Recent elections if the U.S. had a draft

[Jerseyrules]

Depends.  Does Iraq become the mess as per otl or does the increase in troops mean (maybe alongside a coherent postwar reconstruction plan, maybe establish a neo-Ba'athist regime with a friendlier face and some consociationalism among the disparate ethnic groups) create a much quicker and more successful Iraq War?  (as per the entirety of the Powell Doctrine)  Because honestly I see that working out better for Bush's legacy than the disaster that was Iraq otl (maybe we get out by 2004-2006)

If we still have the same crappy defense department and post-invasion strategy, it's obviously a massive Dem landslide; I can see either Dean Kerry winning (the Vietnam analogue being even stronger than otl might make Kerry the ideal candidate to take on Bush).

I could also easily see Gore giving it another go.  Pick your poison; whoever wins in 2004 it's a poisoned chalice.  Prepare for a massive third party performance in 2008, someone like Ron Paul or Jesse Ventura winning at least 10% of the popular vote would not be out of the question