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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 989155 times)
mencken
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Posts: 2,222
« on: August 04, 2015, 09:08:39 PM »


John Kasich / Susana Martinez 60.8% 432
Hillary Clinton / Julian Castro 37.9% 106
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2015, 12:10:51 PM »
« Edited: August 13, 2015, 12:35:58 PM by mencken »


Hillary Clinton / Terry McAuliffe 50.6% 396 EV
Donald Trump / Herman Cain 42.6% 142 EV
Gary Johnson / Robert Sarvis 5.8% 0 EV
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2015, 11:09:36 AM »
« Edited: August 14, 2015, 12:29:33 PM by mencken »


John McCain / Michael Steele 49.1% 276 EV
Hillary Clinton / Evan Bayh 48.7% 262 EV



Democrats 55 (+4)
Republicans 45 (-4)



Democrats 61 (+6)
Republicans 39 (-6)



John McCain / Michael Steele 48.9% 273 EV
Barack Obama* / Tim Kaine 48.8% 265 EV

*Nominated without substantive primary opposition



Democrats 57 (-4)
Republicans 43 (+4)



Democrats 58 (+1)
Republicans 42 (-1)

2016 Candidates
Vice-President Michael Steele
Former Governor Rick Perry
Governor Nikki Haley
Former Governor Mitch Daniels
Former Governor Mike Huckabee
Governor Bobby Jindal
Congressman Justin Amash
Former Governor George Pataki
Former Governor Tim Kaine
Senator Martha Coakley
Governor Andrew Cuomo
Governor Alex Sink
Senator Sherrod Brown
Senator Amy Klobuchar
Senator Russ Feingold
Senator Evan Bayh
Former Governor Brian Schweitzer
Former Governor Martin O'Malley
Former Governor Lincoln Chafee
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2015, 07:38:05 PM »
Postwar American Occupation Zones1:



Mexican Occupation Zone
Chinese Occupation Zone
Russian Occupation Zone
Joint Occupation of District of Columbia

1Occupation of the United States following the conquest of the United States by the Allied Powers at the end of World War III (2023-2029) and the resulting collapse of the TRUMPTM Regime.
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2015, 12:28:23 AM »
Brilliant!
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mencken
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,222
« Reply #5 on: December 04, 2015, 03:48:31 PM »
Quote from: ʕ•ᴥ•ʔ on December 01, 2015, 05:58:04 PM


Try to solve this one. It's both political and historical in nature (the colors represent parties and the shades are relevant).

The political party of the previous incumbent governor? (and number of predecessors of the same political party for shade?)
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #6 on: December 21, 2015, 12:15:44 PM »


Mitt Romney 42%
Hillary Clinton 35%
Rick Santorum 14%
Barack Obama 7%
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mencken
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,222
« Reply #7 on: January 01, 2016, 08:47:54 PM »
« Edited: January 01, 2016, 09:15:03 PM by mencken »
Ron Paul 2012 heat map:



4-8%, 8-10%, 10-12%, 12-18%, 18-24%, >24%

Apart from the Deep South, most of the variation looks like it comes from caucus states and late primary states.

Here is another map that controls for the calendar and primary/caucus system:
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #8 on: March 04, 2016, 06:50:34 PM »


Clinton vs Trump vs Romney
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #9 on: March 20, 2016, 08:54:07 PM »
Would it really be so simple as allocating the win to whomever got second IRL?
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #10 on: March 26, 2016, 12:52:08 PM »
« Edited: March 26, 2016, 01:04:00 PM by mencken »
Trump vs Sanders raw votes (where both states used the same method for tabulating votes):



A very implausible attempt to fill in the blanks in an aesthetically pleasing manner:



Believe it or not, this is a Trump victory.
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #11 on: April 04, 2016, 06:56:30 PM »


Carter vs Reagan 1976
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #12 on: April 06, 2016, 09:56:06 PM »
« Edited: April 07, 2016, 12:10:33 AM by mencken »


Raw vote totals:
Clinton 2008 9,582,020 50.3%
Clinton 2016 9,489,330 49.7%
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mencken
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,222
« Reply #13 on: April 13, 2016, 12:11:39 AM »
3-2-1 (Or, Rubot's Programming Works on 2-6-16)
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #14 on: April 16, 2016, 07:52:12 PM »
« Edited: April 16, 2016, 08:04:18 PM by mencken »
Shenanigans



Ross Perot / Jerry Brown 266 36.7%
George Bush / Dan Quayle 189 35.7%
Bill Clinton / Al Gore 83 26.8%
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #15 on: April 22, 2016, 06:28:21 PM »
2020: Clinton vs. Jones

Four years after liberal Republican Donald Trump loses to Clinton, the Republican Party faces a heated primary, in which true conservative Alex Jones defeats establishment RINO Louie Gohmert for the nomination.



President Hillary Clinton / Vice-President Julian Castro 68.2% 531
Radio Host Alex Jones / Former State Assemblywoman Sharron Angle 29.8% 7
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mencken
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,222
« Reply #16 on: April 22, 2016, 09:21:18 PM »


Clinton/Gore 50.1% 283
Bush/Quayle 49.2% 255
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mencken
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,222
« Reply #17 on: May 09, 2016, 07:10:00 PM »
« Edited: May 10, 2016, 12:51:15 AM by mencken »
Rubio Packs it After New Hampshire
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #18 on: May 11, 2016, 04:15:18 PM »
Quote from: 🛰 Governor Moonbeam 🛰 on May 10, 2016, 12:56:18 AM
Quote from: mencken on May 09, 2016, 07:10:00 PM
Rubio Packs it After New Hampshire


I was messing around with excel last week assuming that Rubio dropped out after NH and Carson dropped after SC. I had similar results. Any idea about Puerto Rico?

Puerto Rico is a mystery, maybe the establishment would line up behind Kasich?

I figured Carson would continue his IRL role as a Trump stalking horse regardless of what Rubio decided to do. Interestingly, I have Cruz coming out of Super Tuesday with a ~80 delegate lead over Trump, which he pretty much maintains going into Super Tuesday II. Theoretically, Trump would then proceed to take a ~40 delegate lead. Although Trump probably benefited from a bandwagon effect, I doubt that would have been enough to flip Illinois, and certainly not Arizona, Florida, or any Northeastern states.
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #19 on: May 13, 2016, 05:04:01 PM »
What Could Have Been



Paul vs Christie vs Rubio
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #20 on: May 14, 2016, 12:22:49 PM »
Rick Perry Lays Off the Pain Meds
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mencken
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #21 on: May 18, 2016, 03:58:01 PM »
Bernie Closes the Gap
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mencken
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #22 on: May 31, 2016, 02:30:40 PM »
Trump gets the last laugh:
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #23 on: June 12, 2016, 11:38:09 PM »
A Stronger Wallace



Humphrey 339 41%
Nixon 108 37%
Wallace 91 22%
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #24 on: June 15, 2016, 03:59:08 PM »
Relative Performance of Anderson '80, Perot '92, Perot '96, and Nader '00 Aggregated


Stop me if this map looks even vaguely familiar.
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