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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« on: January 31, 2015, 09:42:55 PM »



Huey Long doesn't die and runs on his Share the Wealth platform. He runs a very populist, agrarian, Southern campaign that takes enough of the vote (2%) in New Hampshire to flip it and enough in Kansas too. (8%)
Franklin Delano Roosevelt (Democratic)-419
Huey Long (Share the Wealth)-91
Alf Landon (Republican)-21
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2015, 07:24:22 PM »



2004 Gets Funky
(Not meant to be totally realistic)
Republican Establishment Party-George W. Bush/Dick Cheney
Well, the regular. Support for the Iraq War, "compassionate conservatism", pro life, pro gun, support trickle down system and entitlement reforms. Does well where Bush did, minus out west where Libertarians broke with the party over the war.
Democratic Coalition Party-Al Gore/Zel Miller
Pretty supportive of the war, socially moderate, pro-NCLB, for letting highest level Bush tax cuts expire, pro Patriot Act, somewhat pro-life, want a market healthcare fix. Did decently in the South, especially benefiting from the relative strength of the AFP. Miller helped win GA and the R split handed them MO and TN. Got support from moderate Democrats.
American Freedom Party-Ron Paul/Roscoe Bartlett
For winding down activity in Iraq, elimination of multiple federal departments, very pro-gun, pro life, support the FairTax proposal, some members support returning to the gold standard. This party performs strongly with Paleocons and Libertarians.
Anti-War Party-Wesley Clark/Lincoln Chafee
Totally against the Iraq conflict, supports universal healthcare, pro-choice, reversal of Bush tax cuts on all but the working and middle classes. Mainly pulls support from liberal voters and a select few anti-war moderates who supported Chafee.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2015, 01:13:58 AM »
« Edited: March 01, 2015, 02:18:52 PM by vivaportugalhabs »

Assuming that Perot gets elected in 1992, but not in 1996. In 1996, Bob Dole wins the presidency over Al Gore. In 2000, Perot decides not to run and endorses David Boren.
2000 Reform Party Primary


Angus King- Maine Governor, running on a pretty centrist platform. Nice blend of left and right. Strong appeal nationwide, but does best on the coasts.
David Boren- Former Oklahoma Senator and Governor, OU president. Perot's personal pick, but his efforts are rebuffed by Northeastern and Great Lakes voters who lean more to the left socially. The South simply LOVES Boren.
Ron Paul- Congressman from Texas, espouses a decidedly Libertarian wing of the Reform party. His appeal is mainly confined to the West, but he did win traditional Libertarian leaning New Hampshire as well. He probably would have won Maine had Angus King not been in the race.
John Anderson- Former congressman and 1980 independent presidential candidate. Anderson reflects the budding progressive wing of the Reform Party. His focus was on issues generally brought up by the left, but he also talked about centre-right economic policies. Anderson was getting older and seen as a dark horse from the start, a candidate that might surprise with his results. Anderson did surprisingly well in the Midwest, especially in places expected to support Angus King.

Bob Dole wins a second term, and after 9/11, announces a full scale war on terror, invades Iraq, invades Afghanistan, and plans activity in Iran. By 2004, some Americans are growing weary of war, and the Democratic leading nominees, Hillary Clinton and Joe Lieberman, both support these war efforts. Thus, many anti-war voters are expected to turn to the Reform party.
2004 Primary


Lincoln Chafee-Senator from Rhode Island, Chafee decided to run for the Reform party nomination. His policies fall slightly left of center and strongly anti-war. He has strong appeal to white collar voters, especially on the coasts.
Wes Clark-A top Army general, Clark decided to hinge on his military experience to run a powerful anti war campaign. His stances are populist in nature and appeal to unionized, blue collar voters. His rust belt, southern sort of economic populism fired up many voters, but those in the center tended to side with Chafee.
Bob Smith-Former New Hampshire senator Bob Smith was always known for his very conservative ideals. He stands for a socially conservative and somewhat hawkish platform. Before, he considered primarying the Republican nominee from the right, but figured he could gain more traction among Reform party voters. Religious Southerners were the main source of Smith's votes. In many Southern states, it was a battle between Smith and Clark. Smith's gaffes caused him to lose a number of close states in the South.
Jesse Ventura-Minnesota Governor Jesse Ventura takes pride in being endorsed by Ron Paul. Unlike Paul, Ventura appeals to more moderate Reform party voters alongside Libertarians. He performed strongly in the West, along with the northern plains.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2015, 11:59:56 PM »


Strong Colin Powell '96 campaign.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #4 on: May 07, 2015, 05:58:46 PM »



Clinton vs Cruz
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2015, 12:48:35 PM »



2016 Libertarian Primary-Gary Johnson vs Jesse Ventura
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #6 on: May 30, 2015, 11:22:26 PM »


Strange CSA Scenario

Radical Party
Descended from the agrarian, abolitionist Midwestern tradition, this left-leaning party appeals to a certain strain of populism. This party developed during the war from Free Soil supporters and farmers and truly took off in strength after the peace settlement of 1865 in opposition to ceding the large amounts of territory lost to the Confederates. They support a large military buildup in preparation for an attack on the CSA. Also, the Radicals spearheaded efforts to dispatch an army to protect Mexico from CSA attack. Additionally, their economic policy stresses high taxes on the rich, union rights, breaking up of business monopolies, and more government intervention. The Radicals strongly oppose trading or negotiating with the CSA. Socially, the party coalesces around civil rights and equality for Black asylum seekers. Also, Radicals rally around environmental protection and universal healthcare.

Unity Party
Mainly confined in strength to border states, the Unity Party came about from the Constitutional Union Party of 1860. They seek to make amends with the CSA and negotiate a long term peace treaty. Moreover, the UP supports removing some trade sanctions with the South. They have no intention to go to war, as many of the border states were nearly destroyed during the battles that erupted post-civil war. This party mainly focuses on relations with CSA and is generally mum on civil rights issues, avoiding the discussion so as not to alienate contentious border state voters. Economically, this is a big-tent party, but they generally support infrastructure investment and increased industrialization. Unity supporters have been the strongest opponents of prohibition, calling it an attack on their heritage and culture.

American Party
The American Party is an old industrialist party that enjoys most of its strength in New England. They support tariffs on industrial goods and general economic nationalism, minus with the issue of cotton from the CSA, which many Northern industries aspire to gain access too. The Americans support civil rights for the most part, but oppose amnesty for asylum seekers. They seek to limit the growing power of labor unions and deregulate industry while removing barriers to entry for small businesses. The American Party is in favor of lower taxes and increasing the US' strong relationship with Canada. However, they do seek to expand the educational system. The AP is strongly isolationist, refusing to intervene on behalf of Mexico during their fight with the CSA and ruling war out as an option. Socially, this party favors gun regulation and supports prohibition of alcohol.

Western Alliance
This deeply religious mainly Mormon party has struck a chord among voters in a select few states. They advocate for a greater role for religion in public affairs and are strongly anti-war, but also very pro-civil rights. The WA does not trust large government or large businesses, seeking to limit the influence of both in the economy. They remain very socially conservative other than on the civil rights issue, supporting policies such as mandatory school prayer and lessened restrictions on gun ownership along with prohibition of alcohol.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #7 on: June 11, 2015, 03:20:38 PM »

A Dukakis Path to Victory

275
263
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #8 on: June 20, 2015, 10:58:09 PM »



Partido de Justicia Y Patrimonia
With a support base in area of the US owned by Mexico until the great unification, this Catholic based party supports Catholic Social Teaching, but is increasingly distrustful of the Eastern-based government.

Parti Du Peuple
This agrarian classical liberal party supports a more decentralized and locally based government, which they believe will benefit struggling Midwestern communities.

 Southern Party
The Southern Party is especially socially conservative, with some calling it xenophobic and extremist. Moreover, this party supports a very laissez faire style of economics.

Federal Party
The Federal Party is deeply rooted in a long English aristocratic tradition. They advocate for increased globalization and more trade overseas, along with center right social policies.

Country Party
This small Northeastern party is a populist agrarian party dedicated to promoting a farm based form of life.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #9 on: June 21, 2015, 05:05:55 PM »



Warner/Nunn vs Palin/Tacredo

457-81
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #10 on: June 21, 2015, 09:49:11 PM »

BREAKING: Morry Taylor wins 2000 Reform Party nomination
Morry Taylor vs Pat Buchanan vs Ralph Nader vs Donald Trump vs John Anderson

After a heated primary season during which many worried that the Reform party, divided among various faultlines, would fall to shambles, businessman Morry Taylor eked out a close win. Taylor occupied a distinct niche in the party, securing Perot's endorsement early on. His policies reflected a bridge across many of the divides in the party. Finishing in second was conservative commentator Pat Buchanan. Buchanan's firey populist rhetoric won him high levels of support in the socially conservative South and Midwest, but was viewed by many voters outside these states as xenophobic and divisive. Third place went to consumer advocate Ralph Nader, who ran from the left wing of the party. He picked up support from more liberal Reform voters, pledging to select physicist John Hagelin as his VP if nominated. However, his inability to fundraise and attract support of the Reform mainstream harmed his campaign. Donald Trump came in fourth, to his disappointment. The billionaire's self funded campaign ran into numerous stumbles, from scandals involving misapportionment of funds and failed ventures to major gaffes. He never really got off the ground, but did pick up some support in wealthy suburbs. In last place was former presidential candidate John Anderson. Anderson's campaign was centrist on social issues and leaned centre left on the economy. While his ideas may have been palatable to voters his lack of energy and funding doomed his efforts. Some pundits guessed that he only ever entered the race to be a potential VP.

At the convention post-primary, Morry Taylor selected John Anderson as his VP to balance the ticket and add some experience.

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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #11 on: June 22, 2015, 07:06:50 PM »

1972: Battle Against the Establishment


George McGovern (D-SD)/Ted Kennedy (D-MA)-286
George Wallace (AIP-AL)/John Schmitz (AIP-CA)-135
Richard Nixon (R-CA)/George Romney (R-MI)-117

Nixon's Situation: Spiro Agnew steps down after allegations of corruption, leaving Nixon to hurriedly nominate George Romney as VP mid-campaign. However, by then, the tickets reputation had suffered severe damage. Moreover, race riots rock American streets, and Nixon, fatigued and beleaguered, stumbles on the issue, kicking the can down the road.

McGovern's Situation: George McGovern hits a nerve with his anti-war messaging and also successfully portrays Nixon as a member of the 'Old Politics' clique. He never goes through the Eagleton affair and is able to reunite the party at the convention, convincing Ted Kennedy to join the ticket.

Wallace's Situation: Exploding racial tensions and Nixon's failure to resolve them give Wallace fodder for an identity politics campaign. He focuses on 'law and order', pandering to segregationist sentiment in the South and drawing social conservatives and blue collar whites in Northern states.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #12 on: July 20, 2015, 08:50:20 AM »


Martin O'Malley/Amy Klobuchar (Democratic)-324
Donald Trump/Ben Carson (Republican)-111
John Kasich/Jon Huntsman (Moderate)-103
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #13 on: August 12, 2015, 08:27:20 PM »



Rep. Lynn Jenkins/State Rep. Steve Anthimedes-52%
Governor Sam Brownback/Lt. Governor Jeff Colyer-48%
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #14 on: September 10, 2015, 07:05:20 PM »



Left Front
Communist Party with a strong base in mining and rural left-wing voters along with academia.

Social Democratic Party
Run of the mill center-left party with a few left wing elements.

New Liberal Party
Environmentalist classical liberals with a base of suburban and generic moderate voters.

Christian Center Party
Descended from the Lutheran and Catholic Party, this socially right leaning but economically moderate party enjoys support in German ancestry areas along with heavily Catholic Louisiana.

Liberty Party
Right-wing economically, centrist on social issues. This party espouses a kind of western small-government conservatism.

Southern Heritage Party
Nationalist far-right outfit that falters outside of the South.

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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #15 on: September 12, 2015, 03:45:27 PM »

O'Malley in 2000? He'd be a year into mayor of Baltimore.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #16 on: September 13, 2015, 12:46:31 AM »


1. John B. Anderson
2. Ronald Reagan
3. John Connally
4. Frank Borman
5. Harold Stassen
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #17 on: September 13, 2015, 10:02:39 PM »

Kingfisher Survival 1936

Huey Long/Burton Wheeler-267
Franklin Roosevelt/John Garner-168
Alfred Landon/Frank Knox-96
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #18 on: September 19, 2015, 07:09:02 PM »




Senator Steven Armstrong R-CO  57%

Senator Bernie Sanders I-VT/D  36%





Obama's Map had the Recession happened in 2007 and bottomed out in 2008 instead of 2008/2009.

Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL)/ Sen. Joe Biden(D-DL): 463 EV's  62%

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ)/ Gov. Sarah Palin(R-AK): 75 EV's  34%




With the alternative scenario but with Hillary. Hillary does a little worse with liberal voters, leading to not 60% that obama got in the pacific coast and northern states but performs better with the interior states and barely loses a few.

Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/ Sen. Barack Obama(D-IL): 513 EV's  64%

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ)/ Gov. Sarah Palin(R-AK): 75 EV's  31%
If Obama won Mississippi, wouldn't he also win Louisiana?
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #19 on: September 19, 2015, 07:21:00 PM »
« Edited: September 19, 2015, 10:28:15 PM by VPH »


Joe Biden/Steve Beshear vs Ben Carson/Mary Fallin


Populists live onward.
The Democrats become a mostly Western Party while the Populists live on in the South and in eastern rural areas. The GOP remains very New England based. The Mormon Party forms.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #20 on: October 01, 2015, 07:15:42 PM »

2004 Reform Party Primary

Jim Jeffords/Ed Zschau
Comprising the supposedly waning sane coastal wing of the party, these moderates coasted to election with large margins in big cities. Their base consists of disaffected liberals who voted for John Anderson in the 2000 primary, suburban voters turned off by the extremism and rhetoric of the other candidates, and New England moderates. They benefited from extremist vote splitting.
Donald Trump/Morry Taylor
The race's two most populist candidates outspent the winning ticket with their combined fortunes, but lacked the political saavy to pull off a win. Along with lack of experience, a number of gaffes doomed the campaign from the get-go. The Trump base consists of rust-belt blue collar voters, New England fiscal conservatives, and wealthy retirees.
Bob Dornan/Tom Tancredo
B1 Bob's right wing ticket attracted the western right-wing fringe vote that felt bad voting for a ticket with David Duke on it. These two appealed to strongly anti-immigrant sentiment and concerns about a growing government. Their base is made up of libertarian-leaning westerners,
Pat Buchanan/David Duke
The true Southern ticket performed well in the South but not up North. The party's race baiting and anti-NWO rhetoric gained them far right support. The base for this bloc is as expected, working class Southern populists, conspiracy theorists, etc.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #21 on: December 19, 2015, 12:24:55 PM »

2004


VIce President (D) Paul Martin-Maryland 252 EV
Stephen Harper Representative for Texas  Conservative- 134 EV
Rep from Texas Gilles Duceppe - Bloc South 92 EV
Jack Layton NYC Mayor Progressive-60 EV



2008 Election

Stephen Harper Representative for Texas  Conservative- 218 EV
President- Maryland (D) Paul Martin 176 EV
Jack Layton NYC Mayor Progressive-74 EV
Rep from Texas Gilles Duceppe - Bloc South 70 EV
 
2012


President Stephen Harper Texas  Conservative- 320 EV
Michael Ignatieff -NYC Businessman 38 EV
Jack Layton NYC Mayor Progressive-165 EV
Rep from Texas Gilles Duceppe - Bloc South 15 EV
 
Can someone explain Bloc South?

It's like the Bloc Quebecois, which is a Quebec Nationalist party that supports Quebec splitting off from Canada. Thus, this party would probably advocate secession.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #22 on: December 19, 2015, 01:05:49 PM »

Reform Charge
1992

Ross Perot/Douglas Wilder (Independent)-253
Bill Clinton/Pat Schroeder (Democratic)-240
George HW Bush/Dan Quayle (Republican)-45
As the economy slid downward, president Bush's approval ratings massively crashed and burned. He stared down the face of defeat, and Bill Clinton, who scraped out of a divisive primary against Jerry Brown, Dick Gephardt, Jesse Jackson, Bill Bradley, Douglas Wilder, and Mario Cuomo seemed to hold victory in the palm of his hands. However, wealthy Texas businessman Ross Perot entered the race with a populist tone. Never once dropping out, he coalesced support and gained important endorsements from a number of moderate congressional Republicans and some liberal Democrats. In fact, Jesse Jackson lent his support to Perot, helping him make inroads into the black vote. Perot's later selection of Douglas Wilder, still mad at Clinton's primary tactics, as VP solidified this fact. Clinton was hit by a major personal scandal in September, and Ross Perot steamed forward. The election went to congress, who settled on Perot as a compromise.

1996

Douglas Wilder/David Boren (Reform)-280
Jerry Brown/Sam Nunn (Democratic)-151
Richard Lugar/Bob Dole (Republican)-107
Ross' Perot's term was marked by major economic stimulus, tax reform, mild protectionism, and economic recovery. His newly formed Reform party attracted a number of converts in government and also won elections across the country in 1994. The economy continued to improve, and President Perot oversaw intervention in Yugoslavia by his Secretary of State Gen. Collin Powell. In 1995, Perot, who was struggling with his health, announced he would not run for reelection. His vice president, the popular Douglas Wilder, took the reins in an easy primary and tapped Reform Senate Whip Dave Boren as his VP selection. After another divisive primary, the Democrats nominated Jerry Brown, but struggled mightily, especially considering the loss of many blue-collar voters and black voters to the Reform Party. The GOP settled on an uncontroversial, moderately conservative ticket, but voters were contented with the Reform Party.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #23 on: December 20, 2015, 02:21:29 AM »
« Edited: December 20, 2015, 04:40:28 PM by VPH »

Edwards Sans Scandal

Mitt Romney
Mike Huckabee
John McCain
Sam Brownback
Ron Paul



John Edwards/Barack Obama-402
Mitt Romney/Sarah Palin-136
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

« Reply #24 on: December 20, 2015, 04:40:18 PM »


Meant to make that Romney. Oops. Yeah, I'll fix that
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