Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.
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Author Topic: Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.  (Read 48402 times)
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #25 on: August 19, 2015, 11:15:26 PM »
Latest Ipsos/Reuters national tracking (Aug. 14-18):

likely Democratic primary voters

Clinton 60%
Sanders 17%
Biden 16%
Cuomo 2%
Chafee 1%
Gillibrand 1%
Webb 0%
O'Malley 0%

likely Republican primary voters

Trump 22%
Carson 17%
Walker 12%
Bush 9%
Huckabee 9%
Paul 5%
Fiorina 5%
Rubio 5%
Cruz 4%
Perry 3%
Kasich 3%
Christie 3%
Jindal 1%
Santorum 1%
Pataki 0%
Graham 0%

If it's just Bush/Carson/Trump…

Trump 33%
Bush 32%
Carson 28%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #26 on: August 20, 2015, 02:53:57 AM »
So Sanders actually lost ground in this? None of the real national polls are showing that. Junk poll!
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jfern
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« Reply #27 on: August 20, 2015, 03:23:48 AM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on August 20, 2015, 02:53:57 AM
So Sanders actually lost ground in this? None of the real national polls are showing that. Junk poll!

Online Ipsos polls have a C+ rating from 538. CNN has an A-. I'll go with that CNN poll.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #28 on: August 21, 2015, 01:11:38 PM »

Trump/Carson unity ticket?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #29 on: August 22, 2015, 10:18:37 AM »
The latest 5-day rolling average is now:

32% Trump
16% Bush
  8% Carson

Link

48% Clinton
25% Sanders
12% Biden

Link
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #30 on: August 22, 2015, 10:27:40 AM »

I would be somewhat afraid of a Rubio/Carson ticket actually. I know Carson has said crazy things in the past, yet he has probably had the greatest, most structured and well taught out campaign so far (with Rubio second).
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #31 on: August 22, 2015, 10:30:10 AM »
*Dies*
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #32 on: August 22, 2015, 10:32:11 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on August 22, 2015, 10:18:37 AM
The latest 5-day rolling average is now:

32% Trump
16% Bush
  8% Carson

Link

48% Clinton
25% Sanders
12% Biden

Link

Niccceeeeeee...
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weixiaobao
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« Reply #33 on: August 25, 2015, 05:18:33 AM »
For (8/17-8/21), a three way race
Trump 44.1%
Bush 28.6%
Carson 24.7%
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #34 on: August 27, 2015, 03:29:22 AM »
30% Trump
10% Huckabee
8% Bush
8% Carson
7% Walker
5% Rubio
4% Cruz
4% Paul
4% Fiorina
3% Kasich
3% Christie
2% Perry
1% Jindal
1% Santorum
1% Graham
1% Gilmore
0% Pataki

http://polling.reuters.com/#!response/TR130/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20150731-20150825/collapsed/false
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #35 on: August 27, 2015, 03:11:44 PM »

What the...?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #36 on: August 28, 2015, 02:39:44 PM »
Hillary's lead is now the smallest ever:

45% Hillary
25% Sanders
16% Biden

Huckabee is now 2nd for some reason:

33% Trump
12% Huckabee
10% Bush
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Donerail
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« Reply #37 on: August 28, 2015, 07:25:35 PM »
Trump's lead is now larger than Hillary's.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #38 on: August 29, 2015, 07:59:23 AM »
That's an unusually strong showing for Huckabee considering two recent polls had him at three percent, and there hasn't been anything newsworthy lately to raise his profile.
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The Free North
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« Reply #39 on: August 29, 2015, 10:15:45 AM »
Quote from: Mister Mets on August 29, 2015, 07:59:23 AM
That's an unusually strong showing for Huckabee considering two recent polls had him at three percent, and there hasn't been anything newsworthy lately to raise his profile.

Junk poll?

I think so....
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #40 on: August 29, 2015, 12:25:02 PM »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on August 29, 2015, 10:15:45 AM
Quote from: Mister Mets on August 29, 2015, 07:59:23 AM
That's an unusually strong showing for Huckabee considering two recent polls had him at three percent, and there hasn't been anything newsworthy lately to raise his profile.

Junk poll?

I think so....

Well the difference between this and his usual poll results are just barely outside the usual margin of error, so...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #41 on: September 10, 2015, 02:35:30 PM »
35% Trump
12% Carson
  8% Bush

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http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6984
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #42 on: September 10, 2015, 02:51:15 PM »
Biden at only 14%? JUNK POLL
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #43 on: September 10, 2015, 03:09:06 PM »
Sanders within 14% in a national poll. Another high water mark.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #44 on: September 10, 2015, 03:17:40 PM »
Ipsos online is rated at C+ by fivethirtyeight, so slightly more reliable than gravis. Both Hillary and Bernies movements btw are within the margin of error from there last three polls.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #45 on: September 11, 2015, 05:25:54 AM »
Full #s:
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Skye
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« Reply #46 on: September 11, 2015, 04:47:48 PM »
http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2015/09/11/us/politics/11reuters-usa-election-poll.html

Clinton 39
Sanders 31
Biden 16

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xavier110
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« Reply #47 on: September 11, 2015, 04:48:30 PM »
OMG, go Bernie! What a hilarious race this year. When will the establishment Dems finally hop off the Clinton train?
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #48 on: September 11, 2015, 04:48:55 PM »
Bernie's victory is inevitable.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #49 on: September 11, 2015, 04:53:37 PM »
Isn't this just their tracking poll, which they update every day?  We had a thread on their results from two days ago here:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=218982.0

Shouldn't we just put it in one thread, rather than have a new Ipsos/Reuters thread every day?
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