Post random maps here (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 990296 times)
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« on: June 30, 2013, 12:34:31 PM »

Now I'm curious. Anyone who can come up with an idea/combination of tickets here? Tongue



In the end, the Republican ticket wins 292-246.
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2013, 12:45:47 PM »
« Edited: June 30, 2013, 12:48:18 PM by eric82oslo »

What about this one? Tongue

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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #2 on: June 30, 2013, 01:00:17 PM »

Any way such a map would be possible?



It gives us a 390-184 Democratic win, further underscoring what little importance the deep south plays these days...
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #3 on: June 30, 2013, 01:20:22 PM »

Now, if every voter had voted according to their race, meaning every non-Hispanic white would have voted Republican and every non-white would vote Democratic, we would have ended up with this map in 2010:



The Republican candidate would win 437-101.

Notice how the states become lighter blue or turn to red the more south you move, almost without exceptions. (New York, New Jersey, D.C. and Illinois being the major exceptions.)
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #4 on: July 03, 2013, 11:50:08 AM »
« Edited: July 03, 2013, 11:53:36 AM by eric82oslo »



2012 if all national demographics vote opposite of what they normally did. For example, whites vote 60-40 Democrat, instead of 60-40 Republican, while blacks vote 95-5 Republican, instead of 95-5 Democrat.

This map is a 316-222 win for Republicans.

Goes to show that the future does not lie in the white vote. Even if Obama had won the white vote with 40% more than he actually did in 2012 (+20% instead of -20%), he would still have lost in a landslide if he lost the minority votes as badly as he won those instead. Should be some pretty good news for Democrats looking ahead. Smiley
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