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Mr. Smith
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« on: June 12, 2015, 11:59:41 PM »
« edited: June 13, 2015, 12:04:53 AM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

I'm doing the opposite in which the actual winners get another 5% of the Popular Vote from 2012 and Back.

Anyway:

2012:



Obama takes 56.1%

2008:



Obama takes 57.9%

2004:



Bush takes 55.7%

2000:



Bush takes 52.9%
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1 on: June 13, 2015, 01:04:36 AM »
« Edited: June 13, 2015, 01:14:57 AM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1996:



Clinton with 54.2%

1992: I take 3% from Bush and 2% from Perot to determine the 5% here.



Clinton with 48%


1988:



Bush Sr with 58.4%


And no, I'm not bothering with 1984 or 1972...might do '64 though.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2015, 01:40:53 AM »
« Edited: June 13, 2015, 01:55:44 AM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1980:



Reagan with 55%

1976:



Carter with 55.1%
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #3 on: June 13, 2015, 11:11:55 AM »
« Edited: June 13, 2015, 02:36:50 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1968: 5% from Humphrey outside the South, 5% from Wallace in the South



Nixon with 48.4%

1964:



Johnson w/ 66%

1960:


Kennedy with 54.7%
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #4 on: June 13, 2015, 02:46:51 PM »
« Edited: June 13, 2015, 03:08:39 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1956:



Ike with 62.37%

1952:



Ike with 60.2%

1948: 5% from Dewey outside the South, 5% from Thurmond in the South (this forces Truman with 5% in Alabama minimum since he actually wasn't even on the ballot there)



Truman with 54.55%




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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5 on: June 13, 2015, 03:19:33 PM »
« Edited: June 13, 2015, 04:05:36 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1944:



FDR wins with 58.39%
1940:



FDR wins with 59.74%

1932:



FDR wins with 62.71%

1928:



Hoover wins with 63.21%
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #6 on: June 13, 2015, 05:38:22 PM »
« Edited: June 13, 2015, 06:02:31 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1924: 3% from Davis, 2% from LaFollette



1920:



1916:



1912: 3% from Roosevelt, 2% from Taft.

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #7 on: June 13, 2015, 10:28:39 PM »
« Edited: June 13, 2015, 10:44:44 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1908:



1904:



1900:



1896:

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #8 on: June 14, 2015, 12:03:00 AM »
« Edited: June 14, 2015, 12:20:01 AM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1892:



1888:



1884:

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #9 on: June 14, 2015, 02:41:00 AM »
« Edited: June 14, 2015, 02:54:18 AM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1880:




1876:



1872:



1868:


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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #10 on: June 14, 2015, 08:27:14 PM »
« Edited: June 14, 2015, 08:58:15 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1864:



1860: Lincoln gets 5% by default in the South since the GOP doesn't really exist yet there, anyway 1% Bell, 2% from the others



1856: 5% from Fremont in the North, 5% from Fillmore in the South



1852:


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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #11 on: June 18, 2015, 02:00:51 AM »

1848 if Zachary Taylor takes 5% more of the pv from Cass



1844 if Polk took 5% more:



And finally, 1840 if Van Buren lost by another 5%:

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #12 on: July 18, 2015, 04:30:06 PM »
« Edited: July 18, 2015, 04:33:37 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1956 vs 1964 winners: Looks like LBJ still loses The South to Ike, but still wins by a long shot.




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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #13 on: July 18, 2015, 06:45:43 PM »
« Edited: July 18, 2015, 06:52:22 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

Kennedy vs Carter '76:



Nixon '60 vs Ford


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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #14 on: July 19, 2015, 04:36:32 PM »

Obama '12 vs Clinton '96




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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #15 on: September 21, 2015, 10:30:12 PM »
« Edited: September 21, 2015, 10:53:24 PM by L.D. Smith, Knight of Appalachia »



Dukakis
Carter '80




McGovern
Mondale
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #16 on: December 30, 2015, 10:34:12 PM »
« Edited: December 30, 2015, 10:49:37 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

Since 1916 and 2004 look nearly identical, and both had the controversial incumbent barely win and then become hated in the next term, this was inevitable

Losers (Kerry [D-MA] vs Hughes [R-NY])




Winners
(Bush [R-TX] vs Wilson [D-NJ])


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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #17 on: December 31, 2015, 10:26:50 PM »

1976 vs 2012

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #18 on: January 01, 2016, 02:25:45 AM »
« Edited: January 01, 2016, 02:05:21 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1. Electoral Losers Mondale vs Landon with their native Popular Percentages against each other.



2. Popular Losers  [by two way] (Landon vs Cox)


3. Popular Winners (Nixon '72 vs LBJ)

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #19 on: January 02, 2016, 01:15:28 AM »
« Edited: January 02, 2016, 02:02:59 AM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1912 vs 1924 Part 1

1. The Winners (Wilson vs Coolidge)



Calvin Coolidge
Woodrow Wilson

Not surprised by this one at all, looks like a typical early 20th century GOP landslide

2. The Ideological Opposites (Teddy vs Davis)



John W. Davis
Teddy Roosevelt

Surprising, but I guess Bryan on the ticket really did help swing Nebraska,...more surprising that Teddy lost.

3. The Midwesterners (Taft vs LaFollette)



W.H. Taft
Robert M. LaFollette

Georgia really disliked Republicans before Goldwater I guess.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #20 on: January 02, 2016, 12:30:55 PM »
« Edited: January 02, 2016, 01:03:44 PM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

1912 vs 1924 Part II

1. Progressive vs Progressive



Teddy Roosevelt
Robert M. LaFollette

2. Conservative vs Conservative



John W. Davis
W.H. Taft
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #21 on: January 06, 2016, 05:11:42 AM »
« Edited: January 06, 2016, 05:21:52 AM by L.D. Smith, Bay Area Conservadem »

All the states by the lowest percentage for the winner since WWII



Clinton '92: 27 states
Clinton '96: 1 state
Nixon '68: 11 states
LBJ '64: 2 states
JFK '60: 1 state
Reagan '80: 5 states
Carter '76: DC
Truman '48: 3 states

NOTE: Made a mistake with South Dakota, too lazy to fix.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #22 on: February 12, 2016, 06:49:38 PM »
« Edited: February 12, 2016, 07:12:53 PM by L.D. Smith »



1980 without Anderson, favoring Carter. [Oh and Maryland is off]

Reagan/Bush 51% PV, 356 EV
Carter/Mondale 47% PV, 182 EV

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #23 on: February 12, 2016, 07:14:43 PM »
« Edited: February 12, 2016, 07:30:12 PM by L.D. Smith »



Clinton takes all Perot support.

Clinton/Gore: 531 EV, 62% PV
Bush/Quayle: 7 EV, 37%  PV



Bush takes all the support

Bush/Quayle: 529 EV, 56% PV
Clinton/Gore 9 EV, 43%PV
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #24 on: February 12, 2016, 07:50:52 PM »



Perot takes 5% equally from both Clinton and Bush.
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