Post random maps here

[Clark Kent]

Serious predictions:

2016:

Hillary Clinton/Martin O'Malley def. Scott Walker/Marco Rubio

Clinton loses a very close election, barely winning Ohio by less than 1% and winning Virginia by ~1.5%. The economy goes back into recession during Clinton's first year in office as the European Union and China both have economic crises.

2020:

Marco Rubio/Rand Paul def. Hillary Clinton/Martin O'Malley[/quote]

Rubio/Paul comes surprisingly close to winning in Washington, Illinois, Connecticut, and (extremely shockingly) Vermont. He doesn't win any of them, of course, but makes them shift further to the right than they have since the 1980s. As the Recession starts subsiding, President Rubio's approval ratings skyrocket, and he is easily reelected in a landslide.

[Clark Kent]

If Sanders wins the nomination:

Sanders vs. Every Republican Except Donald Trump:

Sanders vs. Donald Trump:

[Clark Kent]

I don't really see any Republican losing Kansas or Kentucky.

Republican: Warren Harding (Ohio)/Calvin Coolidge (Massachusetts) - 33.55%, 243 EVs
Republican: Richard Nixon (California)/Spiro Agnew (Maryland) - 33.75%, 239 EVs
Republican: Ronald Reagan (California)/George H.W. Bush (Texas) - 32.70%, 46 EVs

The only two states where anybody wins a majority are South Carolina and Mississippi, both won by Nixon. Reagan never breaks 40% in any of his states, and his best states are, ironically, South Carolina, Mississippi, and Texas. Harding breaks 40% in Massachusetts and Minnesota, and Nixon does very well in the South, usually with Reagan in second and Harding in a distant third.

[Clark Kent]

2016

Democratic: former Senator and SecState Hillary Clinton (New York)/former Governor Martin O'Malley (Maryland) - 49.32%, 284 EVs
Republican: Governor Chris Christie (New Jersey)/Senator Marco Rubio (Florida) - 46.93%, 254 EVs
Independent: former Senator Jim Webb (Virginia)/former Governor and Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman (Utah) - 2.64%, 0 EVs

2020

Republican: Governor Marco Rubio (Florida)/Senator Tom Cotton (Arkansas) - 51.02%, 340 EVs
Democratic: President Hillary Clinton (New York)/Vice President Martin O'Malley (Maryland) - 46.16%, 198 EVs

2024

Republican: President Marco Rubio (Florida)/Vice President Tom Cotton (Arkansas) - 52.65%, 375 EVs
Democratic: former Vice President Martin O'Malley (Maryland)/former HUD Secretary Julian Castro (Texas) - 45.71%, 163 EVs

2028

Democratic: Senator Martin Heinrich (New Mexico)/Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (New York) - 48.92%, 271 EVs
Republican: Vice President Tom Cotton (Arkansas)/former Governor Nikki Haley (South Carolina) - 49.79%, 267 EVs

[Clark Kent]

Come up with a plausible scenario for this:

[Clark Kent]

1980 (USA) as 1979 (UK):

Republican: Ronald Reagan (California)/George H.W. Bush (Connecticut) - 43.9%, 369 EVs
Democratic: Jimmy Carter (Georgia)/Walter Mondale (Minnesota) - 36.9%, 169 EVs
Independent: John B. Anderson (Illinois)/Patrick Lucey (Wisconsin) - 13.8%, 0 EVs


1984 (USA) as 1983 (UK):

Republican: Ronald Reagan (California)/George H.W. Bush (Connecticut) - 42.4%, 512 EVs
Democratic: Walter Mondale (Minnesota)/Geraldine Ferraro (New York) - 27.6%, 26 EVs
Libertarian: David Bergland (California)/Jim Lewis (Connecticut) - 25.4%, 0 EVs


1988 (USA) as 1987 (UK):

Republican: George H.W. Bush (Connecticut)/Dan Quayle (Indiana) - 42.2%, 447 EVs
Democratic: Michael Dukakis (Massachusetts)/Lloyd Bentsen (Texas) - 30.8%, 91 EVs
Libertarian: Ron Paul (Texas)/Andre Marrou (Alaska) - 22.6%, 0 EVs


1992 (USA) as 1992 (UK):

Republican: George H.W. Bush (Connecticut)/Dan Quayle (Indiana) - 41.9%, 386 EVs
Democratic: Bill Clinton (Arkansas)/Al Gore (Tennessee) - 34.4%, 152 EVs
Libertarian: Andre Marrou (Alaska)/Nancy Lord (Nevada) - 17.8%, 0 EVs

1996 (USA) as 1997 (UK):

Democratic: Bill Clinton (Arkansas)/Al Gore (Tennessee) - 43.2%, 419 EVs
Republican: Bob Dole (Kansas)/Jack Kemp (New York) - 30.7%, 119 EVs
Libertarian: Harry Browne (Tennessee)/Jo Jorgensen (South Carolina) - 16.8%, 0 EVs


2000 (USA) as 2001 (UK):

Democratic: Al Gore (Tennessee)/Joe Lieberman (Connecticut) - 40.7%, 392 EVs
Republican: George W. Bush (Texas)/Dick Cheney (Wyoming) - 31.7%, 146 EVs
Libertarian: Harry Browne (Tennessee)/Art Olivier (California) - 18.3%, 0 EVs

2004 (USA) as 2005 (UK):

Democratic: John Kerry (Massachusetts)/John Edwards (North Carolina) - 35.2%, 325 EVs
Republican: George W. Bush (Texas)/Dick Cheney (Wyoming)  - 32.4%, 213 EVs
Libertarian: Michael Badnarik (Texas)/Richard Campagna (Iowa) - 22.0%, 0 EVs

2008 (USA) as 2010 (UK):

Republican: John McCain (Arizona)/Sarah Palin (Alaska) - 36.1%, 326 EVs
Democratic: Barack Obama (Illinois)/Joe Biden (Delaware) - 29.0%, 212 EVs
Libertarian: Bob Barr (Georgia)/Wayne A. Root (Nevada) - 23.0%, 0 EVs

[Clark Kent]

Democratic: Barack Obama (Illinois)/Joe Biden (Delaware) - 39.47%, 347 EVs
Republican: W. Mitt Romney (Massachusetts)/Paul D. Ryan (Wisconsin) - 31.89%, 191 EVs
Justice: Ross "Rocky" Anderson (Utah)/Luis J. Rodriguez (California) - 19.71%, 0 EVs

And because their counterparts won at least a single seat in Canada:

Constitution: Virgil Goode (Virginia)/Jim Clymer (Pennsylvania) - 4.71%, 0 EVs
Green: Jill Stein (Massachusetts)/Cheri Honkala (Pennsylvania) - 3.45%, 0 EVs

[Clark Kent]

If the EVC had purple, my masterpiece would have been truly complete. Alas, this won't happen anytime soon. It's interesting, though, that although orange isn't available in the calculator you can get it by messing with the url.

Do not fear! Simply access the map URL and replace all of the beginning text up to "AL" with the following:

Code:

https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?type=mock&year=2016&off=0&ev_c=0&ev_p=0&pty=2&

You will (a) be able to access Puerto Rico and (b) be able to use colors such as purple and tan. The color codes are as follows:

0 - Gray
1 - Red
2 - Blue
3 - Green
4 - Yellow
5 - Orange
6 - Purple
7 - Tan
8 - Purplish gray
9 - Purple again (same as 6)
10 - Different shade of tan
11 and everything above - Purple again (same as 6 and 9)
Something that is not a number - White

In order to access Puerto Rico, add this code at the end of your url (fill in blanks with numbers):

Code:

&PR=_;_;_

Here is a map with Maine in purple and Puerto Rico in tan:

The mysteries of Dave Leip's US Election Atlas are infinite.

This is awesome. Thanks.

[Clark Kent]

Adding Puerto Rico on a blank map doesn't work for some reason. The number of electoral votes shows up, but Puerto Rico itself doesn't. Example:

EDIT: Thanks. it works now.

[Clark Kent]

With some of the demographics standardized:

Democratic: 50.1%, 293 EVs
Republican: 48.1%, 245 EVs

What I did was that I standardized the swing and turnout for non college-educated "whites", "blacks", and Hispanics/"Latinos" (53% Democratic, 51% turnout), and did the same with college-educated "whites" and "Asians/Others" (52% Republican, 72% turnout).

[Clark Kent]

1960:

Republican: Richard M. Nixon (California)/Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr. (Massachusetts) - 49.8%, 283 EVs
Democratic: John F. Kennedy (Massachusetts)/Lyndon B. Johnson (Texas) - 49.7%, 254 EVs

1964:

Republican: Richard M. Nixon (California)/Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr. (Massachusetts) - 50.3%, 306 EVs
Democratic: George Smathers (Florida)/Pat Brown (California) - 48.7%, 232 EVs

1968:

Democratic: John Connally (Texas)/Hubert H. Humphrey (Minnesota) - 51.2%, 285 EVs
Republican: Nelson Rockefeller (New York)/Ronald Reagan (California) - 48.3%, 253 EVs

1972:

Democratic: John Connally (Texas)/Hubert H. Humphrey (Minnesota) - 49.8%, 271 EVs
Republican: Ronald Reagan (California)/Edward Brooke (Massachusetts) - 49.9%, 267 EVs

1976:

Republican: Robert Finch (California)/Howard Baker (Tennessee) - 50.8%, 319 EVs
Democratic: Hubert H. Humphrey (Minnesota)/James E. Carter (Georgia) - 47.2%

1980:

Republican: Robert Finch (California)/Howard Baker (Tennessee) - 53.4%, 408 EVs
Democratic: Edward M. Kennedy (Massachusetts)/Jerry Brown (California) - 46.2%, 130 EVs

[Clark Kent]

2012 if Obama, Romney, Johnson, Stein, Goode, and Anderson won the same percentage of the popular vote:

Green: Jill Stein (Massachusetts)/Cheri Honkala (Pennsylvania) - 16.62%, 173 EVs
Constitution: Virgil Goode (Virginia)/Jim Clymer (Pennsylvania) - 16.62%, 121 EVs
Republican: W. Mitt Romney (Massachusetts)/Paul D. Ryan (Wisconsin) - 16.62%, 97 EVs
Justice: Ross Anderson (Utah)/Luis Rodriguez (California) - 16.62%, 91 EVs
Libertarian: Gary Johnson (New Mexico)/James P. Gray (California) - 16.62%, 56 EVs
Democratic: Barack Obama (Illinois)/Joe Biden (Delaware) - 16.62%, 0 EVs

[Clark Kent]

2012 if Obama, Romney, Johnson, Stein, Goode, and Anderson won the same percentage of the popular vote:

Green: Jill Stein (Massachusetts)/Cheri Honkala (Pennsylvania) - 16.62%, 173 EVs
Constitution: Virgil Goode (Virginia)/Jim Clymer (Pennsylvania) - 16.62%, 121 EVs
Republican: W. Mitt Romney (Massachusetts)/Paul D. Ryan (Wisconsin) - 16.62%, 97 EVs
Justice: Ross Anderson (Utah)/Luis Rodriguez (California) - 16.62%, 91 EVs
Libertarian: Gary Johnson (New Mexico)/James P. Gray (California) - 16.62%, 56 EVs
Democratic: Barack Obama (Illinois)/Joe Biden (Delaware) - 16.62%, 0 EVs

And with the right-wing vote (Romney, Johnson, Goode) and the left-wing vote (Obama, Stein, Anderson) combined:

Left-Wing: 49.86%, 277 EVs
Right-Wing: 49.86%, 261 EVs

Ignoring the percentages, the East is oddly reminiscent of the late-1990s/early-2000s. The West would look normal, but super-strongly lefty Idaho and Utah screw that up.

[Clark Kent]

With Obama, Romney, Johnson, and Stein having won the same percentage of the popular vote:

Green: Jill Stein (Massachusetts)/Cheri Honkala (Pennsylvania - 24.91%, 226 EVs
Republican: W. Mitt Romney (Massachusetts)/Paul D. Ryan (Wisconsin) - 24.91%, 164 EVs
Libertarian: Gary Johnson (New Mexico)/James P. Gray (California) - 24.91%, 95 EVs
Democratic: Barack Obama (Illinois)/Joe Biden (Delaware) - 24.91%, 53 EVs

While not exact, you can vaguely see the shadow of the past. Stein seems to win most of the old Democratic strongholds (Massachusetts and Rhode Island, New York, DC, West Virginia, Minnesota, Arkansas, Hawaii) along with the strange additions of Idaho and Alaska. Romney and Johnson seem to split the GOP, with Johnson being stronger in the Mountain West and Romney in the South, with some exceptions (Romney wins in Utah and Johnson wins in Georgia). And Obama's states seem to be former bastions of moderate Republicanism (with the exception of Wisconsin, which was very close, all of these states went for Ford in 1976).

[Clark Kent]

Pitting the Outsiders (Johnson and Stein) against the Centrists (Romney and Obama):

Centrists: 49.81%, 308 EVs
Outsiders: 49.81%, 230 EVs

[Clark Kent]

And with the right-wing (Romney and Johnson) against the left-wing (Obama and Stein) for a normal looking (other than the percentages) map:

Right-Wing: 49.81%, 292 EVs
Left Wing: 49.81%, 246 EVs

Closest states are Ohio (R+0.01%) and Vermont (L+0.39%).

[Clark Kent]

And only Obama, Romney, and Johnson equalized:

Democratic: Barack Obama (Illinois)/Joe Biden (Delaware) - 33.09%, 239 EVs
Republican: W. Mitt Romney (Massachusetts)/Paul D. Ryan (Wisconsin) - 33.09%, 169 EVs
Libertarian: Gary Johnson (New Mexico)/James P. Gray (California) - 33.09%, 130 EVs

[Clark Kent]

If the 2014 House Elections were Presidential:

317-221 Republican win. I guess it's, like, John Kasich/Susan Collins vs. Joe Manchin/Brad Ashford where Kasich somehow doesn't get on the ballot in Massachusetts. I don't have a clue here, tbh.

That would be more like Kasich vs Clinton

Clinton would destroy a loser like Kasich.

No, she wouldn't

He's a troll. Ignore him.


Anyways, I was curious as to how a Bush Sr. vs. Carter matchup would look like in 2016, so I made a map:

Republican: George H.W. Bush (Connecticut)/Dan Quayle (Indiana) - 50.88%, 417 EVs
Democratic: Jimmy Carter (Georgia)/Walter Mondale (Minnesota) - 47.74%, 121 EVs

[Clark Kent]

If the 2014 House Elections were Presidential:

317-221 Republican win. I guess it's, like, John Kasich/Susan Collins vs. Joe Manchin/Brad Ashford where Kasich somehow doesn't get on the ballot in Massachusetts. I don't have a clue here, tbh.

That would be more like Kasich vs Clinton

Clinton would destroy a loser like Kasich.

No, she wouldn't

He's a troll. Ignore him.


Anyways, I was curious as to how a Bush Sr. vs. Carter matchup would look like in 2016, so I made a map:

Republican: George H.W. Bush (Connecticut)/Dan Quayle (Indiana) - 50.88%, 417 EVs
Democratic: Jimmy Carter (Georgia)/Walter Mondale (Minnesota) - 47.74%, 121 EVs

Nice map, Kent! Anyway, I was trying to account for the Democrats carrying NE-2 as well as overperforming in West Virginia, but Republicans winning over 60% in Ohio.

Thanks.

And yeah, that is weird. Maybe not so much if you consider who the respective party leaders were, Boehner (R-OH) and Pelosi (D-CA).

[Clark Kent]

Figured out both patterns.

[Clark Kent]

Reagan/Bush (1984) vs. Gore/Lieberman (2000) with no numbers adjusted and using 1984 EVs:

Republican: Ronald Reagan (California)/George H.W. Bush (Connecticut) - 51.34%, 337 EVs
Democratic: Al Gore (Tennessee)/Joe Lieberman (Connecticut) - 48.08%, 201 EVs

[Clark Kent]

How do I get rid of the blank Puerto Rico?

[Clark Kent]

How do I get rid of the blank Puerto Rico?

You can't without giving up the expanded color palette. 

That sucks.

[Clark Kent]

Republican: Theodore Roosevelt (New York)/Charles W. Fairbanks (Indiana) - 47.45%, 269 EVs
Democratic: Franklin Delano Roosevelt (New York)/John Nance Garner (Texas) - 48.29%, 262 EVs

[Clark Kent]

What if the American Independent Party replaced the Democrats as the primary opposition to the Republicans?

1968:

Republican: Richard Nixon (California)/Spiro T. Agnew (Maryland) - 41.84%, 389 EVs
American Independent: George Wallace (Alabama)/Curtis LeMay (California) - 27.40%, 128 EVs
Democratic: Hubert Humphrey (Minnesota)/Edmund Muskie (Maine) - 23.17%, 21 EVs