What year would this be in? It seems a lot like a future scenario.
Roughly 2040
Only thing I really disagree with is that UT is solid red and ID/WY are swing states. Unless the Republicans go through some seismic shift and become liberal, those states are the deepest ruby red.
Wyoming is such a tiny state that I could see it shifting just enough to put it into swing territory by 2040 just from migration and growth. Colorado 2008 basically.
I decided to put mormons in the Democratic column and I think that the ones in Boise, Idaho will have a strong enough presence combined with the state growing in size or shifting to become like 2008 Colorado. Why are the mormons Democrat? I figure since they're a small religious minority who dislike Trump that they'd overtime shift to the Democrats. The two big issues they opposed Trump on were the Muslim ban and his tough stance on illegal immigration. These are two issues that I don't really see the GOP softening on anytime soon. I think the GOP will neglect this group in the long run and since the mormons are disproportionately younger and their youth drastically outnumber their elderly then mormons as a whole will be pushed into the Democratic column by 2040.
Interesting. What cause the Pacific Coast and the Northeast to become so Republican?
Whiter, more college educated, slightly higher incomes compared to other states tip both Oregon and Washington to the GOP. Washington is higher income and more diverse but Oregon is whiter so they both fall into lean GOP states.
California becomes a toss up since the higher earning college educated whites and the increasing share of upscale minority groups, particularly Asians and Hispanics, start trending Republican.
