Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.
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Author Topic: Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.  (Read 48242 times)
Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #225 on: December 24, 2015, 10:18:32 AM »


fixed.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #226 on: December 24, 2015, 10:18:58 AM »

Great news!
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EliteLX
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« Reply #227 on: December 24, 2015, 12:41:43 PM »

SANTORUM IS AT 3% BECAUSE HE FIGHTS
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #228 on: December 25, 2015, 02:18:31 AM »

SANTORUM IS SURGING! SANTORUMMENTUM!!!!!!!!!!
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #229 on: December 30, 2015, 03:04:43 AM »

GOP:
Trump-39
Cruz-14
Rubio-12
Carson-12
Bush-6
(Wouldn't vote)-5
Paul-4
Fiorina-2
Huckabee-2
Christie-2
Santorum-1
Kasich-1
Gilmore-*

DEM:
Clinton-56
Sanders-32
(Wouldn't vote)-9
O'Malley-3

source: http://polling.reuters.com
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #230 on: December 30, 2015, 03:06:40 AM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1
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« Reply #231 on: December 30, 2015, 05:19:15 AM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

Even if you filter to likely general election voters, it's 22% other. Seems pretty junky.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #232 on: December 30, 2015, 05:40:02 AM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

Even if you filter to likely general election voters, it's 22% other. Seems pretty junky.
Rasmussen had a similar result....seems like a lot of people dislike both, which would be supported by most people if asked.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #233 on: December 30, 2015, 06:14:19 PM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

Even if you filter to likely general election voters, it's 22% other. Seems pretty junky.
Rasmussen had a similar result....seems like a lot of people dislike both, which would be supported by most people if asked.


This is the s*** that people can pull early in the season. Like all GE polling, it means nothing at this point.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #234 on: December 30, 2015, 06:51:24 PM »

There are no likely general election voters at this point.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #235 on: December 30, 2015, 08:50:32 PM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

Even if you filter to likely general election voters, it's 22% other. Seems pretty junky.
Rasmussen had a similar result....seems like a lot of people dislike both, which would be supported by most people if asked.


This is the s*** that people can pull early in the season. Like all GE polling, it means nothing at this point.

So trump losing to both Sanders and Clinton in general polls is gonna change?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #236 on: December 30, 2015, 08:57:06 PM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

Even if you filter to likely general election voters, it's 22% other. Seems pretty junky.
Rasmussen had a similar result....seems like a lot of people dislike both, which would be supported by most people if asked.


This is the s*** that people can pull early in the season. Like all GE polling, it means nothing at this point.

So trump losing to both Sanders and Clinton in general polls is gonna change?

It might, it might not.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #237 on: December 30, 2015, 09:01:06 PM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

Even if you filter to likely general election voters, it's 22% other. Seems pretty junky.
Rasmussen had a similar result....seems like a lot of people dislike both, which would be supported by most people if asked.


This is the s*** that people can pull early in the season. Like all GE polling, it means nothing at this point.

So trump losing to both Sanders and Clinton in general polls is gonna change?

It might, it might not.

So why discredit GE polls now if they might not change?
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Holmes
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« Reply #238 on: December 30, 2015, 09:24:55 PM »

GE polling is useless now, sure, but it's a great fundraising pitch if you're in first.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #239 on: January 01, 2016, 05:59:31 PM »

Reuters also did a general election matchup poll ( Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton)
Clinton-38
Trump-32
Other/Wouldn't vote/refuse-31

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/ TM651Y15_13/type/smallest/dates/20151201-20151229/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

Even if you filter to likely general election voters, it's 22% other. Seems pretty junky.
Rasmussen had a similar result....seems like a lot of people dislike both, which would be supported by most people if asked.


This is the s*** that people can pull early in the season. Like all GE polling, it means nothing at this point.

So trump losing to both Sanders and Clinton in general polls is gonna change?

It might, it might not.

So why discredit GE polls now if they might not change?

Because I've followed a lot of campaigns and know that overall GE position means virtually nothing this far out.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #240 on: January 03, 2016, 06:58:00 AM »

Five day rolling average through Dec. 31 (yes, they were polling on New Year’s Eve):

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151227-20151231/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 33%
O’Malley 3%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20151227-20151231/type/day

GOP

Trump 36%
Cruz 15%
Rubio 12%
Carson 12%
Bush 6%
Paul 3%
Huckabee 2%
Christie 2%
Kasich 2%
Fiorina 1%
Santorum 1%
Gilmore, Pataki 0%

OK, so they are still polling Gilmore after all?
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A Perez
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« Reply #241 on: January 03, 2016, 10:13:46 AM »

Reuters overestimated Clinton's lead.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #242 on: January 03, 2016, 09:42:18 PM »

Polling on New Year's Eve, wow.

Very, very disrespectful.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #243 on: January 04, 2016, 12:02:20 AM »

Polling on New Year's Eve could lead to an oversampling of loners with nothing to do.  Tongue
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #244 on: January 04, 2016, 12:16:44 AM »

Polling on New Year's Eve could lead to an oversampling of loners with nothing to do.  Tongue

I don't know, Gilmore and Pataki were still at 0%.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #245 on: January 04, 2016, 01:58:19 AM »

Polling on New Year's Eve could lead to an oversampling of loners with nothing to do.  Tongue


I see what you did there Smiley
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bigedlb
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« Reply #246 on: January 05, 2016, 07:52:11 PM »

Reuters 12/31-1/4
Trump 41.7
Cruz 13.7
Carson 10.6
Rubio 8.2
Bush 8.1
Christie 3.2
Paul 2.6
Huckabee 2.2
Fiorina 1.3
Wouldn't vote 6.7
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cxs018
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« Reply #247 on: January 05, 2016, 08:08:02 PM »

Reuters 12/31-1/4
Trump 41.7
Cruz 13.7
Carson 10.6
Rubio 8.2
Bush 8.1
Christie 3.2
Paul 2.6
Huckabee 2.2
Fiorina 1.3
Wouldn't vote 6.7

So many things wrong with this...

> Carson ahead of Rubio
> Jeb almost equal to Rubio
> Huckabee ahead of Fiorina
> Cruz at 14
> Trump at 42
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #248 on: January 05, 2016, 09:38:30 PM »

TRUMP AT 42?!

THE SILENT MAJORITY IS NOT SO SILENT ANYMORE!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #249 on: January 08, 2016, 11:28:40 PM »

Five day rolling average through Jan. 8:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20160104-20160108/type/day

Dems

Clinton 55%
Sanders 33%
O’Malley 4%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20160104-20160108/type/day

GOP

Trump 41%
Cruz 16%
Carson 13%
Bush 8%
Rubio 8%
Christie 3%
Huckabee 2%
Paul 2%
Fiorina 2%
Kasich 1%
Gilmore, Santorum 0%
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