:30 PM »

Bernie leads women 51.0-40.6!

LOLLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL!!!!!!

As if that isn't enough evidence that this poll is nonsense. But you'll grasp at whatever straws you can.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #16 on: February 25, 2016, 05:03:48 AM »

Reuters was a joke when Hillary was leading and it still is now.

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