2016: A Total Mess

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

March 6, 2016 - Maine Caucuses

Sanders: 43.4%
Clinton: 31.4%
Biden: 25.2%

Kasich: 37.5%
Trump: 28%
Walker: 26.1%
Carson: 9%

"No real surprise in the results of the Maine caucuses. Bernie Sanders and John Kasich get convincing victories. Another disappointment for Walker, who continues to be unable to break into Trump's base where it matters."



"Against all odds, my campaign continues to show that it remains a credible alternative to Hillary Clinton. A message of fighting income inequality, instituting single-payer health care, soundly rejecting the keystone pipeline, and upholding the second amendment has never enjoyed so much success in american politics. The republicans aren't running a dynasty candidate anymore, and neither should our party. Hillary will go down in flames!"



"Look, we won this contest on a message of not dividing the country, of not marginalizing the most vulnerable, not continuing the culture of partisanship in Washington. This country doesn't need a weak leader who knows nothing about how to run a country. And no other candidate can create the ideal culture of leadership that I can. Let's continue on to the territories, to Michigan, to Illinois, with this strong message."

Republican Primary Standings

1. Kasich - 8 wins (CO, MA, VA, VT, NV, TN, WA, ME)
2. Carson - 5 wins (IA, AR, GA, KS, KY)
2. Trump - 5 wins (NH, AL, OK, TX, LA)
4. Walker - 4 wins (SC, ID, MN, NC)

Democratic Primary Standings

1. Clinton - 8 wins (NV, AL, AS, AR, GA, OK, NMI, LA)
2. Biden - 7 wins (IA, SC, NC, TN, VA, TX, KS)
3. Sanders - 6 wins (NH, CO, MA, MN, VT, ME)

Next Contests - March 8 - Hawaii Caucus (Republicans Only), Mississippi, Michigan, American Samoa (Republicans Only), Americans Abroad (Democrats Only)

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

March 8 contests

Hawaii Caucus

"John Kasich is the winner here"

Kasich: 31.5%
Walker: 23.4%
Carson: 23.1%
Trump: 22%

Mississippi

"Another southern state, another win for Hillary Clinton"

Clinton: 47%
Biden: 41%
Sanders: 12%

"Donald Trump wins the republican contest"

Trump: 36.7%
Carson: 32%
Walker: 19.4%
Kasich: 11.9%

Michigan

"Bernie Sanders wins the Michigan primary, putting another dent into Hillary Clinton's campaign."

Sanders: 36.4%
Clinton: 33.1%
Biden: 30.5%

"Scott Walker wins the republican primary, keeping his candidacy viable"

Walker: 32.4%
Kasich: 29%
Trump: 22%
Carson: 16.6%

American Samoa

"Ben Carson pulls off a win in this very divided territory, upsetting conventional wisdom and proving that he can earn some establishment support"

Carson: 26%
Kasich: 25.4%
Trump: 24.6%
Walker: 24%

Americans Abroad

"In the one jurisdiction where the republicans will not hold any sort of contest this cycle, Hillary Clinton racks up another win"

Clinton: 55.4%
Biden: 29%
Sanders: 15.6%

Republican Primary Standings

1. Kasich - 9 wins (CO, MA, VA, VT, NV, TN, WA, ME, HI)
2. Carson - 6 wins (IA, AR, GA, KS, KY, AS)
2. Trump - 6 wins (NH, AL, OK, TX, LA, MS)
4. Walker - 5 wins (SC, ID, MN, NC, MI)

Democratic Primary Standings

1. Clinton - 10 wins (NV, AL, AS, AR, GA, OK, NMI, LA, MS, AA)
2. Biden - 7 wins (IA, SC, NC, TN, VA, TX, KS)
2. Sanders - 7 wins (NH, CO, MA, MN, VT, ME, MI)



"I've fought against tough opponents time and time again in Wisconsin. I've gained a lot of strength from that, and I've worked hard in each matchup. This primary will continue to be a long fight for the soul of the party, but I will not lose! I won three elections in four years and I'm not losing this one!"



"Choose someone, Democrats! We are not supposed to be the party that gets into ideological fights like the republicans. We are weakening ourselves every day with this primary. I don't even care who our nominee is anymore. If you want to go with that socialist, go ahead. But choose someone and stick with it. Now!"

Next Contests - March 12 - Virgin Islands Caucus (Republicans Only), Northern Mariana Islands Caucus (Republicans Only), Guam (Republicans Only)

[Bigby]

You are excellent at capturing the personalities of these figures. I cringed so hard at DWS.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

March 12 Contests

Virgin Islands Caucus

Carson: 32.7%
Trump: 30.5%
Walker: 22%
Kasich: 14.6%

Northern Mariana Islands Caucus

Walker: 28.7%
Trump: 25%
Carson: 23.6%
Kasich: 22.7%

Guam

Walker: 27.4%
Kasich: 26.1%
Carson: 23.5%
Trump: 23%

"A resurgence for Walker in these territorial contests. Going into these contests, Kasich was expected to win in Guam while Trump was expected to win in the Virgin Islands, with Walker leading only in the Northern Mariana Islands. But tonight, Carson wins a 2nd territory as he upsets Trump, while Walker wins the Northern Mariana Islands fairly comfortably and upsets Kasich in Guam. The March 15 contests in Florida, Ohio, Illinois, and Missouri remain crucial for Walker to do well in, but these territorial wins are still a good sign for him."



"America, don't fall for the establishment! They don't have your true interests at hand. I won the Virgin Islands because I have a strong message in that we don't need chronic bankruptcy, we don't need a politician, we need someone from everyday america! Walker's a good man, but he'd get caught right up in the Washington lobbyist culture. Don't fall for him! Vote for a new voice in this country!"

Republican Primary Standings

1. Kasich - 9 wins (CO, MA, VA, VT, NV, TN, WA, ME, HI)
2. Carson - 7 wins (IA, AR, GA, KS, KY, AS, VI)
2. Walker - 7 wins (SC, ID, MN, NC, MI, NMI, GU)
4. Trump - 6 wins (NH, AL, OK, TX, LA, MS)

Next Update:

March 13 - Puerto Rico (Republicans Only)

March 15 - Ohio, Florida, Illinois, Missouri

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

March 13

"John Kasich is the winner in the Puerto Rico Republican Primary"

Kasich: 30.5%
Carson: 26%
Walker: 24%
Trump: 21.5%

March 15

Ohio

"Biden racks up another win"

Biden: 38.7%
Clinton: 35%
Sanders: 26.3%

"John Kasich wins his home state in a landslide. Walker's huge effort to make this state closer than expected does not pay off. While he is the clear anti-Kasich in the state due to Carson and Trump's refusal to campaign in the state, Kasich still wins by 39 points"

Kasich: 65%
Walker: 26%
Trump: 6%
Carson: 3%

Florida

"Another win for Biden"

Biden: 41.7%
Clinton: 39.1%
Sanders: 19.2%

"Donald Trump wins the Republican primary"

Trump: 29%
Kasich: 26.4%
Walker: 26.2%
Carson: 19.4%

Illinois

"Hillary Clinton, the winner of the democratic Illinois Primary"

Clinton: 39%
Biden: 36.4%
Sanders: 24.6%

"And on the Republican side...hold on, are these even the right numbers?..Control room, did you click on the wrong race...can we get some verification here.....................Really?........All right, well, this is a big surprise. Donald Trump is the winner in the Illinois Republican Primary...by an eight point margin."

Trump: 36%
Kasich: 28%
Walker: 23.7%
Carson: 12.3%

Missouri

"Sanders is the winner here"

Sanders: 35%
Clinton: 33%
Biden: 32%

"And Ben Carson gets a grassroots-driven victory on the republican side"

Carson: 30.4%
Walker: 28.4%
Trump: 24%
Kasich: 17.2%

Republican Primary Standings

1. Kasich - 11 wins (CO, MA, VA, VT, NV, TN, WA, ME, HI, PR, OH)
2. Carson - 8 wins (IA, AR, GA, KS, KY, AS, VI, MO)
2. Trump - 8 wins (NH, AL, OK, TX, LA, MS, FL, IL)
4. Walker - 7 wins (SC, ID, MN, NC, MI, NMI, GU)

"We are hearing that after these results, the Walker campaign views the upcoming Arizona Primary as an absolute must win for them. If he does drop out after Arizona, he will hand out a very pivotal endorsement - either he will endorse Kasich and make him a heavy favorite for the nomination, or he will endorse Carson and put Kasich's campaign on the ropes. The campaign has confirmed that he will not endorse Donald Trump."

Democratic Primary Standings

1. Clinton - 11 wins (NV, AL, AS, AR, GA, OK, NMI, LA, MS, AA, IL)
2. Biden - 9 wins (IA, SC, NC, TN, VA, TX, KS, OH, FL)
3. Sanders - 8 wins (NH, CO, MA, MN, VT, ME, MI, MO)



"America, think logically! Do you really want a socialist in the presidency? Or a gaffe machine VP? Think about how satisfying it would be if we break that glass ceiling and elect a woman to the presidency! I know, I'm not perfect. But no one is. But surely you realize how bad a socialist or a gaffe machine would be for this nation. Look, America, admit that your best choice is to break that glass ceiling and elect me!"

(This desperate attempt at resurgence by Hillary Clinton comes off as a "vote for me because I'm a woman" speech and is criticized by several prominent Hillary supporters. Biden quickly begins to make gains in the polling for the upcoming Utah, Idaho, and Alaska contests, all of which are supposed to be safe Hillary states....)



"Just look at that media paralyzation during the announcement of my win in Illinois. They just can't fathom the idea that the middle class is waking up and realizing how ruined american politics is. How this country needs someone who actually knows how to run things. But they can't deny it anymore - the people are with us. Yeah, that Kasich dude has won a couple more states. But we're surging, folks, surging! We're going to get ahead of Kasich, and stay ahead. Arizona, Alaska, Wisconsin, here I come!"

Next Contests - March 22 - Utah Caucuses, Idaho Caucus (Democrats Only), Arizona

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

March 22 Contests

Utah Caucus

"Hillary treads water on the democratic side"

Clinton: 42.5%
Biden: 37%
Sanders: 20.5%

"Carson's grassroots support gets him a win"

Carson: 34.5%
Walker: 31.1%
Trump: 25%
Kasich: 9.4%

Idaho Caucus

"Hillary wins by a lesser margin than she should in this state"

Clinton: 44.4%
Biden: 37.1%
Sanders: 18.5%

Arizona

"Mark another one down for the VP"

Biden: 39.6%
Clinton: 34%
Sanders: 26.4%

"Walker wins, keeping his candidacy alive"

Walker: 28.7%
Trump: 27.1%
Kasich: 24%
Carson: 20.2%

Republican Primary Standings

1. Kasich - 11 wins (CO, MA, VA, VT, NV, TN, WA, ME, HI, PR, OH)
2. Carson - 9 wins (IA, AR, GA, KS, KY, AS, VI, MO, UT)
3. Trump - 8 wins (NH, AL, OK, TX, LA, MS, FL, IL)
3. Walker - 8 wins (SC, ID, MN, NC, MI, NMI, GU, AZ)

Democratic Primary Standings

1. Clinton - 13 wins (NV, AL, AS, AR, GA, OK, NMI, LA, MS, AA, IL, UT, ID)
2. Biden - 10 wins (IA, SC, NC, TN, VA, TX, KS, OH, FL, AZ)
3. Sanders - 8 wins (NH, CO, MA, MN, VT, ME, MI, MO)



"We did it, Arizona! My opponents can run every attack on me they want, run the fiercest campaigns they can, but I have the experience to face them down again and again! Wisconsin's electing me three times wasn't a fluke. It was because this country needs someone who's not afraid to tell the truth about what America needs - a true conservative leader with real results! This success will continue!"



"Biden and Sanders are putting up strong efforts, but with every contest, the truth becomes more evident: It won't be by a lot, and the primary campaign doesn't end today, but my lead is going to stick around and my candidacy will be the successful one at the convention. I call on them to realize this truth sooner than later and withdraw from the race. This party needs to unite, and the choice of the voters, while not fully unified, is clear. This lead isn't going to go away. This candidacy is going to win!"

Next Contests - March 26 - Washington Caucus (Democrats Only), Alaska Caucuses, Hawaii Caucus (Democrats Only)

[Bigby]

A total mess is a very accurate title so far.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

March 26 Contests

Washington Caucus

"Sanders wins another contest"

Sanders: 41.3%
Clinton: 33%
Biden: 25.7%

Alaska Caucus

"Biden pulls off a win on the democratic side. Hillary led here by 16 points just 3 weeks ago, but Biden has made up all of that ground. This is really an amazing result!"

Biden: 38.3%
Clinton: 37.6%
Sanders: 24.1%

"Carson wins the republican caucuses"

Carson: 26.4%
Walker: 26%
Trump: 24.1%
Kasich: 23.5%

Hawaii Caucus

"And in the birth state of President Obama, Biden pulls off another win. The final polls of this contest showed Hillary leading by 3%, but Biden has pulled off the upset, and by a significant margin. This is really significant, as it makes it very hard for Obama to endorse Clinton (Obama has yet to endorse a candidate), given that this is his birth state that is now joining the Hillary resistance."

Biden: 42.6%
Clinton: 39.1%
Sanders: 18.3%

Republican Primary Standings

1. Kasich - 11 wins (CO, MA, VA, VT, NV, TN, WA, ME, HI, PR, OH)
2. Carson - 10 wins (IA, AR, GA, KS, KY, AS, VI, MO, UT, AK)
3. Trump - 8 wins (NH, AL, OK, TX, LA, MS, FL, IL)
3. Walker - 8 wins (SC, ID, MN, NC, MI, NMI, GU, AZ)

Democratic Primary Standings

1. Clinton - 13 wins (NV, AL, AS, AR, GA, OK, NMI, LA, MS, AA, IL, UT, ID)
2. Biden - 12 wins (IA, SC, NC, TN, VA, TX, KS, OH, FL, AZ, AK, HI)
3. Sanders - 9 wins (NH, CO, MA, MN, VT, ME, MI, MO, WA)



"That Clinton lead is looking more and more insecure by the day! We can pass her before the calendar ends, and if we do not, we will take the fight to the convention! This is a fight for the very soul of this country. It is a fight that will determine whether the presidency has become virtually owned by two families, or if it remains open and up for grabs. Clinton, you're going down!"

-------

"The way to quickly end the democratic race is very clear. Sanders could endorse Biden right now, and put Biden eight wins ahead of Clinton. The Sanders vote would likely allow Biden to sweep all of the April, May, and June contests except New York, Guam, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, Kentucky, and maybe Maryland and New Mexico. The other contests, especially the June California Primary, would keep Biden in a dominant lead. But Sanders continues to elect to stay in the race. It's obvious why Sanders is staying in - in a situation where the nomination is undecided after the first ballot, he and his delegates could demand favorable platform changes from one of the other two candidates. He gets more speaking time at the convention as well if he stays in. But he could drop out anytime and effectively give the nomination to Biden, allowing the democrats to begin the general election campaign ahead of the Republican party. But of course, Sanders officially remains an independent, and he may not care about the democratic party as a whole as much as party leaders would like him to."

Next Update:

April 5 - Wisconsin Primary

April 9 - Wyoming Caucuses

And a special endorsement....

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

April 5

"Sanders and Walker win in Wisconsin"

Sanders: 40.4%
Biden: 35.3%
Clinton: 24.3%

Walker: 46.4%
Kasich: 34.3%
Trump: 13%
Carson: 6.3%

April 9

"Clinton and Carson win in Wyoming"

Clinton: 44.7%
Biden: 41%
Sanders: 14.3%

Carson: 32.4%
Walker: 29.6%
Trump: 24%
Kasich: 14%

Republican Primary Standings

1. Kasich - 11 wins (CO, MA, VA, VT, NV, TN, WA, ME, HI, PR, OH)
1. Carson - 11 wins (IA, AR, GA, KS, KY, AS, VI, MO, UT, AK, WY)
3. Walker - 9 wins (SC, ID, MN, NC, MI, NMI, GU, AZ, WI)
4. Trump - 8 wins (NH, AL, OK, TX, LA, MS, FL, IL)

Democratic Primary Standings

1. Clinton - 14 wins (NV, AL, AS, AR, GA, OK, NMI, LA, MS, AA, IL, UT, ID, WY)
2. Biden - 12 wins (IA, SC, NC, TN, VA, TX, KS, OH, FL, AZ, AK, HI)
3. Sanders - 10 wins (NH, CO, MA, MN, VT, ME, MI, MO, WA, WI)

April 14 - Elizabeth Warren finally releases Presidential Endorsement



"After carefully considering which candidate can truly remove the imbalance between wall street and the middle class, I have come to the decision that Vice President Joe Biden best embraces those causes. He is the perfect blend of party loyalty, populism, and new blood that this country's presidency needs. I call on the democratic party to reject the Clintons and instead put our amazing vice president into office."

While the MA Primary has already occured, Warren's endorsement is expected to boost Biden in the upcoming Northeast primaries.

Next Update:

April 19: New York

April 26: Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maryland, Delaware

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

April 19

"Troubling news for Clinton in the New York Primary. In 2008, she got 57% of the vote here. Today, she gets 'only' 54%. Still a clear win, but she should be getting more than 54% in her home state."

Clinton: 54.1%
Biden: 31.2%
Sanders: 14.7%

"Donald Trump wins the Republican Primary in a huge landslide"

Trump: 63.5%
Kasich: 18.4%
Walker: 12%
Carson: 6.1%

April 26

Pennsylvania

"Another win for Biden. This really shows how much the Clinton campaign has collapsed."

Biden: 43.1%
Clinton: 38%
Sanders: 18.9%

"Kasich gets a much-needed win"

Kasich: 31.4%
Walker: 28%
Trump: 25%
Carson: 15.6%

Maryland

"Hillary wins comfortably in this minority-dominated state."

Clinton: 50%
Biden: 39%
Sanders: 11%

"Ben Carson solidly wins his home state"

Carson: 49.1%
Trump: 24%
Kasich: 20%
Walker: 6.9%

Delaware

"Biden wins with even more of the vote than Sanders got in Vermont."

Biden: 75.6%
Sanders: 12.3%
Clinton: 12.1%

"Another win for Trump"

Trump: 28%
Walker: 25.3%
Kasich: 25.2%
Carson: 21.5%

Rhode Island

"Sanders gets his victory for the night"

Sanders: 35.4%
Biden: 33%
Clinton: 31.6%

"Kasich wins this very liberal state"

Kasich: 34%
Trump: 25%
Walker: 24%
Carson: 17%

Connecticut

"With a boost from the Warren endorsement, Biden wins here."

Biden: 37.4%
Sanders: 32.1%
Clinton: 30.5%

"On the Republican side, Walker pulls off a win"

Walker: 28.9%
Kasich: 28.4%
Trump: 25%
Carson: 17.7%

Republican Primary Standings

1. Kasich - 13 wins (CO, MA, VA, VT, NV, TN, WA, ME, HI, PR, OH, PA, RI)
2. Carson - 12 wins (IA, AR, GA, KS, KY, AS, VI, MO, UT, AK, WY, MD)
3. Walker - 10 wins (SC, ID, MN, NC, MI, NMI, GU, AZ, WI, CT)
3. Trump - 10 wins (NH, AL, OK, TX, LA, MS, FL, IL, NY, DE)

Democratic Primary Standings

1. Clinton - 16 wins (NV, AL, AS, AR, GA, OK, NMI, LA, MS, AA, IL, UT, ID, WY, NY, MD)
2. Biden - 15 wins (IA, SC, NC, TN, VA, TX, KS, OH, FL, AZ, AK, HI, PA, CT, DE)
3. Sanders - 11 wins (NH, CO, MA, MN, VT, ME, MI, MO, WA, WI, RI)



"Look, I'm glad we're having this contest of ideas in our party. It's important for the voters to have a real choice about who they want to be our nominee. But it's been three months now, and it's time for the party to come together. Look, Carson has a great grassroots organization, but where is his political experience? Donald Trump, look, I give the guy a lot of credit for having enough staying power to make it this far, but he's unelectable. Walker, he set big economic goals and failed to meet them. Only I have a record of actual political experience and good governance. In the end, the republican party must come together to support the best, most electable candidate. And I believe I represent that role perfectly."



"Thank you! Tonight's results represent an absolute clobbering of the democratic dynasty complex! Hillary can do nothing but stand by and watch this occur, it is too late! Her days are numbered, folks, and she'll surrender before long! We can win in Indiana, Nebraska, Kentucky, there is no limit to our strength!"

Next Update:

May 3 - Indiana, North Dakota Caucuses

May 7 - Guam (Democrats Only)

May 10 - Nebraska, West Virginia

May 17 - Kentucky (Democrats Only), Oregon

[Bigby]

Come on Kasich.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

May 3

Indiana

"Sanders gets another win. He's really going to have a lot of influence at the democratic convention."

Sanders: 37.4%
Biden: 34%
Clinton: 28.6%

"Kasich wins on the Republican side"

Kasich: 28.4%
Walker: 27.3%
Carson: 24%
Trump: 19.3%

North Dakota Caucus

"Biden is the winner"

Biden: 35.4%
Sanders: 33%
Clinton: 31.6%

"Walker is the winner"

Walker: 30%
Carson: 26%
Trump: 23%
Kasich: 21%

May 7

"Clinton wins big in Guam"

Clinton: 67.5%
Biden: 28.3%
Sanders: 4.2%

May 10

Nebraska

"Biden cuts into conservative territory once again"

Biden: 37%
Clinton: 33%
Sanders: 30%

"Carson's grassroots strength pays off again"

Carson: 28.4%
Trump: 25%
Walker: 24.9%
Kasich: 21.7%


West Virginia

"Clinton finds strength in Applachia."

Clinton: 38.6%
Biden: 32.5%
Sanders: 28.9%

"Bow to the Trump"

Trump: 30.5%
Carson: 27%
Walker: 23%
Kasich: 19.5%

May 17

Kentucky

"Put another one down for Biden"

Biden: 38.7%
Clinton: 37.9%
Sanders: 23.4%

Oregon

"Sanders gets his 13th win"

Sanders: 40.6%
Clinton: 34%
Biden: 25.4%

"Kasich gets another win"

Kasich: 31.5%
Carson: 24%
Trump: 22.4%
Walker: 22.1%


Republican Primary Standings

1. Kasich - 15 wins (CO, MA, VA, VT, NV, TN, WA, ME, HI, PR, OH, PA, RI, IN, OR)
2. Carson - 13 wins (IA, AR, GA, KS, KY, AS, VI, MO, UT, AK, WY, MD, NE)
3. Walker - 11 wins (SC, ID, MN, NC, MI, NMI, GU, AZ, WI, CT, ND)
3. Trump - 11 wins (NH, AL, OK, TX, LA, MS, FL, IL, NY, DE, WV)

Democratic Primary Standings

1. Clinton - 18 wins (NV, AL, AS, AR, GA, OK, NMI, LA, MS, AA, IL, UT, ID, WY, NY, MD, GU, WV)
2. Biden - 18 wins (IA, SC, NC, TN, VA, TX, KS, OH, FL, AZ, AK, HI, PA, CT, DE, ND, NE, KY)
3. Sanders - 13 wins (NH, CO, MA, MN, VT, ME, MI, MO, WA, WI, RI, IN, OR)


"The month of May has concluded nothing in the primary calendar. It is late enough in the calendar that anyone on the republican side or democratic side could drop out, endorse another candidate, and would likely given that other candidate the nomination. But every candidate on both sides is committed to staying in through the convention, and the May states being divided on both sides has done nothing to change this. The only candidate who is clearly not going to be nominated is Sanders, but he is staying in, and his delegates will decide who wins at the democratic convention."

Next Update:

June 5 - Puerto Rico (Democrats Only), Virgin Islands Caucus (Democrats Only)

Libertarian National Convention Results

President Barack Obama's endorsement

[Enderman]

The DNC Primary is looking quite similar to the 2006 one in the West Wing. A former Cabinet-level member who is close to the President, facing off against an incumbent VP. However, Sanders is definitely no Santos. If it were in 2020, and Sanders was instead Castro, then that'd be a better allusion.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Late May - Libertarian National Convention

Gary Johnson was originally expected to easily win the Libertarian Nomination over Businessman Austin Peterson, but this all changed in January when Lincoln Chafee entered the race for the nomination. Running on being a moderate, bipartisan figure with legitimate libertarian credentials who had been forced out of both parties by their evil establishments and also pointing out that he had actually won the 2010 RI Governor Race as an Independent and did very well for a RI Republican in his 2006 Senate Race, he gradually gained support with libertarian voters. At the convention's debate, he won approval for a pointed attack on Gary Johnson's electoral record: "You know, in 2012, the media, the pollsters, they thought you'd get 2, 3, 4 percent. You technically didn't even reach 1 percent. And you were supposed to be an amazing candidate. I, on the other hand, have actually won an election while not running as a major party member. You aren't the next Ross Perot. You aren't the next John Anderson (1980 independent who got 7%). You aren't even the next Ralph Nader. You're just a politician whose time has past, a pathetic excuse for a nominee. Go run in the prohibition party or something. You aren't worthy of this nomination."

On the first ballot, Chafee placed 2nd.

Former Republican Governor Gary Johnson - 46.3%
Former Independent Governor Lincoln Chafee - 42.7%
Businessman Austin Peterson - 11%

But since Johnson had not attained a majority of the votes, Peterson was eliminated and a second ballot was held.....

Former Independent Governor Lincoln Chafee - 51.2% Nominee
Former Republican Governor Gary Johnson - 48.8%

Chafee chose Former Minnesota Governor Jesse Ventura (I) as his running mate.

May 24 - Ahead of final primaries, Obama endorses his VP



President Barack Obama, who had remained firmly neutral during the democratic primaries, endorsed his VP in a speech today. He reiterated that choosing Biden to be VP was the best political decision of his life, and said after mulling things over for months, he had begun to share his VP's hate for the democratic dynasty complex. He said he realized that Clinton's campaign had been too powerful near the beginning, scaring away several democrats who shouldn't have had to wait for someone who had her chance 8 years ago to take a 2nd try. He mentioned Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper, Former Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick, and New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand as democrats that Hillary had unfairly scared away. He said his VP had the right experience and positions to lead the nation, and also emphasized that the country saw Biden as more trustworthy than Clinton. He said that should the Democratic Party nominate a woman next time around, it needed to be someone who could be trusted and who would not destroy the valuable contest of ideas that he, unlike DWS, believed was ultimately helpful to the party.

June 5

Puerto Rico

Clinton: 61.5%
Biden: 27.3%
Sanders: 11.2%

Virgin Islands Caucus

Clinton: 55.3%
Biden: 29%
Sanders: 15.7%

Democratic Primary Standings

1. Clinton - 20 wins (NV, AL, AS, AR, GA, OK, NMI, LA, MS, AA, IL, UT, ID, WY, NY, MD, GU, WV, PR, VI)
2. Biden - 18 wins (IA, SC, NC, TN, VA, TX, KS, OH, FL, AZ, AK, HI, PA, CT, DE, ND, NE, KY)
3. Sanders - 13 wins (NH, CO, MA, MN, VT, ME, MI, MO, WA, WI, RI, IN, OR)

Next Update:

June 7 - Final Primaries - California, New Mexico, New Jersey, Montana, South Dakota, D.C.

[Bigby]

Chafee as the Libertarian candidate? That party is dead.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Chafee as the Libertarian candidate? That party is dead.

Perhaps. Or maybe I have something special planned....

Yeah, you can probably figure out who the democratic nominee is going to be. But the Republican nominee..........

[Enderman]

Lol; well there goes my West Wing analogy. Anyways, go Kasich!

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Damn. Chafee eviscerated Johnson. I'm interested to see where he goes from there. Chafee could self-fund better than Johnson did in 2012. I bet the Libertarians like Chafee's stance on Snowden.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

June 7, 2016 - The Final Primaries

New Mexico

"Biden wins. This is a real accomplishment for him, as New Mexico is dominated by minorities who are supposed to be in Hillary's camp."

Biden: 43.4%
Clinton: 41.5%
Sanders: 15.1%

"Kasich predictably wins this state"

Kasich: 31.4%
Carson: 26%
Walker: 23%
Trump: 19.6%

Montana

"Sanders wins in this libertarian-leaning state"

Sanders: 36.5%
Biden: 34%
Clinton: 29.5%

"Carson's grassroots efforts get him another win"

Carson: 27.6%
Trump: 26.1%
Kasich: 25.3%
Walker: 21%

South Dakota

"Another win for Biden"

Biden: 37.5%
Sanders: 36.4%
Clinton: 26.1%

"Walker gets a victory"

Walker: 28.4%
Carson: 25%
Trump: 24%
Kasich: 22.6%

New Jersey

"Biden racks up another win"

Biden: 37.3%
Clinton: 32.5%
Sanders: 30.2%

"Trump snatches victory here"

Trump: 30.6%
Kasich: 29%
Walker: 25%
Carson: 15.4%

D.C.

"Another win for Biden!"

Biden: 44.4%
Clinton: 38.1%
Sanders: 17.5%

"Kasich wins here"

Kasich: 40%
Trump: 26%
Walker: 20%
Carson: 14%

California

"And in the big kahuna, the state of California, Biden gets a very crucial victory!"

Biden: 42.5%
Clinton: 40%
Sanders: 17.5%

"The Republican electorate is very divided, with Trump edging out Kasich by 3 tenths of one percent"

Trump: 32.6%
Kasich: 32.3%
Walker: 21%
Carson: 14.1%

Final Democratic Primary Standings

1. Biden - 23 wins (IA, SC, NC, TN, VA, TX, KS, OH, FL, AZ, AK, HI, PA, CT, DE, ND, NE, KY, CA, NM, SD, NJ, DC)
2. Clinton - 20 wins (NV, AL, AS, AR, GA, OK, NMI, LA, MS, AA, IL, UT, ID, WY, NY, MD, GU, WV, PR, VI)
3. Sanders - 14 wins (NH, CO, MA, MN, VT, ME, MI, MO, WA, WI, RI, IN, OR, MT)

Final Republican Primary Standings

1. Kasich - 17 wins (CO, MA, VA, VT, NV, TN, WA, ME, HI, PR, OH, PA, RI, IN, OR, NM, DC)
2. Carson - 14 wins (IA, AR, GA, KS, KY, AS, VI, MO, UT, AK, WY, MD, NE, MT)
3. Trump - 13 wins (NH, AL, OK, TX, LA, MS, FL, IL, NY, DE, WV, NJ, CA)
4. Walker - 12 wins (SC, ID, MN, NC, MI, NMI, GU, AZ, WI, CT, ND, SD)



"Look, I told you we would pass Clinton, and we finally did it! This is because of your amazing efforts, your desire to show that this country wants more than the same two families controlling the presidency, more than just a gender, more than the anointing of a dynasty. The people have spoken, and even though we likely will have to go to the convention to resolve the primaries, it's very clear that I am going to win! And we will win the general election too, regardless of which clown the republicans decide to use! Let's go forward with full optimism!"



"They say, look at how far you've fallen behind, why don't you just withdraw? But look, we've got a lot of delegates, we won a plurality in 14 states, we've got every right to go the convention and fight this out! This has been a powerful contest of ideas, and all three of us deserve the right to go to the convention and make our case. After the first ballot, the delegates are unpledged, and I retain a solid chance of winning at the convention. And even if I don't, I can still influence the party platform. Onward!"



"Some in the media may think I'm dead, but I tell you, every time they've brought up how hopeless I am, I've come roaring back! I won three elections in 4 years and simply cannot lose! We're winning the convention!"



"The republican party is trying as hard as it can to deny me the nomination, but look at what we just did in California! The momentum is in my camp, and at the convention, the delegates will make it very clear: I deserve this nomination! Let's shut down political correctness and make america great again! On to the Convention!"

"And there we go, the primaries of both parties heading straight for two exciting broker conventions. The Republicans have not had a competitive convention since 1976, the Democrats had one a little more recently in 1980, but now, both parties will have broker conventions in the same year, something that is unprecedented since before either party began holding primaries in all 50 states. This is going to be a fascinating summer."

Primary Maps:

Red: Clinton (+5 territories not shown here) (+Americans Abroad)
Blue: Biden
Green: Sanders

Red 50%: Kasich (+1 territory not shown here)
Red 30%: Paul win given to Kasich via Endorsement
Red 70%: Christie win given to Kasich via Endorsement
Blue: Walker (+2 territories not shown here)
Green: Trump
Yellow: Carson (+2 territories not shown here)

Next Update:

VP Picks for the Democrats

Democratic Convention Preview

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Hillary Clinton - June 24, 2016

"No matter what the pundits may say, I remain very confident that I will win the nomination at the convention. Today, I announce my VP selection. My choice is simple - my weakest performance in the primaries held in the swing states came in Colorado, so in the general election I will have a running mate who will help me in Colorado. Therefore, I announce that the next Vice President of the United States will be Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper!"

Bernie Sanders - June 29, 2016

"Clinton is going to lose at the convention, and again, once the delegates are unpledged I believe they will gravitate in my direction! There are many who say I cannot win a general election, and I will prove them wrong! My VP will help unify the party behind me and reach out to the center. The next Vice President of the United States will be Former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro!

Joseph Biden - July 9, 2016

"This country will elect me over the likes of Trump without much trouble. But we must stop isolating ourselves from republican states and make real efforts to win there. This election will be worthless if I do not win in a landslide so big that it brings along a democratic house with it. Choosing a real moderate as VP will help the party do this and stop isolating people. For this reason, I have decided that the next Vice President of the United States will be U.S. Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV)!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Democratic Convention Rules

Schedule:

July 25 and 26 - Speeches
July 27 - Nomination Speeches in the morning, followed by the convention's debate in the afternoon. First ballot taken in the evening.
July 28 - Additional Nominations (if any) to begin the day, then take further ballots to determine the nominee.  Acceptance Speeches conclude the convention.

Rules for nomination:

- First Ballot: States will briefly introduce themselves and announce their votes. Delegates will vote as they are pledged. For the purposes of this TL, non-WTA states will be assumed to be proportional by statewide vote. I'm not going to try and figure out congressional district winners for the various states.
- Between first two ballots: Nominations beyond Clinton/Biden/Sanders may be raised by any group of 4 delegates. No delegate may support more than one new nomination.
- Second Ballot and beyond: Delegates who nominated a new candidate must vote for that candidate. All other delegates are completely unpledged and may vote for whomever they like. (Up to) two candidates are eliminated after each ballot until only three candidates remain. The next ballot will eliminate the third place finisher. The final ballot between the top two candidates will determine the nominee even if Abstentions prevent a majority from being reached. If any candidate obtains a majority during ANY ballot, they will immediately become the nominee and no further ballots will take place.

The same procedure is followed for nominating the VP. The delegates are not required to go along with a candidate's preference for VP and may force any ticket they like.  No delegate is pledged during the first VP ballot.

[Enderman]

Clinton-Hickenlooper vs Sanders-Castro vs Biden-Manchin!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Democratic Convention - July 25-28 - Prominent July 25/26 Speakers



President Barack Obama



Former President Bill Clinton



North Dakota Senator Heidi Heitkamp



Arizona Senate Nominee Ann Kirkpatrick



Indiana Senator Joe Donnelly



Former Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick



Pennsylvania Governor Tom Wolf



Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren



Second Lady Jill Biden



First Lady Michelle Obama



Bernie Sanders's wife Jane Sanders



Washington Governor Jay Inslee



DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz



Florida Senator Bill Nelson (Keynote)

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Democratic Convention - July 27

Morning - Speeches by the vice presidential nominees are followed by the three presidential nomination speeches:



New York Governor Andrew Cuomo (Nominating Joe Biden)



New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (Nominating Hillary Clinton)



Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton (Nominating Bernie Sanders)


Convention Debate Winner Poll

Biden: 39%
Sanders: 32%
Clinton: 29%

Next: The First Ballot

[Bigby]

That's a horrible showing for Clinton so far.